Saturday , 14 November 2026

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sun 20 Apr 2025 · 17:30 UTC Millerntor-Stadion 29,546 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 32' Patrik Schick
Carlo Boukhalfa 78' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Bundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Soren Storks
  • Assistant 1 Thorben Siewer
  • Assistant 2 Alexander Sather
8 games this season 🟨 4.1/game ⚽ 15.1 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
4
FC St. Pauli 1910 5 games · Avg 3.0 goals Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Apr Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–1 D
12 Apr Holstein Kiel A 2–1 W
06 Apr Borussia Mönchengladbach H 1–1 D
29 Mar FC Bayern München A 2–3 L
14 Mar TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–0 W
08 Mar VfL Wolfsburg A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Apr FC St. Pauli 1910 A 1–1 D
12 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin H 0–0 D
05 Apr 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 1–0 W
01 Apr Arminia Bielefeld A 1–2 L
28 Mar VfL Bochum 1848 H 3–1 W
16 Mar VfB Stuttgart A 4–3 W

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
4/4
16-30
4/1
31-45
1/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Patrik Schick 8 G 2 A
Ibrahim Maza 3 G 3 A
Christian Kofane 2 G
Facundo Medina 1 G
Nicolas Ezequiel Fernandez 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — FC St. Pauli 1910 and Bayer 04 Leverkusen get this one started.
  • 5' Bayer 04 Leverkusen seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 10' Lukas Hradecky has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 556 appearances.
  • 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Philipp Treu, as he is very good at scoring at Millerntor-Stadion with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
  • 20' Morocco international Amine Adli has been a key figure this campaign — 2 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 25' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 30' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 30 minutes.
  • 32' Patrik Schick has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 32 minutes.
  • 37' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC St. Pauli 1910 and Bayer 04 Leverkusen are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 42' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-5-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 47' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC St. Pauli 1910 side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 52' Jonathan Tah has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 9 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 57' The 28-year-old Siebe Van der Heyden has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 59' It is a substitution in FC St. Pauli 1910 team. Connor Metcalfe is replaced by Noah Weisshaupt on 59 minute.
  • 63' It’s gonna be a card for Piero Hincapie.
  • 64' Controversy at the stadium! Lukas Hradecky argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 66' Amine Adli gets the nod from Bayer 04 Leverkusen. He replaces Patrik Schick and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 71' FC St. Pauli 1910 are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 76' Nikola Vasilj is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Bayer 04 Leverkusen so far.
  • 77' The referee calls foul for Nathan Tella. He receives a card.
  • 78' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Carlo Boukhalfa makes it 1-1.
  • 83' Eric Smith, a Sweden , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 84' A change in the FC St. Pauli 1910 ranks — Carlo Boukhalfa exits the field as Robert Wagner enters on 84.
  • 89' The crowd applauds Nathan Tella as he leaves the pitch. Victor Boniface steps in for Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Eric Smith.
  • 90' Time for substitution for FC St. Pauli 1910. Danel Sinani is replaced by Elias Saad.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.22 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for: FC St. Pauli 1910 or Bayer 04 Leverkusen 70% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC St. Pauli 191037% Draw30% Bayer 04 Leverkusen33%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.41
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
67%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
63%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC St. Pauli 191025% Draw50% Bayer 04 Leverkusen25%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.2%
1 – 0
9.8%
0 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 0
6.5%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
3.1%
1 – 3
3%
3 – 0
2.6%

Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910

Handicap FC St. Pauli 1910 covers Push Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 20% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 66% — 34%
+1 66% 19% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.