Sunday , 16 August 2026

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sun 20 Apr 2025 · 17:30 UTC Millerntor-Stadion 29,546 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 32' Patrik Schick
Carlo Boukhalfa 78' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs Bayer 04 LeverkusenBundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Soren Storks
  • Assistant 1 Thorben Siewer
  • Assistant 2 Alexander Sather

Head-to-Head

1
4
FC St. Pauli 1910 5 games · Avg 3.0 goals Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Apr Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–1 D
12 Apr Holstein Kiel A 2–1 W
06 Apr Borussia Mönchengladbach H 1–1 D
29 Mar FC Bayern München A 2–3 L
14 Mar TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–0 W
08 Mar VfL Wolfsburg A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Apr FC St. Pauli 1910 A 1–1 D
12 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin H 0–0 D
05 Apr 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 1–0 W
01 Apr Arminia Bielefeld A 1–2 L
28 Mar VfL Bochum 1848 H 3–1 W
16 Mar VfB Stuttgart A 4–3 W

Season Stats

FC St. Pauli 1910 Bayer 04 Leverkusen
#3 Position #12
26 Points 0
34 Played 0
6 / 8 / 20 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
29 Scored 0
60 Conceded 0
-31 GD +0
0.76 PPG
18% Win %

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FC St. Pauli 1910 are 3rd (26 pts). Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 12th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between FC St. Pauli 1910 and Bayer 04 Leverkusen is underway.
  • 5' Morgan Guilavogui has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 20' FC St. Pauli 1910 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 25' Exequiel Palacios is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC St. Pauli 1910 so far.
  • 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 32' Goal! Patrik Schick scores his 107 goal in 527 matches.
  • 37' Piero Hincapie is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Bayer 04 Leverkusen tonight.
  • 42' FC St. Pauli 1910 are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 47' Bayer 04 Leverkusen fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 52' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 57' It looks surprising FC St. Pauli 1910 does not make any changes. Carlo Boukhalfa has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 59' Noah Weisshaupt is ready to make an impact after coming on for Connor Metcalfe at the 59 minute mark.
  • 63' It’s a booking for Bayer 04 Leverkusen player. Piero Hincapie gets a card.
  • 64' Lukas Hradecky catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 64.
  • 66' Another substitution for Bayer 04 Leverkusen to replace Patrik Schick by Amine Adli on 66 minute.
  • 71' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC St. Pauli 1910 that had 273 games and scored 143 goals.
  • 76' FC St. Pauli 1910 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Bayer 04 Leverkusen backline.
  • 77' Bayer 04 Leverkusen player sees a card in front of him.
  • 78' Brilliant from the ! Carlo Boukhalfa makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 78.
  • 83' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC St. Pauli 1910 side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 84' Carlo Boukhalfa makes way for Robert Wagner at the 84 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC St. Pauli 1910.
  • 89' Victor Boniface gets the nod from Bayer 04 Leverkusen. He replaces Nathan Tella and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 90' Eric Smith has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
  • 90' A tactical swap from FC St. Pauli 1910Elias Saad on, Danel Sinani off on 90 minutes.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.57 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.66 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 87% + Under — clean sheet likely 77%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC St. Pauli 191029% Draw40% Bayer 04 Leverkusen31%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes23% 0% No77%
Avg goals/match: 1.23
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 68%
32%
± 1.5 36%
64%
± 2.5 13%
87%
± 3.5 4%
96%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
70%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
71%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
60%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC St. Pauli 191014% Draw68% Bayer 04 Leverkusen18%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
32.1%
0 – 1
17.6%
1 – 0
14.8%
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 0
4.2%
1 – 2
3.8%
2 – 1
3.2%
2 – 2
1.3%
0 – 3
1.3%
1 – 3
0.9%
3 – 0
0.8%

Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910

Handicap FC St. Pauli 1910 covers Push Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 5% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 18% 76%
-0.5 24% 76%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 22% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
52%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
57%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.