FC St. Pauli 1910 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Bundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.
- FC St. Pauli 1910 34 games · 26 pts (2025/26)
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 games · 59 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Soren Storks
- Assistant 1 Thorben Siewer
- Assistant 2 Alexander Sather
17 games this season
🟨 0.5/game
⚽ 3.3 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Apr | Holstein Kiel | A | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Apr | Borussia Monchengladbach | H | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Mar | FC Bayern München | A | 2–3 | L |
| 14 Mar | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Mar | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Apr | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Apr | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Apr | Arminia Bielefeld | A | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Mar | VfL Bochum 1848 | H | 3–1 | W |
| 16 Mar | VfB Stuttgart | A | 4–3 | W |
Season Stats
| FC St. Pauli 1910 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | |
|---|---|---|
| #18 | Position | #6 |
| 26 | Points | 59 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 6 / 8 / 20 | W / D / L | 17 / 8 / 9 |
| 29 | Scored | 68 |
| 60 | Conceded | 47 |
| -31 | GD | +21 |
| 0.76 | PPG | 1.74 |
| 18% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season
24%
Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
FC St. Pauli 1910 are 18th (26 pts). Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 6th (59 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC St. Pauli 1910
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/1
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Millerntor-Stadion. FC St. Pauli 1910 are looking to make home advantage count against Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
- 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 10' FC St. Pauli 1910 started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
- 15' The travelling Bayer 04 Leverkusen supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 20' FC St. Pauli 1910 are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against Bayer 04 Leverkusen's 3-5-2 shape.
- 25' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC St. Pauli 1910 must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 30' Supporters expect more eagerness from Siebe Van der Heyden, as he is very good at scoring at Millerntor-Stadion with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 32' Patrik Schick is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 8 goals this season for the .
- 37' Bayer 04 Leverkusen come into this ranked 2 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 42' With 0 assists to his name this season, Victor Boniface is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC St. Pauli 1910.
- 47' Edmond Tapsoba is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Bayer 04 Leverkusen so far.
- 52' The energy levels are beginning to show. Alexander Blessin might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 57' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 59' FC St. Pauli 1910 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Noah Weisshaupt is hanging Connor Metcalfe on the field on 59 minute.
- 63' Controversy at the stadium! Piero Hincapie argues furiously but the card stands.
- 64' It’s gonna be a card for Lukas Hradecky.
- 66' Amine Adli is ready to make an impact after coming on for Patrik Schick at the 66 minute mark.
- 71' Emiliano Buendia has been relatively quiet despite scoring 40 goals in his last 368 appearances.
- 76' The 32-year-old Hauke Finn Wahl has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 77' Bayer 04 Leverkusen receives a card for a hard tackle on 77.
- 78' What a strike from Carlo Boukhalfa! The score is 1-1.
- 83' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC St. Pauli 1910 and Bayer 04 Leverkusen are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 84' Robert Wagner is ready to make an impact after coming on for Carlo Boukhalfa at the 84 minute mark.
- 89' The supporters are chanting for Victor Boniface. He replaces Nathan Tella on 89 minute.
- 90' The referee shows FC St. Pauli 1910 player a card on 90.
- 90' A change in the FC St. Pauli 1910 ranks — Danel Sinani exits the field as Elias Saad enters on 90.
- The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.
Lineups
FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 5
-
10
Danel Sinani ↓ Elias Saad 90'
- 24
- 8
- 22
- 44
- 29
-
16
Carlo Boukhalfa ↓ Robert Wagner 84'
- 4
- 2
- 23
Bench
- 11
- 21
- 25
-
17
Oladapo Afolayan ↑ 90'
- 1
-
13
Noah Weisshaupt ↑ 59'
-
39
Robert Wagner ↑ 84'
-
26
Elias Saad ↑ 90'
- 20
Coach
Alexander Blessin
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 34
- 4
- 1
-
14
Patrik Schick ↓ Amine Adli 66'
- 25
- 20
- 12
- 30
- 10
-
19
Nathan Tella ↓ Victor Boniface 89'
- 3
Bench
-
16
Emiliano Buendia ↑ 89'
- 23
- 7
- 8
- 24
-
21
Amine Adli ↑ 66'
- 17
-
22
Victor Boniface ↑ 89'
- 13
Coach
Xabi Alonso
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Morgan Guilavogui | 1 |
| Jonathan Tah | 1 |
| Florian Wirtz | 1 |
| Carlo Boukhalfa | 1 |
| Patrik Schick | 1 |
Head to Head
FC St. Pauli 1910 Form
2025-04-20
FC St. Pauli 1910
1–1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
D
2025-04-12
Holstein Kiel
1–2
FC St. Pauli 1910
W
2025-04-06
FC St. Pauli 1910
1–1
Borussia Monchengladbach
D
2025-03-29
FC Bayern München
3–2
FC St. Pauli 1910
L
2025-03-14
FC St. Pauli 1910
1–0
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
W
2025-03-08
VfL Wolfsburg
1–1
FC St. Pauli 1910
D
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form
2025-04-20
FC St. Pauli 1910
1–1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
D
2025-04-12
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–0
1. FC Union Berlin
D
2025-04-05
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
0–1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W
2025-04-01
Arminia Bielefeld
2–1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
L
2025-03-28
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
3–1
VfL Bochum 1848
W
2025-03-16
VfB Stuttgart
3–4
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.99
FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.71
Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.7
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
54%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
73%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
10.7%
0 – 2
9.6%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 0
8.7%
1 – 0
5.7%
2 – 1
5.4%
0 – 3
5.4%
1 – 3
5.4%
2 – 2
4.7%
2 – 0
3.2%
2 – 3
2.7%
Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910
| Handicap | FC St. Pauli 1910 covers | Push | Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 13% | 79% |
| -0.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| +0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +1 | 47% | 23% | 30% |
| +1.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +2 | 70% | 16% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

