FC St. Pauli 1910 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Bundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.
- FC St. Pauli 1910 34 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Soren Storks
- Assistant 1 Thorben Siewer
- Assistant 2 Alexander Sather
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 2 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 3 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
| 4 | FC Schalke 04 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | SC Paderborn 07 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | SV 07 Elversberg | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | FC Bayern München | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Borussia Dortmund | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | VfB Stuttgart | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | SC Freiburg | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | FC Augsburg | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | 1. FC Köln | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | SV Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Apr | Holstein Kiel | A | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Apr | Borussia Mönchengladbach | H | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Mar | FC Bayern München | A | 2–3 | L |
| 14 Mar | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Mar | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Apr | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Apr | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Apr | Arminia Bielefeld | A | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Mar | VfL Bochum 1848 | H | 3–1 | W |
| 16 Mar | VfB Stuttgart | A | 4–3 | W |
Season Stats
| FC St. Pauli 1910 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #12 |
| 26 | Points | 0 |
| 34 | Played | 0 |
| 6 / 8 / 20 | W / D / L | 0 / 0 / 0 |
| 29 | Scored | 0 |
| 60 | Conceded | 0 |
| -31 | GD | +0 |
| 0.76 | PPG | – |
| 18% | Win % | – |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
FC St. Pauli 1910 are 3rd (26 pts). Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 12th (0 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between FC St. Pauli 1910 and Bayer 04 Leverkusen is underway.
- 5' Morgan Guilavogui has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 20' FC St. Pauli 1910 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 25' Exequiel Palacios is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC St. Pauli 1910 so far.
- 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 32' Goal! Patrik Schick scores his 107 goal in 527 matches.
- 37' Piero Hincapie is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Bayer 04 Leverkusen tonight.
- 42' FC St. Pauli 1910 are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 47' Bayer 04 Leverkusen fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 52' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 57' It looks surprising FC St. Pauli 1910 does not make any changes. Carlo Boukhalfa has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 59' Noah Weisshaupt is ready to make an impact after coming on for Connor Metcalfe at the 59 minute mark.
- 63' It’s a booking for Bayer 04 Leverkusen player. Piero Hincapie gets a card.
- 64' Lukas Hradecky catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 64.
- 66' Another substitution for Bayer 04 Leverkusen to replace Patrik Schick by Amine Adli on 66 minute.
- 71' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC St. Pauli 1910 that had 273 games and scored 143 goals.
- 76' FC St. Pauli 1910 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Bayer 04 Leverkusen backline.
- 77' Bayer 04 Leverkusen player sees a card in front of him.
- 78' Brilliant from the ! Carlo Boukhalfa makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 78.
- 83' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC St. Pauli 1910 side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 84' Carlo Boukhalfa makes way for Robert Wagner at the 84 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC St. Pauli 1910.
- 89' Victor Boniface gets the nod from Bayer 04 Leverkusen. He replaces Nathan Tella and will look to change the dynamic.
- 90' Eric Smith has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
- 90' A tactical swap from FC St. Pauli 1910 — Elias Saad on, Danel Sinani off on 90 minutes.
- The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.
Lineups
FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 5
-
10
Danel Sinani ↓ Elias Saad 90'
- 24
- 8
- 22
- 44
- 29
-
16
Carlo Boukhalfa ↓ Robert Wagner 84'
- 4
- 2
- 23
Bench
- 11
- 21
- 25
-
17
Oladapo Afolayan ↑ 90'
- 1
-
13
Noah Weisshaupt ↑ 59'
-
39
Robert Wagner ↑ 84'
-
26
Elias Saad ↑ 90'
- 20
Coach
Alexander Blessin
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 34
- 4
- 1
-
14
Patrik Schick ↓ Amine Adli 66'
- 25
- 20
- 12
- 30
- 10
-
19
Nathan Tella ↓ Victor Boniface 89'
- 3
Bench
-
16
Emiliano Buendia ↑ 89'
- 23
- 7
- 8
- 24
-
21
Amine Adli ↑ 66'
- 17
-
22
Victor Boniface ↑ 89'
- 13
Coach
Xabi Alonso
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jonathan Tah | 1 |
| Florian Wirtz | 1 |
| Carlo Boukhalfa | 1 |
| Patrik Schick | 1 |
| Morgan Guilavogui | 1 |
Head to Head
FC St. Pauli 1910 Form
2025-04-20
FC St. Pauli 1910
1–1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
D
2025-04-12
Holstein Kiel
1–2
FC St. Pauli 1910
W
2025-04-06
FC St. Pauli 1910
1–1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
D
2025-03-29
FC Bayern München
3–2
FC St. Pauli 1910
L
2025-03-14
FC St. Pauli 1910
1–0
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
W
2025-03-08
VfL Wolfsburg
1–1
FC St. Pauli 1910
D
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form
2025-04-20
FC St. Pauli 1910
1–1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
D
2025-04-12
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–0
1. FC Union Berlin
D
2025-04-05
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
0–1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W
2025-04-01
Arminia Bielefeld
2–1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
L
2025-03-28
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
3–1
VfL Bochum 1848
W
2025-03-16
VfB Stuttgart
3–4
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.57
FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.66
Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 87% + Under — clean sheet likely 77%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 1.23
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 1.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 2.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
| ± 3.5 | 4% |
|
96% |
| ± 4.5 | 1% |
|
99% |
Double Chance
FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
70%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
71%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
60%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
32.1%
0 – 1
17.6%
1 – 0
14.8%
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 0
4.2%
1 – 2
3.8%
2 – 1
3.2%
2 – 2
1.3%
0 – 3
1.3%
1 – 3
0.9%
3 – 0
0.8%
Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910
| Handicap | FC St. Pauli 1910 covers | Push | Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 5% | 94% |
| -1.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 18% | 76% |
| -0.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 22% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 7% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
52%
✗
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
57%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

