FC St. Pauli 1910 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Bundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.
- FC St. Pauli 1910 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen 9 games · 16 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Soren Storks
- Assistant 1 Thorben Siewer
- Assistant 2 Alexander Sather
8 games this season
🟨 4.1/game
⚽ 15.1 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | SV Werder Bremen | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Apr | Holstein Kiel | A | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Apr | Borussia Mönchengladbach | H | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Mar | FC Bayern München | A | 2–3 | L |
| 14 Mar | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Mar | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Apr | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Apr | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Apr | Arminia Bielefeld | A | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Mar | VfL Bochum 1848 | H | 3–1 | W |
| 16 Mar | VfB Stuttgart | A | 4–3 | W |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
4/4
16-30
4/1
31-45
1/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
| Patrik Schick | 8 G | 2 A |
| Ibrahim Maza | 3 G | 3 A |
| Christian Kofane | 2 G | |
| Facundo Medina | 1 G | |
| Nicolas Ezequiel Fernandez | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — FC St. Pauli 1910 and Bayer 04 Leverkusen get this one started.
- 5' Bayer 04 Leverkusen seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 10' Lukas Hradecky has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 556 appearances.
- 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Philipp Treu, as he is very good at scoring at Millerntor-Stadion with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
- 20' Morocco international Amine Adli has been a key figure this campaign — 2 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 25' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 30' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 30 minutes.
- 32' Patrik Schick has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 32 minutes.
- 37' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC St. Pauli 1910 and Bayer 04 Leverkusen are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 42' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-5-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 47' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC St. Pauli 1910 side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 52' Jonathan Tah has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 9 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 57' The 28-year-old Siebe Van der Heyden has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 59' It is a substitution in FC St. Pauli 1910 team. Connor Metcalfe is replaced by Noah Weisshaupt on 59 minute.
- 63' It’s gonna be a card for Piero Hincapie.
- 64' Controversy at the stadium! Lukas Hradecky argues furiously but the card stands.
- 66' Amine Adli gets the nod from Bayer 04 Leverkusen. He replaces Patrik Schick and will look to change the dynamic.
- 71' FC St. Pauli 1910 are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 76' Nikola Vasilj is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Bayer 04 Leverkusen so far.
- 77' The referee calls foul for Nathan Tella. He receives a card.
- 78' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Carlo Boukhalfa makes it 1-1.
- 83' Eric Smith, a Sweden , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 84' A change in the FC St. Pauli 1910 ranks — Carlo Boukhalfa exits the field as Robert Wagner enters on 84.
- 89' The crowd applauds Nathan Tella as he leaves the pitch. Victor Boniface steps in for Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Eric Smith.
- 90' Time for substitution for FC St. Pauli 1910. Danel Sinani is replaced by Elias Saad.
- The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.
Lineups
FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 5
-
10
Danel Sinani ↓ Elias Saad 90'
- 24
- 8
- 22
- 44
- 29
-
16
Carlo Boukhalfa ↓ Robert Wagner 84'
- 4
- 2
- 23
Bench
- 11
- 21
- 25
-
17
Oladapo Afolayan ↑ 90'
- 1
-
13
Noah Weisshaupt ↑ 59'
-
39
Robert Wagner ↑ 84'
-
26
Elias Saad ↑ 90'
- 20
Coach
Alexander Blessin
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 34
- 4
- 1
-
14
Patrik Schick ↓ Amine Adli 66'
- 25
- 20
- 12
- 30
- 10
-
19
Nathan Tella ↓ Victor Boniface 89'
- 3
Bench
-
16
Emiliano Buendia ↑ 89'
- 23
- 7
- 8
- 24
-
21
Amine Adli ↑ 66'
- 17
-
22
Victor Boniface ↑ 89'
- 13
Coach
Xabi Alonso
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Morgan Guilavogui | 1 |
| Jonathan Tah | 1 |
| Florian Wirtz | 1 |
| Carlo Boukhalfa | 1 |
| Patrik Schick | 1 |
Head to Head
FC St. Pauli 1910 Form
2025-04-20
FC St. Pauli 1910
1–1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
D
2025-04-12
Holstein Kiel
1–2
FC St. Pauli 1910
W
2025-04-06
FC St. Pauli 1910
1–1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
D
2025-03-29
FC Bayern München
3–2
FC St. Pauli 1910
L
2025-03-14
FC St. Pauli 1910
1–0
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
W
2025-03-08
VfL Wolfsburg
1–1
FC St. Pauli 1910
D
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form
2025-04-20
FC St. Pauli 1910
1–1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
D
2025-04-12
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–0
1. FC Union Berlin
D
2025-04-05
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
0–1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W
2025-04-01
Arminia Bielefeld
2–1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
L
2025-03-28
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
3–1
VfL Bochum 1848
W
2025-03-16
VfB Stuttgart
3–4
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.22
FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19
Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for:
FC St. Pauli 1910 or Bayer 04 Leverkusen 70% + Under 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.41
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
67%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
63%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.2%
1 – 0
9.8%
0 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 0
6.5%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
3.1%
1 – 3
3%
3 – 0
2.6%
Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910
| Handicap | FC St. Pauli 1910 covers | Push | Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 20% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 19% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

