Sunday , 16 August 2026

VfL Bochum 1848 vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 10 May 2025 · 13:30 UTC Vonovia Ruhrstadion 26,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 45+3' Nadiem Amiri
0–2 53' Philipp Mwene
0–3 73' Jonathan Burkardt
Gerrit Holtmann 84' 1–3
1–4 90+3' Paul Nebel

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Bochum 1848 vs 1. FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga at Vonovia Ruhrstadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Stieler
  • Assistant 1 Christian Gittelmann
  • Assistant 2 Mark Borsch
5 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.4 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–4 L
02 May 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 0–0 D
27 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin H 1–1 D
19 Apr SV Werder Bremen A 0–1 L
12 Apr FC Augsburg H 1–2 L
05 Apr VfB Stuttgart H 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May VfL Bochum 1848 A 4–1 W
04 May Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–1 D
26 Apr FC Bayern München A 0–3 L
19 Apr VfL Wolfsburg H 2–2 D
12 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 0–2 L
05 Apr Holstein Kiel H 1–1 D

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. VfL Bochum 1848 host 1. FSV Mainz 05 — let the battle begin!
  • 5' 1. FSV Mainz 05 fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 25' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 30' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Tom Krauss suffering a number of foals already.
  • 35' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 40' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 45' Poor challenge from Tom Krauss. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Felix Passlack as he leaves the pitch. Gerrit Holtmann steps in for VfL Bochum 1848.
  • 48' Goal! Nadiem Amiri scores his 27 goal in 407 matches.
  • 53' Assisted by Jae-sung Lee with the perfectly-timed delivery and Philipp Mwene makes no mistake. 0-2!
  • 58' It’s high time Dieter Hecking made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 61' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes a substitution. Philipp Mwene departs to be replaced by Silvan Widmer.
  • 65' Ibrahima Sissoko picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 70' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 71' Ibrahima Sissoko makes way for Anthony Losilla at the 71 minute mark. A tactical switch from VfL Bochum 1848.
  • 72' VfL Bochum 1848 ring the changes. Tim Oermann has done his job and it is now time for Cristian Gamboa to step up.
  • 73' What composure from Jonathan Burkardt! The Germany international strokes it home. 0-3.
  • 78' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 82' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Ivan Ordets on 82 minutes.
  • 84' Gerrit Holtmann makes no mistake. The score reads 1-3 and VfL Bochum 1848 are in front.
  • 85' It is a substitution in 1. FSV Mainz 05 team. Stefan Bell is replaced by Nikolas Veratschnig on 85 minute.
  • 90' 1. FSV Mainz 05 make a change. Jonathan Burkardt trudges off to be replaced by Lennart Maloney on 90 minutes.
  • It finishes all square. VfL Bochum 1848 and 1. FSV Mainz 05 share the spoils 1-4.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.28 VfL Bochum 1848 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.86 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfL Bochum 184827% Draw26% 1. FSV Mainz 0547%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.14
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

VfL Bochum 1848 or Draw
52%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
73%
VfL Bochum 1848 or 1. FSV Mainz 05
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfL Bochum 184821% Draw43% 1. FSV Mainz 0536%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–4 not predicted
1 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
11.2%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 2
7.4%
0 – 1
7.3%
2 – 1
6.4%
0 – 0
6%
2 – 2
5.9%
1 – 3
5.7%
1 – 0
4.8%
0 – 3
4.5%
2 – 3
3.7%
2 – 0
3.6%

Asian Handicap — VfL Bochum 1848

Handicap VfL Bochum 1848 covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 7% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 14% 75%
-0.5 25% 75%
+0.5 50% 50%
+1 50% 21% 28%
+1.5 72% 28%
+2 72% 15% 13%
+2.5 87% 13%

Clean Sheet

VfL Bochum 1848 keeps clean sheet
17%
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.