Wednesday , 30 September 2026

VfL Bochum 1848 vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 10 May 2025 · 13:30 UTC Vonovia Ruhrstadion 26,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 45+3' Nadiem Amiri
0–2 53' Philipp Mwene
0–3 73' Jonathan Burkardt
Gerrit Holtmann 84' 1–3
1–4 90+3' Paul Nebel

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Bochum 1848 vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Vonovia Ruhrstadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Stieler
  • Assistant 1 Christian Gittelmann
  • Assistant 2 Mark Borsch
3 games this season 🟨 5.7/game ⚽ 11.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–4 L
02 May 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 0–0 D
27 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin H 1–1 D
19 Apr SV Werder Bremen A 0–1 L
12 Apr FC Augsburg H 1–2 L
05 Apr VfB Stuttgart H 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May VfL Bochum 1848 A 4–1 W
04 May Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–1 D
26 Apr FC Bayern München A 0–3 L
19 Apr VfL Wolfsburg H 2–2 D
12 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 0–2 L
05 Apr Holstein Kiel H 1–1 D

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 4 G
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 3 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Vonovia Ruhrstadion as VfL Bochum 1848 face off against 1. FSV Mainz 05 in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' Ivan Ordets has been relatively quiet despite scoring 8 goals in his last 204 appearances.
  • 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. VfL Bochum 1848 must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 20' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 25' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 30' Danny da Costa is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for 1. FSV Mainz 05 so far.
  • 35' Supporters expect more eagerness from Nadiem Amiri, as he is very good at scoring at Vonovia Ruhrstadion with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 40' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 45' Tom Krauss was booked on 45.
  • 46' The VfL Bochum 1848 bench stirs into life. Felix Passlack is withdrawn and Gerrit Holtmann gets his opportunity.
  • 48' Nadiem Amiri does the damage! The net is bulging and 1. FSV Mainz 05 surge ahead!
  • 53' Philipp Mwene is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
  • 58' Matus Bero, a Slovakia central midfielder, has 66 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 61' Silvan Widmer is ready to make an impact after coming on for Philipp Mwene at the 61 minute mark.
  • 65' Poor challenge from Ibrahima Sissoko. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 70' VfL Bochum 1848 are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 71' Time for substitution for VfL Bochum 1848. Ibrahima Sissoko is replaced by Anthony Losilla.
  • 72' The VfL Bochum 1848 manager makes a substitution. Tim Oermann departs to be replaced by Cristian Gamboa.
  • 73' Brilliant from the ! Jonathan Burkardt makes it 0-3 with a superb finish on 73.
  • 78' 1. FSV Mainz 05 fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 82' The referee calls foul for Ivan Ordets. He receives a card.
  • 84' The deadlock is broken! Gerrit Holtmann gets on the scoresheet on 84 minutes.
  • 85' Nikolas Veratschnig is ready to make an impact after coming on for Stefan Bell at the 85 minute mark.
  • 90' The supporters are chanting for Lennart Maloney. He replaces Jonathan Burkardt on 90 minute.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-4 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.28 VfL Bochum 1848 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.86 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfL Bochum 184827% Draw26% 1. FSV Mainz 0547%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.14
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

VfL Bochum 1848 or Draw
52%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
73%
VfL Bochum 1848 or 1. FSV Mainz 05
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfL Bochum 184821% Draw43% 1. FSV Mainz 0536%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–4 not predicted
1 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
11.2%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 2
7.4%
0 – 1
7.3%
2 – 1
6.4%
0 – 0
6%
2 – 2
5.9%
1 – 3
5.7%
1 – 0
4.8%
0 – 3
4.5%
2 – 3
3.7%
2 – 0
3.6%

Asian Handicap — VfL Bochum 1848

Handicap VfL Bochum 1848 covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 7% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 14% 75%
-0.5 25% — 75%
+0.5 50% — 50%
+1 50% 21% 28%
+1.5 72% — 28%
+2 72% 15% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

VfL Bochum 1848 keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.