Wednesday , 30 September 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 19 Apr 2025 · 13:30 UTC MEWA Arena 31,500 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jae-sung Lee 37' 1–1
Dominik Kohr 40' 2–1
2–2 89' Denis Vavro

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Zwayer
  • Assistant 1 Robert Kempter
  • Assistant 2 Christian Dietz
10 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 13.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Apr VfL Wolfsburg H 2–2 D
12 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 0–2 L
05 Apr Holstein Kiel H 1–1 D
30 Mar Borussia Dortmund A 1–3 L
15 Mar SC Freiburg H 2–2 D
07 Mar Borussia Mönchengladbach A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 2–2 D
11 Apr RB Leipzig H 2–3 L
06 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–1 L
29 Mar 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 0–1 L
15 Mar FC Augsburg A 0–1 L
08 Mar FC St. Pauli 1910 H 1–1 D

Key Stats

48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 4 G
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 3 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.51 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38 VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for: 1. FSV Mainz 05 or VfL Wolfsburg 73% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0542% Draw27% VfL Wolfsburg31%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.89
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
69%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
58%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or VfL Wolfsburg
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0529% Draw45% VfL Wolfsburg26%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
7.7%
1 – 0
7.5%
0 – 0
7.4%
0 – 1
6.8%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.2%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push VfL Wolfsburg covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 20% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 18% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.