1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 9 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
- VfL Wolfsburg 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Felix Zwayer
- Assistant 1 Robert Kempter
- Assistant 2 Christian Dietz
16 games this season
🟨 4.4/game
⚽ 15.4 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | SV Werder Bremen | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Apr | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Apr | Holstein Kiel | H | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Mar | Borussia Dortmund | A | 1–3 | L |
| 15 Mar | SC Freiburg | H | 2–2 | D |
| 07 Mar | Borussia Mönchengladbach | A | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Apr | RB Leipzig | H | 2–3 | L |
| 06 Apr | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Mar | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | H | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Mar | FC Augsburg | A | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Mar | FC St. Pauli 1910 | H | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
48%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
H2H (25 games)
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
33%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
| Phillip Tietz | 6 G | |
| Anthony Caci | 3 G | 3 A |
| Sheraldo Becker | 2 G | 4 A |
| Philipp Mwene | 1 G | 1 A |
| Ransford Konigsdorffer | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' 1. FSV Mainz 05 have kicked off against VfL Wolfsburg. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 3' The Germany Maximilian Arnold breaks the deadlock on 3 minutes. 0-1!
- 8' VfL Wolfsburg come into this ranked 12 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 13' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both 1. FSV Mainz 05 and VfL Wolfsburg are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 18' Both keepers have barely been tested. 1. FSV Mainz 05 and VfL Wolfsburg are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 23' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 28' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 33' The home supporters are growing impatient. 1. FSV Mainz 05 must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 37' What composure from Jae-sung Lee! The South Korea international strokes it home. 1-1.
- 40' Dominik Kohr doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 45' Kamil Grabara is a natural goalkeeper and has been asked to do a very specific job for 1. FSV Mainz 05 tonight.
- 50' Mohammed Amoura, a Algeria , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 51' Dominik Kohr is having his name booked by the referee on 51.
- 56' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 61' It is a cagey affair so far. 1. FSV Mainz 05 in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past VfL Wolfsburg's compact 3-4-1-2.
- 63' Another change for VfL Wolfsburg made on 63 minute. Kevin Paredes leaves to be changed by Tiago Tomas.
- 67' That looks like a foul for a card for Nikolas Veratschnig.
- 68' Tiago Tomas is having his name booked by the referee on 68.
- 73' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 74' Jakub Kaminski gets the nod from VfL Wolfsburg. He replaces Jonas Wind and will look to change the dynamic.
- 76' 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Hyun-seok Hong is hanging Nelson Weiper on the field on 76 minute.
- 81' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering 1. FSV Mainz 05 that had 446 games and scored 424 goals.
- 85' A tactical swap from VfL Wolfsburg — Lovro Majer on, Mattias Svanberg off on 85 minutes.
- 89' Denis Vavro does the damage! The net is bulging and VfL Wolfsburg surge ahead!
- 89' Another change for 1. FSV Mainz 05 made on 89 minute. Nikolas Veratschnig leaves to be changed by Silvan Widmer.
- 90' The referee calls foul for Joakim Maehle. He receives a card.
- 90' The crowd applauds Jae-sung Lee as he leaves the pitch. Arnaud Nordin steps in for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
- will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 19
- 31
- 27
- 29
- 18
- 21
- 3
-
44
Nelson Weiper ↓ Hyun-seok Hong 76'
- 22
- 6
-
7
Jae-sung Lee ↓ Arnaud Nordin 90'
Bench
-
9
Arnaud Nordin ↑ 90'
- 15
- 33
-
30
Silvan Widmer ↑ 89'
-
25
Andreas Hanche-Olsen ↑ 76'
- 11
- 1
-
14
Hyun-seok Hong ↑ 76'
Coach
Bo Henriksen
VfL Wolfsburg Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 1
- 27
- 21
- 18
-
23
Jonas Wind ↓ Jakub Kaminski 74'
-
40
Kevin Paredes ↓ Tiago Tomas 63'
- 39
- 2
-
9
Mohammed Amoura ↓ Lukas Nmecha 63'
- 24
- 4
Bench
-
10
Lukas Nmecha ↑ 63'
- 12
- 17
-
32
Mattias Svanberg ↑ 63'
- 19
-
16
Jakub Kaminski ↑ 74'
-
11
Tiago Tomas ↑ 63'
- 14
- 44
Coach
Ralph Hasenhuttl
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jonas Wind | 7 |
| Maximilian Arnold | 3 |
| Jonathan Burkardt | 3 |
| Max Kruse | 3 |
| Maximilian Philipp | 2 |
| Sebastiaan Bornauw | 2 |
| Stefan Bell | 2 |
| Wout Weghorst | 2 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
2025-04-19
1. FSV Mainz 05
2–2
VfL Wolfsburg
D
2025-04-12
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2–0
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
2025-04-05
1. FSV Mainz 05
1–1
Holstein Kiel
D
2025-03-30
Borussia Dortmund
3–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
2025-03-15
1. FSV Mainz 05
2–2
SC Freiburg
D
2025-03-07
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1–3
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
VfL Wolfsburg Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.51
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38
VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for:
1. FSV Mainz 05 or VfL Wolfsburg 73% + Both teams to score 58%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.89
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
69%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
58%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or VfL Wolfsburg
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
7.7%
1 – 0
7.5%
0 – 0
7.4%
0 – 1
6.8%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.2%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 0
3.1%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | VfL Wolfsburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 12% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 20% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 18% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

