Sunday , 16 August 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
1. FSV Mainz 05
2 – 2
Full Time
VfL Wolfsburg
Sat 19 Apr 2025 · 13:30 UTC MEWA Arena 31,500 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 3' Maximilian Arnold
Jae-sung Lee 37' 1–1
Dominik Kohr 40' 2–1
2–2 89' Denis Vavro
Dominik Kohr 51' Y
Nikolas Veratschnig 67' Y
Y 68' Tiago Tomas
Y 90' Joakim Maehle
Y 90' Denis Vavro

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Zwayer
  • Assistant 1 Robert Kempter
  • Assistant 2 Christian Dietz
16 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 10.3 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29
2 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26
3 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26
4 FC Schalke 04 0 0
5 SC Paderborn 07 0 0
6 SV 07 Elversberg 0 0
7 FC Bayern München 0 0
8 Borussia Dortmund 0 0
9 RB Leipzig 0 0
10 VfB Stuttgart 0 0
11 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 0 0
12 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0 0
13 SC Freiburg 0 0
14 Eintracht Frankfurt 0 0
15 FC Augsburg 0 0
16 1. FSV Mainz 05 0 0
17 1. FC Union Berlin 0 0
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 0 0
19 Hamburger SV 0 0
20 1. FC Köln 0 0
21 SV Werder Bremen 0 0

Head-to-Head

4
7
14
1. FSV Mainz 05 25 games · Avg 3.0 goals VfL Wolfsburg
Last 5 meetings
2025-04-19 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 VfL Wolfsburg 2024-12-08 VfL Wolfsburg 4–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-05-18 VfL Wolfsburg 1–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-01-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg 2023-04-30 VfL Wolfsburg 3–0 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

1. FSV Mainz 05
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Apr VfL Wolfsburg H 2–2 D
12 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 0–2 L
05 Apr Holstein Kiel H 1–1 D
30 Mar Borussia Dortmund A 1–3 L
15 Mar SC Freiburg H 2–2 D
07 Mar Borussia Mönchengladbach A 3–1 W
VfL Wolfsburg
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 2–2 D
11 Apr RB Leipzig H 2–3 L
06 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–1 L
29 Mar 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 0–1 L
15 Mar FC Augsburg A 0–1 L
08 Mar FC St. Pauli 1910 H 1–1 D

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 VfL Wolfsburg
#16 Position #1
0 Points 29
0 Played 34
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 7 / 8 / 19
0 Scored 45
0 Conceded 69
+0 GD -24
– PPG 0.85
– Win % 21%

Key Stats

48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts). VfL Wolfsburg are 1st (29 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at MEWA Arena!
  • 3' Maximilian Arnold makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and VfL Wolfsburg are in front.
  • 8' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. 1. FSV Mainz 05 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 13' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kamil Grabara suffering a number of foals already.
  • 18' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both 1. FSV Mainz 05 and VfL Wolfsburg are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 23' 1. FSV Mainz 05 currently sit 5 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 28' Lukas Nmecha has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 33' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 37' GOAL! Jae-sung Lee fires home to make it 1-1!
  • 40' Magnificent from Dominik Kohr! That is 13 goals in 541 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 45' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 50' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 51' Dominik Kohr is having his name booked by the referee on 51.
  • 56' VfL Wolfsburg seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 61' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both 1. FSV Mainz 05 and VfL Wolfsburg are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 63' Time for substitution for VfL Wolfsburg. Kevin Paredes is replaced by Tiago Tomas.
  • 67' 1. FSV Mainz 05 player sees a card in front of him.
  • 68' A moment of madness from Tiago Tomas on 68 minutes earns him a card. VfL Wolfsburg will be frustrated.
  • 73' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering 1. FSV Mainz 05 that had 436 games and scored 398 goals.
  • 74' A change in the VfL Wolfsburg ranks — Jonas Wind exits the field as Jakub Kaminski enters on 74.
  • 76' Nelson Weiper makes way for Hyun-seok Hong at the 76 minute mark. A tactical switch from 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 81' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 85' VfL Wolfsburg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Lovro Majer is hanging Mattias Svanberg on the field on 85 minute.
  • 89' The Slovakia Denis Vavro breaks the deadlock on 89 minutes. 2-2!
  • 89' Silvan Widmer is replacing Nikolas Veratschnig for the 1. FSV Mainz 05 side.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Joakim Maehle on 90 minutes.
  • 90' 1. FSV Mainz 05 ring the changes. Jae-sung Lee has done his job and it is now time for Arnaud Nordin to step up.
  • will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Bo Henriksen

VfL Wolfsburg Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ralph Hasenhuttl

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Jonas Wind 7
Maximilian Arnold 3
Jonathan Burkardt 3
Max Kruse 3
Renato Steffen 2
Paul Nebel 2
Maximilian Philipp 2
Sebastiaan Bornauw 2

Head to Head

2025-04-19 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 VfL Wolfsburg 2024-12-08 VfL Wolfsburg 4–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-05-18 VfL Wolfsburg 1–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-01-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg 2023-04-30 VfL Wolfsburg 3–0 1. FSV Mainz 05

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2025-04-19 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 VfL Wolfsburg D 2025-04-12 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-04-05 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Holstein Kiel D 2025-03-30 Borussia Dortmund 3–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-03-15 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 SC Freiburg D 2025-03-07 Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 W

VfL Wolfsburg Form

2025-04-19 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 VfL Wolfsburg D 2025-04-11 VfL Wolfsburg 2–3 RB Leipzig L 2025-04-06 1. FC Union Berlin 1–0 VfL Wolfsburg L 2025-03-29 VfL Wolfsburg 0–1 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 L 2025-03-15 FC Augsburg 1–0 VfL Wolfsburg L 2025-03-08 VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
0.86 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.85 VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 75% + 1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0537% Draw34% VfL Wolfsburg29%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes35% 0% No65%
Avg goals/match: 1.71
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 79%
21%
± 1.5 51%
49%
± 2.5 25%
75%
± 3.5 10%
90%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
71%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
63%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or VfL Wolfsburg
66%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0521% Draw59% VfL Wolfsburg20%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
20.8%
1 – 1
14.2%
1 – 0
14.1%
0 – 1
13.9%
2 – 0
6.3%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 1
5.6%
1 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 0
1.8%
0 – 3
1.7%
3 – 1
1.6%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push VfL Wolfsburg covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 21% 69%
-0.5 31% — 69%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 20% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
43% ✓
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
43% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.