Saturday , 14 November 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 19 Apr 2025 · 13:30 UTC MEWA Arena 31,500 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jae-sung Lee 37' 1–1
Dominik Kohr 40' 2–1
2–2 89' Denis Vavro

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Zwayer
  • Assistant 1 Robert Kempter
  • Assistant 2 Christian Dietz
16 games this season 🟨 4.4/game ⚽ 15.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Apr VfL Wolfsburg H 2–2 D
12 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 0–2 L
05 Apr Holstein Kiel H 1–1 D
30 Mar Borussia Dortmund A 1–3 L
15 Mar SC Freiburg H 2–2 D
07 Mar Borussia Mönchengladbach A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 2–2 D
11 Apr RB Leipzig H 2–3 L
06 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–1 L
29 Mar 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 0–1 L
15 Mar FC Augsburg A 0–1 L
08 Mar FC St. Pauli 1910 H 1–1 D

Key Stats

48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 6 G
Anthony Caci 3 G 3 A
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 4 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' 1. FSV Mainz 05 have kicked off against VfL Wolfsburg. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 3' The Germany Maximilian Arnold breaks the deadlock on 3 minutes. 0-1!
  • 8' VfL Wolfsburg come into this ranked 12 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 13' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both 1. FSV Mainz 05 and VfL Wolfsburg are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 18' Both keepers have barely been tested. 1. FSV Mainz 05 and VfL Wolfsburg are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 23' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 28' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 33' The home supporters are growing impatient. 1. FSV Mainz 05 must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 37' What composure from Jae-sung Lee! The South Korea international strokes it home. 1-1.
  • 40' Dominik Kohr doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 45' Kamil Grabara is a natural goalkeeper and has been asked to do a very specific job for 1. FSV Mainz 05 tonight.
  • 50' Mohammed Amoura, a Algeria , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 51' Dominik Kohr is having his name booked by the referee on 51.
  • 56' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 61' It is a cagey affair so far. 1. FSV Mainz 05 in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past VfL Wolfsburg's compact 3-4-1-2.
  • 63' Another change for VfL Wolfsburg made on 63 minute. Kevin Paredes leaves to be changed by Tiago Tomas.
  • 67' That looks like a foul for a card for Nikolas Veratschnig.
  • 68' Tiago Tomas is having his name booked by the referee on 68.
  • 73' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 74' Jakub Kaminski gets the nod from VfL Wolfsburg. He replaces Jonas Wind and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 76' 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Hyun-seok Hong is hanging Nelson Weiper on the field on 76 minute.
  • 81' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering 1. FSV Mainz 05 that had 446 games and scored 424 goals.
  • 85' A tactical swap from VfL Wolfsburg — Lovro Majer on, Mattias Svanberg off on 85 minutes.
  • 89' Denis Vavro does the damage! The net is bulging and VfL Wolfsburg surge ahead!
  • 89' Another change for 1. FSV Mainz 05 made on 89 minute. Nikolas Veratschnig leaves to be changed by Silvan Widmer.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Joakim Maehle. He receives a card.
  • 90' The crowd applauds Jae-sung Lee as he leaves the pitch. Arnaud Nordin steps in for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.51 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38 VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for: 1. FSV Mainz 05 or VfL Wolfsburg 73% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0542% Draw27% VfL Wolfsburg31%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.89
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
69%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
58%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or VfL Wolfsburg
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0529% Draw45% VfL Wolfsburg26%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
7.7%
1 – 0
7.5%
0 – 0
7.4%
0 – 1
6.8%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.2%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push VfL Wolfsburg covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 20% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 18% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.