Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
1. FSV Mainz 05
2 – 2
Full Time
VfL Wolfsburg
Sat 19 Apr 2025 · 13:30 UTC MEWA Arena 31,500 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 3' Maximilian Arnold
Jae-sung Lee 37' 1–1
Dominik Kohr 40' 2–1
2–2 89' Denis Vavro
Dominik Kohr 51' Y
Nikolas Veratschnig 67' Y
Y 68' Tiago Tomas
Y 90' Joakim Maehle
Y 90' Denis Vavro

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Zwayer
  • Assistant 1 Robert Kempter
  • Assistant 2 Christian Dietz
35 games this season 🟨 1.6/game ⚽ 7.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Bayern München 34 89
2 Borussia Dortmund 34 73
3 RB Leipzig 34 65
4 VfB Stuttgart 34 62
5 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 61
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 59
7 SC Freiburg 34 47
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 44
9 FC Augsburg 34 43
10 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 40
11 1. FC Union Berlin 34 39
12 Borussia Monchengladbach 34 38
13 Hamburger SV 34 38
14 1. FC Koln 34 32
15 SV Werder Bremen 34 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29
17 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26
18 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26

Head-to-Head

4
7
14
1. FSV Mainz 05 25 games · Avg 3.0 goals VfL Wolfsburg
Last 5 meetings
2025-04-19 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 VfL Wolfsburg 2024-12-08 VfL Wolfsburg 4–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-05-18 VfL Wolfsburg 1–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-01-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg 2023-04-30 VfL Wolfsburg 3–0 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

1. FSV Mainz 05
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Apr VfL Wolfsburg H 2–2 D
12 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 0–2 L
05 Apr Holstein Kiel H 1–1 D
30 Mar Borussia Dortmund A 1–3 L
15 Mar SC Freiburg H 2–2 D
07 Mar Borussia Monchengladbach A 3–1 W
VfL Wolfsburg
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 2–2 D
11 Apr RB Leipzig H 2–3 L
06 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–1 L
29 Mar 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 0–1 L
15 Mar FC Augsburg A 0–1 L
08 Mar FC St. Pauli 1910 H 1–1 D

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 VfL Wolfsburg
#10 Position #16
40 Points 29
34 Played 34
10 / 10 / 14 W / D / L 7 / 8 / 19
44 Scored 45
53 Conceded 69
-9 GD -24
1.18 PPG 0.85
29% Win % 21%

Key Stats

48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
6% Clean Sheets
VfL Wolfsburg this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). VfL Wolfsburg are 16th (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
VfL Wolfsburg
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
–/3
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: VfL Wolfsburg gets underway.
  • 3' Maximilian Arnold adds to his 0 season tally! VfL Wolfsburg lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 8' 1. FSV Mainz 05 looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 13' With 0 assists to his name this season, Anthony Caci is clearly more than just a goal scorer for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 18' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 18 minutes.
  • 23' Portugal international Tiago Tomas has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 28' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 33' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Mohammed Amoura made 10 appearances and scored 30 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 37' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Jae-sung Lee makes it 1-1.
  • 40' Dominik Kohr puts 1. FSV Mainz 05 on the lead.
  • 45' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 50' 1. FSV Mainz 05 seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 51' The referee calls foul for Dominik Kohr. He receives a card.
  • 56' VfL Wolfsburg fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 61' VfL Wolfsburg are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 63' The VfL Wolfsburg manager makes a substitution. Kevin Paredes departs to be replaced by Tiago Tomas.
  • 67' Nikolas Veratschnig picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 68' Tiago Tomas picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 73' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 74' The supporters are chanting for Jakub Kaminski. He replaces Jonas Wind on 74 minute.
  • 76' The supporters are chanting for Hyun-seok Hong. He replaces Nelson Weiper on 76 minute.
  • 81' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering VfL Wolfsburg that had 471 games and scored 479 goals.
  • 85' Lovro Majer has so much to prove this time. He replaces Mattias Svanberg on 85 minute.
  • 89' Magnificent from Denis Vavro! That is 8 goals in 105 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 89' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Silvan Widmer comes on to replace Nikolas Veratschnig.
  • 90' Joakim Maehle catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
  • 90' 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Arnaud Nordin is hanging Jae-sung Lee on the field on 90 minute.
  • It finishes all square. 1. FSV Mainz 05 and VfL Wolfsburg share the spoils 2-2.

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Bo Henriksen

VfL Wolfsburg Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ralph Hasenhuttl

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Jonas Wind 7
Maximilian Arnold 3
Jonathan Burkardt 3
Max Kruse 3
Maximilian Philipp 2
Sebastiaan Bornauw 2
Stefan Bell 2
Wout Weghorst 2

Head to Head

2025-04-19 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 VfL Wolfsburg 2024-12-08 VfL Wolfsburg 4–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-05-18 VfL Wolfsburg 1–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-01-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg 2023-04-30 VfL Wolfsburg 3–0 1. FSV Mainz 05

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2025-04-19 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 VfL Wolfsburg D 2025-04-12 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-04-05 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Holstein Kiel D 2025-03-30 Borussia Dortmund 3–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-03-15 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 SC Freiburg D 2025-03-07 Borussia Monchengladbach 1–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 W

VfL Wolfsburg Form

2025-04-19 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 VfL Wolfsburg D 2025-04-11 VfL Wolfsburg 2–3 RB Leipzig L 2025-04-06 1. FC Union Berlin 1–0 VfL Wolfsburg L 2025-03-29 VfL Wolfsburg 0–1 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 L 2025-03-15 FC Augsburg 1–0 VfL Wolfsburg L 2025-03-08 VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.79 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.46 VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0546% Draw25% VfL Wolfsburg29%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.25
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
71%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
54%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or VfL Wolfsburg
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0533% Draw42% VfL Wolfsburg25%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11%
2 – 1
8.7%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
6.2%
2 – 0
6.2%
0 – 0
5.4%
3 – 1
5.2%
0 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
3.8%
3 – 0
3.6%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push VfL Wolfsburg covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 20% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 16% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.