Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Koln, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sun 24 Aug 2025 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC KolnBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Stieler
24 games this season 🟨 0.7/game 4.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Aug 1. FC Koln H 0–1 L
18 Aug SG Dynamo Dresden A 1–0 W
17 May Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–2 D
10 May VfL Bochum 1848 A 4–1 W
04 May Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–1 D
26 Apr FC Bayern München A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Aug 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–0 W
17 Aug SSV Jahn Regensburg A 2–1 W
18 May 1. FC Kaiserslautern H 4–0 W
09 May 1. FC Nurnberg A 2–1 W
03 May SSV Jahn Regensburg H 1–1 D
27 Apr Hannover 96 A 0–1 L

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 1. FC Koln
#10 Position #14
40 Points 32
34 Played 34
10 / 10 / 14 W / D / L 7 / 11 / 16
44 Scored 49
53 Conceded 63
-9 GD -14
1.18 PPG 0.94
29% Win % 21%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
9% Clean Sheets
1. FC Koln this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). 1. FC Koln are 14th (32 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FC Koln
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
/1
61-75
3/6
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Koln.
  • With this win, 1. FC Koln is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

1. FC Koln Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.38 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21 1. FC Koln xG
I would bet for: 1. FSV Mainz 05 or 1. FC Koln 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0538% Draw29% 1. FC Koln33%
Actual: 1. FC Koln win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.59
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
67%
Draw or 1. FC Koln
62%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or 1. FC Koln
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0529% Draw48% 1. FC Koln23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 0
9.5%
1 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 0
6.9%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push 1. FC Koln covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 20% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 18% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
30%
1. FC Koln keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.