Thursday , 2 July 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig, DFB-Pokal 2024-25 SEMI FINALS

DFB-Pokal · 2024-25
Wed 2 Apr 2025 · 18:45 UTC MHPArena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs RB LeipzigDFB-Pokal at MHPArena.

Match Details

  • Referee Sven Jablonski
25 games this season 🟨 0.6/game 4.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Apr RB Leipzig H 3–1 W
29 Mar Eintracht Frankfurt A 0–1 L
16 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 3–4 L
08 Mar Holstein Kiel A 2–2 D
28 Feb FC Bayern München H 1–3 L
23 Feb TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Apr VfB Stuttgart A 1–3 L
29 Mar Borussia Monchengladbach A 0–1 L
15 Mar Borussia Dortmund H 2–0 W
08 Mar SC Freiburg A 0–0 D
01 Mar 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–2 L
26 Feb VfL Wolfsburg H 1–0 W

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! VfB Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Against the run of play, Angelo Stiller has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 10' VfB Stuttgart is showing some good football. However, VfB Stuttgart are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 15' A quiet spell here at MHPArena. VfB Stuttgart seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 25' With 0 assists to his name this season, Alexander Nubel is clearly more than just a goal scorer for RB Leipzig.
  • 30' El Bilal Toure has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 35' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 36' Nicolas Seiwald was booked on 36.
  • 41' VfB Stuttgart are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 46' It is a cagey affair so far. VfB Stuttgart in their trying to find a way past RB Leipzig's compact .
  • 51' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 56' RB Leipzig are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 57' Against the run of play, Nick Woltemade has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 62' Brilliant from the ! Benjamin Sesko makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 62.
  • 67' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 70' RB Leipzig make a change. Kosta Nedeljkovic trudges off to be replaced by Christoph Baumgartner on 70 minutes.
  • 73' What a moment for Jamie Leweling! That strike on 73 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 76' VfB Stuttgart manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Fabian Rieder is hanging Enzo Millot on the field on 76 minute.
  • 77' VfB Stuttgart manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Leonidas Stergiou is hanging Jamie Leweling on the field on 77 minute.
  • 79' The referee calls foul for Zsolt Low. He receives a card.
  • 80' It is a substitution in RB Leipzig team. Ridle Baku is replaced by Tidiam Gomis on 80 minute.
  • 85' The home supporters are growing impatient. VfB Stuttgart must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 90' The crowd applauds Ermedin Demirovic as he leaves the pitch. El Bilal Toure steps in for VfB Stuttgart.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. VfB Stuttgart take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.78 VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart47% Draw25% RB Leipzig28%
Actual: VfB Stuttgart win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.2
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw
72%
Draw or RB Leipzig
53%
VfB Stuttgart or RB Leipzig
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfB Stuttgart33% Draw43% RB Leipzig24%
Actual: VfB Stuttgart win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
7.1%
1 – 0
6.5%
2 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
5%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
3.8%
3 – 0
3.7%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap VfB Stuttgart covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 14% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 20% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 16% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
25%
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.