Sunday , 16 August 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig, DFB-Pokal 2024-25 SEMI FINALS

DFB-Pokal · 2024-25
Wed 2 Apr 2025 · 18:45 UTC MHPArena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs RB LeipzigDFB-Pokal at MHPArena.

Match Details

  • Referee Sven Jablonski
7 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 1.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Apr RB Leipzig H 3–1 W
29 Mar Eintracht Frankfurt A 0–1 L
16 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 3–4 L
08 Mar Holstein Kiel A 2–2 D
28 Feb FC Bayern München H 1–3 L
23 Feb TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Apr VfB Stuttgart A 1–3 L
29 Mar Borussia Mönchengladbach A 0–1 L
15 Mar Borussia Dortmund H 2–0 W
08 Mar SC Freiburg A 0–0 D
01 Mar 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–2 L
26 Feb VfL Wolfsburg H 1–0 W

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against VfB Stuttgart and RB Leipzig has kicked off!
  • 5' Angelo Stiller puts VfB Stuttgart on the lead.
  • 10' Arthur Vermeeren is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for VfB Stuttgart so far.
  • 15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 20' Both keepers have barely been tested. VfB Stuttgart and RB Leipzig are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 25' It looks surprising VfB Stuttgart does not make any changes. Tidiam Gomis has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 30' Over 30 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 35' RB Leipzig come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 36' Nicolas Seiwald catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 36.
  • 41' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both VfB Stuttgart and RB Leipzig are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 46' Nicolas Seiwald has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 222 appearances.
  • 51' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 56' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 56 minutes.
  • 57' A goal from the Germany international Nick Woltemade! He fires home on 57 to make it 2-0!
  • 62' GOAL! Benjamin Sesko scores on 62. Assisted by Willi Orban
  • 67' RB Leipzig are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 70' RB Leipzig make a change. Kosta Nedeljkovic trudges off to be replaced by Christoph Baumgartner on 70 minutes.
  • 73' GOAL! Jamie Leweling scores on 73. Assisted by Nick Woltemade
  • 76' Fabian Rieder has so much to prove this time. He replaces Enzo Millot on 76 minute.
  • 77' Jamie Leweling makes way for Leonidas Stergiou at the 77 minute mark. A tactical switch from VfB Stuttgart.
  • 79' The referee shows RB Leipzig player a card on 79.
  • 80' The supporters are chanting for Tidiam Gomis. He replaces Ridle Baku on 80 minute.
  • 85' Xavi Simons, a Netherlands , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 90' El Bilal Toure is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ermedin Demirovic at the 90 minute mark.
  • RB Leipzig will have plenty to reflect on. VfB Stuttgart were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.78 VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart47% Draw25% RB Leipzig28%
Actual: VfB Stuttgart win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.2
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw
72%
Draw or RB Leipzig
53%
VfB Stuttgart or RB Leipzig
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfB Stuttgart33% Draw43% RB Leipzig24%
Actual: VfB Stuttgart win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
7.1%
1 – 0
6.5%
2 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
5%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
3.8%
3 – 0
3.7%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap VfB Stuttgart covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 14% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 20% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 16% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
25%
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.