Holstein Kiel vs VfB Stuttgart, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2024-25

Holstein Kiel

2 – 2

Full Time

VfB Stuttgart

Sat 8 Mar 2025 · 14:30 UTC Holstein-Stadion 15,034 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 15' Jamie Leweling

Steven Skrzybski 30' 1–1

Steven Skrzybski 46' 2–1

2–2 55' Ermedin Demirovic

Y 8' Enzo Millot

R 52' Leonidas Stergiou

Nicolai Remberg 83' Y

Y 90' Jamie Leweling

Overview

Match Preview

Holstein Kiel vs VfB Stuttgart — Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.

Holstein Kiel 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
VfB Stuttgart 4 games · 3 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Bastian Dankert
Assistant 1 Rene Rohde
Assistant 2 Jan Neitzel

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	12
2	FC Bayern Munchen	4	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	7
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	4	7
6	1. FSV Mainz 05	4	7
7	SV 07 Elversberg	4	7
8	SV Werder Bremen	4	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	4
13	1. FC Koln	4	4
14	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	4	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	3
17	1. FC Union Berlin	4	1
18	Borussia Monchengladbach	4	0

Head-to-Head

Holstein Kiel 3 games · Avg 3.3 goals VfB Stuttgart

Last 5 meetings

2025-03-08 Holstein Kiel 2–2 VfB Stuttgart 2024-10-26 VfB Stuttgart 2–1 Holstein Kiel

Recent Form

Holstein Kiel

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
08 Mar	VfB Stuttgart	H	2–2	D
02 Mar	1. FC Union Berlin	A	1–0	W
22 Feb	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	0–2	L
16 Feb	Eintracht Frankfurt	A	1–3	L
09 Feb	VfL Bochum 1848	H	2–2	D
01 Feb	FC Bayern Munchen	A	3–4	L

VfB Stuttgart

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
08 Mar	Holstein Kiel	A	2–2	D
28 Feb	FC Bayern Munchen	H	1–3	L
23 Feb	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	A	1–1	D
15 Feb	VfL Wolfsburg	H	1–2	L
08 Feb	Borussia Dortmund	A	2–1	W
04 Feb	FC Augsburg	H	1–0	W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)

100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfB Stuttgart

0-15

–/1

16-30

–/1

31-45

1/–

46-60

3/1

61-75

1/2

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

VfB Stuttgart

Josha Vagnoman	2 G	1 A
Ermedin Demirovic	1 G
Grischa Promel	1 G
Bilal El Khannouss	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Holstein Kiel and VfB Stuttgart get this one started.
5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
8' Poor challenge from Enzo Millot. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
13' Alexander Nubel is a natural goalkeeper and has been asked to do a very specific job for VfB Stuttgart tonight.
15' What a moment for Jamie Leweling! That strike on 15 puts his side firmly in control.
20' Lasse Rosenboom has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 6 cards already picked up this season.
25' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Holstein Kiel and VfB Stuttgart are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
30' What composure from Steven Skrzybski! The Germany international strokes it home. 1-1.
35' Ermedin Demirovic has been relatively quiet despite scoring 64 goals in his last 335 appearances.
40' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Holstein Kiel and VfB Stuttgart are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
45' named a 3-4-1-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-2-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
46' The Germany Steven Skrzybski breaks the deadlock on 46 minutes. 2-1!
46' Time for substitution for VfB Stuttgart. Deniz Undav is replaced by Ermedin Demirovic.
51' Holstein Kiel are deployed in a 3-4-1-2 today, looking to exploit space against VfB Stuttgart's 4-2-2-2 shape.
52' That looks like a foul for a card for Leonidas Stergiou.
55' Magnificent from Ermedin Demirovic! That is 64 goals in 335 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
60' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Holstein Kiel needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
61' Josha Vagnoman is replacing Enzo Millot for the VfB Stuttgart side.
63' It is a substitution in Holstein Kiel team. Steven Skrzybski is replaced by Alexander Bernhardsson on 63 minute.
68' Both keepers have barely been tested. Holstein Kiel and VfB Stuttgart are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
73' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
77' Holstein Kiel ring the changes. Magnus Knudsen has done his job and it is now time for Lewis Holtby to step up.
82' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Holstein Kiel that had 284 games and scored 180 goals.
83' The referee shows Holstein Kiel player a card on 83.
84' Holstein Kiel ring the changes. Armin Gigovic has done his job and it is now time for Marvin Schulz to step up.
87' Another substitution for VfB Stuttgart to replace Nick Woltemade by El Bilal Toure on 87 minute.
90' Controversy at the stadium! Jamie Leweling argues furiously but the card stands.
90' Pascal Stenzel is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jamie Leweling at the 90 minute mark.
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Holstein Kiel Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

7
Steven Skrzybski ↓ Alexander Bernhardsson 63'
18
Shuto Machino
1
Timon Weiner
24
Magnus Knudsen ↓ Lewis Holtby 77'
17
Timo Becker
3
Marco Komenda ↓ Finn Porath 77'
37
Armin Gigovic ↓ Marvin Schulz 84'
22
Nicolai Remberg
23
Lasse Rosenboom
6
Marko Ivezic ↓ Jann-Fiete Arp 63'
26
David Zec

Bench

Coach Marcel Rapp

VfB Stuttgart Lineups

4-2-2-2

Starting XI

16
Atakan Karazor
7
Maximilian Mittelstadt
33
Alexander Nubel
27
Chris Fuhrich ↓ Jacob Bruun Larsen 46'
20
Leonidas Stergiou
18
Jamie Leweling ↓ Pascal Stenzel 90'
11
Nick Woltemade ↓ El Bilal Toure 87'
26
Deniz Undav ↓ Ermedin Demirovic 46'
8
Enzo Millot ↓ Josha Vagnoman 61'
6
Angelo Stiller
3
Ramon Hendriks

Bench

Coach Sebastian Hoeneß

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Steven Skrzybski	2
El Bilal Toure	1
Deniz Undav	1
Armin Gigovic	1
Ermedin Demirovic	1
Jamie Leweling	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.39 Holstein Kiel xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.52 VfB Stuttgart xG

I would bet for: Holstein Kiel or VfB Stuttgart 73% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Holstein Kiel36% Draw27% VfB Stuttgart37%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes59% 0% No41%

Avg goals/match: 2.91

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	79%	21%
± 2.5	55%	45%
± 3.5	33%	67%
± 4.5	18%	82%

Double Chance

Holstein Kiel or Draw

63%

Draw or VfB Stuttgart

64%

Holstein Kiel or VfB Stuttgart

73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Holstein Kiel26% Draw45% VfB Stuttgart29%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.4%

1 – 2

8.4%

2 – 1

7.7%

0 – 1

7.4%

0 – 0

7.3%

1 – 0

6.7%

0 – 2

6.2%

2 – 2

Actual

2 – 0

5.2%

1 – 3

4.2%

3 – 1

3.6%

0 – 3

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel

Handicap	Holstein Kiel covers	Push	VfB Stuttgart covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	10%	84%
-1.5	16%	—	84%
-1	16%	18%	66%
-0.5	34%	—	66%
+0.5	61%	—	39%
+1	61%	19%	20%
+1.5	80%	—	20%
+2	80%	12%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

Holstein Kiel vs VfB Stuttgart, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Overview

Match Preview

Match Details

Standings

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Key Stats

Goal Timing (This Season)

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Holstein Kiel Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

VfB Stuttgart Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Head to Head

Holstein Kiel Form

VfB Stuttgart Form

Predictions

Match Result

Both Teams to Score

Over / Under Goals

Double Chance

Half-Time Result

Correct Score

Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel

Clean Sheet