Thursday , 2 July 2026

Holstein Kiel vs VfB Stuttgart, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 8 Mar 2025 · 14:30 UTC Holstein-Stadion 15,034 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 15' Jamie Leweling
Steven Skrzybski 30' 1–1
Steven Skrzybski 46' 2–1
2–2 55' Ermedin Demirovic

Overview

Match Preview

Holstein Kiel vs VfB StuttgartBundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Bastian Dankert
  • Assistant 1 Rene Rohde
  • Assistant 2 Jan Neitzel
16 games this season 🟨 0.4/game 4.1 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
2
Holstein Kiel 3 games · Avg 3.3 goals VfB Stuttgart

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar VfB Stuttgart H 2–2 D
02 Mar 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–0 W
22 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–2 L
16 Feb Eintracht Frankfurt A 1–3 L
09 Feb VfL Bochum 1848 H 2–2 D
01 Feb FC Bayern München A 3–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Holstein Kiel A 2–2 D
28 Feb FC Bayern München H 1–3 L
23 Feb TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–1 D
15 Feb VfL Wolfsburg H 1–2 L
08 Feb Borussia Dortmund A 2–1 W
04 Feb FC Augsburg H 1–0 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
32% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfB Stuttgart
0-15
2/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Holstein-Stadion. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 8' The referee shows VfB Stuttgart player a card on 8.
  • 13' VfB Stuttgart seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 15' A stunning finish from Jamie Leweling — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Marco Komenda suffering a number of foals already.
  • 25' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 30' Goal! Steven Skrzybski scores his 20 goal in 406 matches.
  • 35' Shuto Machino has been relatively quiet despite scoring 48 goals in his last 302 appearances.
  • 40' Germany international Deniz Undav has been a key figure this campaign — 4 goals and 2 assists in the Array this season.
  • 45' The energy levels are beginning to show. Sebastian Hoeneß might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 46' GOAL! Steven Skrzybski fires home to make it 2-1!
  • 46' The VfB Stuttgart manager makes a substitution. Deniz Undav departs to be replaced by Ermedin Demirovic.
  • 51' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 52' Poor challenge from Leonidas Stergiou. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 55' The deadlock is broken! Ermedin Demirovic gets on the scoresheet on 55 minutes.
  • 60' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 61' It is a substitution in VfB Stuttgart team. Enzo Millot is replaced by Josha Vagnoman on 61 minute.
  • 63' A change in the Holstein Kiel ranks — Steven Skrzybski exits the field as Alexander Bernhardsson enters on 63.
  • 68' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 68 minutes.
  • 73' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 77' Another change for Holstein Kiel made on 77 minute. Magnus Knudsen leaves to be changed by Lewis Holtby.
  • 82' VfB Stuttgart come into this ranked 9 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 83' Nicolai Remberg is having his name booked by the referee on 83.
  • 84' Holstein Kiel make a change. Armin Gigovic trudges off to be replaced by Marvin Schulz on 84 minutes.
  • 87' Time for substitution for VfB Stuttgart. Nick Woltemade is replaced by El Bilal Toure.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Jamie Leweling on 90 minutes.
  • 90' Fresh legs for VfB Stuttgart! Pascal Stenzel comes on to replace Jamie Leweling.
  • 2-2 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.39 Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.52 VfB Stuttgart xG
I would bet for: Holstein Kiel or VfB Stuttgart 73% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Holstein Kiel36% Draw27% VfB Stuttgart37%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.91
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Holstein Kiel or Draw
63%
Draw or VfB Stuttgart
64%
Holstein Kiel or VfB Stuttgart
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Holstein Kiel26% Draw45% VfB Stuttgart29%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 2
8.4%
2 – 1
7.7%
0 – 1
7.4%
0 – 0
7.3%
1 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
5.2%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 1
3.6%
0 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel

Handicap Holstein Kiel covers Push VfB Stuttgart covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 18% 66%
-0.5 34% 66%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 19% 20%
+1.5 80% 20%
+2 80% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
23%
VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.