Sunday , 16 August 2026

Holstein Kiel vs VfB Stuttgart, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 8 Mar 2025 · 14:30 UTC Holstein-Stadion 15,034 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 15' Jamie Leweling
Steven Skrzybski 30' 1–1
Steven Skrzybski 46' 2–1
2–2 55' Ermedin Demirovic

Overview

Match Preview

Holstein Kiel vs VfB StuttgartBundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Bastian Dankert
  • Assistant 1 Rene Rohde
  • Assistant 2 Jan Neitzel

Head-to-Head

1
2
Holstein Kiel 3 games · Avg 3.3 goals VfB Stuttgart

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar VfB Stuttgart H 2–2 D
02 Mar 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–0 W
22 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–2 L
16 Feb Eintracht Frankfurt A 1–3 L
09 Feb VfL Bochum 1848 H 2–2 D
01 Feb FC Bayern München A 3–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Holstein Kiel A 2–2 D
28 Feb FC Bayern München H 1–3 L
23 Feb TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–1 D
15 Feb VfL Wolfsburg H 1–2 L
08 Feb Borussia Dortmund A 2–1 W
04 Feb FC Augsburg H 1–0 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Holstein Kiel kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' It’s high time Sebastian Hoeneß made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 8' Enzo Millot picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 13' The travelling VfB Stuttgart supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 15' Brilliant from the ! Jamie Leweling makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 15.
  • 20' Alexander Nubel, a Germany goalkeeper, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Marko Ivezic suffering a number of foals already.
  • 30' What a strike from Steven Skrzybski! The score is 1-1.
  • 35' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Leonidas Stergiou made 3 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 40' It is a cagey affair so far. Holstein Kiel in their 3-4-1-2 trying to find a way past VfB Stuttgart's compact 4-2-2-2.
  • 45' Both keepers have barely been tested. Holstein Kiel and VfB Stuttgart are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 46' GOAL! Steven Skrzybski fires home to make it 2-1!
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Ermedin Demirovic. He replaces Deniz Undav on 46 minute.
  • 51' Deniz Undav has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 8 appearances with only 3 goals this season.
  • 52' That looks like a foul for a card for Leonidas Stergiou.
  • 55' Brilliant from the ! Ermedin Demirovic makes it 2-2 with a superb finish on 55.
  • 60' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 61' A change in the VfB Stuttgart ranks — Enzo Millot exits the field as Josha Vagnoman enters on 61.
  • 63' It is a substitution in Holstein Kiel team. Steven Skrzybski is replaced by Alexander Bernhardsson on 63 minute.
  • 68' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 73' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. VfB Stuttgart needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 77' A change in the Holstein Kiel ranks — Magnus Knudsen exits the field as Lewis Holtby enters on 77.
  • 82' Timo Becker has been relatively quiet despite scoring 7 goals in his last 406 appearances.
  • 83' A moment of madness from Nicolai Remberg on 83 minutes earns him a card. Holstein Kiel will be frustrated.
  • 84' Holstein Kiel manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Marvin Schulz is hanging Armin Gigovic on the field on 84 minute.
  • 87' The VfB Stuttgart manager makes a substitution. Nick Woltemade departs to be replaced by El Bilal Toure.
  • 90' Jamie Leweling was booked on 90.
  • 90' The VfB Stuttgart manager makes a substitution. Jamie Leweling departs to be replaced by Pascal Stenzel.
  • celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.39 Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.52 VfB Stuttgart xG
I would bet for: Holstein Kiel or VfB Stuttgart 73% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Holstein Kiel36% Draw27% VfB Stuttgart37%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.91
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Holstein Kiel or Draw
63%
Draw or VfB Stuttgart
64%
Holstein Kiel or VfB Stuttgart
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Holstein Kiel26% Draw45% VfB Stuttgart29%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 2
8.4%
2 – 1
7.7%
0 – 1
7.4%
0 – 0
7.3%
1 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
5.2%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 1
3.6%
0 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel

Handicap Holstein Kiel covers Push VfB Stuttgart covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 18% 66%
-0.5 34% 66%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 19% 20%
+1.5 80% 20%
+2 80% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
23%
VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.