Thursday , 2 July 2026

RB Leipzig vs VfB Stuttgart, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Fri 25 Aug 2023 · 18:30 UTC Red Bull Arena 46,084 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 35' Sehrou Guirassy
Benjamin Henrichs 51' 1–1
Dani Olmo 63' 2–1
Lois Openda 66' 3–1
Kevin Kampl 74' 4–1
Xavi Simons 76' 5–1

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs VfB StuttgartBundesliga at Red Bull Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Frank Willenborg
  • Assistant 1 Guido Kleve
  • Assistant 2 Aarne Aarnink
14 games this season 🟨 1.1/game 7.6 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Aug VfB Stuttgart H 5–1 W
19 Aug Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 2–3 L
03 Jun Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–0 W
27 May FC Schalke 04 H 4–2 W
20 May FC Bayern München A 3–1 W
14 May SV Werder Bremen H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Aug RB Leipzig A 1–5 L
19 Aug VfL Bochum 1848 H 5–0 W
12 Aug TSG Balingen A 4–0 W
27 May TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–1 D
21 May 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 4–1 W
14 May Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–1 D

Season Stats

RB Leipzig VfB Stuttgart
#3 Position #4
65 Points 62
34 Played 34
20 / 5 / 9 W / D / L 18 / 8 / 8
66 Scored 71
47 Conceded 49
+19 GD +22
1.91 PPG 1.82
59% Win % 53%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
32% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season

RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts). VfB Stuttgart are 4th (62 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
1/
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
VfB Stuttgart
0-15
2/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: VfB Stuttgart gets underway.
  • 5' Yussuf Poulsen has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering VfB Stuttgart that had 438 games and scored 440 goals.
  • 25' VfB Stuttgart looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 30' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 35' What composure from Sehrou Guirassy! The Guinea international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 40' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 45' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Marco Rose.
  • 50' It looks surprising VfB Stuttgart does not make any changes. Waldemar Anton has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 51' GOAL! Benjamin Henrichs scores on 51.
  • 53' Lois Openda doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 58' Borna Sosa has so much to prove this time. He replaces Silas Katompa Mvumpa on 58 minute.
  • 61' Xaver Schlager picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 63' A stunning finish from Dani Olmo — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 65' Controversy at the stadium! Lilian Egloff argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 66' What a strike from Lois Openda! The score is 4-1.
  • 70' The crowd applauds Lilian Egloff as he leaves the pitch. Genki Haraguchi steps in for VfB Stuttgart.
  • 74' What composure from Kevin Kampl! The Slovenia international strokes it home. 5-1.
  • 76' Xavi Simons is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
  • 79' RB Leipzig ring the changes. Lois Openda has done his job and it is now time for Emil Forsberg to step up.
  • 80' Timo Werner is replacing Xavi Simons for the RB Leipzig side.
  • 85' Another substitution for RB Leipzig to replace Dani Olmo by Christoph Baumgartner on 85 minute.
  • 90' Jamie Leweling is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jeong Wooyeong at the 90 minute mark.
  • RB Leipzig celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.5 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.56 VfB Stuttgart xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig58% Draw20% VfB Stuttgart22%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes72% 0% No28%
Avg goals/match: 4.06
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 76%
24%
± 3.5 57%
43%
± 4.5 38%
62%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
79%
Draw or VfB Stuttgart
42%
RB Leipzig or VfB Stuttgart
80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig43% Draw36% VfB Stuttgart21%
Actual: VfB Stuttgart win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 1
7.5%
3 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
6.3%
2 – 0
5.5%
3 – 2
5.2%
1 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
4.5%
4 – 1
4.2%
1 – 0
4%
4 – 2
3.3%
2 – 3
3.3%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push VfB Stuttgart covers
-2.5 21% 79%
-2 21% 17% 63%
-1.5 37% 63%
-1 37% 20% 43%
-0.5 57% 43%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 12% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
22%
VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
9%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.