RB Leipzig vs VfB Stuttgart, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
RB Leipzig vs VfB Stuttgart — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.
- RB Leipzig 34 games · 65 pts (2025/26)
- VfB Stuttgart 34 games · 62 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Frank Willenborg
- Assistant 1 Guido Kleve
- Assistant 2 Aarne Aarnink
14 games this season
🟨 1.1/game
⚽ 7.6 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug | VfB Stuttgart | H | 5–1 | W |
| 19 Aug | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 2–3 | L |
| 03 Jun | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 2–0 | W |
| 27 May | FC Schalke 04 | H | 4–2 | W |
| 20 May | FC Bayern München | A | 3–1 | W |
| 14 May | SV Werder Bremen | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug | RB Leipzig | A | 1–5 | L |
| 19 Aug | VfL Bochum 1848 | H | 5–0 | W |
| 12 Aug | TSG Balingen | A | 4–0 | W |
| 27 May | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 May | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 4–1 | W |
| 14 May | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| RB Leipzig | VfB Stuttgart | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #4 |
| 65 | Points | 62 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 20 / 5 / 9 | W / D / L | 18 / 8 / 8 |
| 66 | Scored | 71 |
| 47 | Conceded | 49 |
| +19 | GD | +22 |
| 1.91 | PPG | 1.82 |
| 59% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
58%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
32%
Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
RB Leipzig this season
32%
Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
VfB Stuttgart this season
RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts). VfB Stuttgart are 4th (62 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
RB Leipzig
0-15
1/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
VfB Stuttgart
0-15
2/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: VfB Stuttgart gets underway.
- 5' Yussuf Poulsen has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering VfB Stuttgart that had 438 games and scored 440 goals.
- 25' VfB Stuttgart looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 30' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 35' What composure from Sehrou Guirassy! The Guinea international strokes it home. 0-1.
- 40' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 45' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Marco Rose.
- 50' It looks surprising VfB Stuttgart does not make any changes. Waldemar Anton has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 51' GOAL! Benjamin Henrichs scores on 51.
- 53' Lois Openda doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 58' Borna Sosa has so much to prove this time. He replaces Silas Katompa Mvumpa on 58 minute.
- 61' Xaver Schlager picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 63' A stunning finish from Dani Olmo — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 65' Controversy at the stadium! Lilian Egloff argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 66' What a strike from Lois Openda! The score is 4-1.
- 70' The crowd applauds Lilian Egloff as he leaves the pitch. Genki Haraguchi steps in for VfB Stuttgart.
- 74' What composure from Kevin Kampl! The Slovenia international strokes it home. 5-1.
- 76' Xavi Simons is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
- 79' RB Leipzig ring the changes. Lois Openda has done his job and it is now time for Emil Forsberg to step up.
- 80' Timo Werner is replacing Xavi Simons for the RB Leipzig side.
- 85' Another substitution for RB Leipzig to replace Dani Olmo by Christoph Baumgartner on 85 minute.
- 90' Jamie Leweling is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jeong Wooyeong at the 90 minute mark.
- RB Leipzig celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
RB Leipzig Lineups
4-2-2-2Starting XI
-
17
Lois Openda ↓ Emil Forsberg 79'
- 21
- 39
-
9
Yussuf Poulsen ↓ Benjamin Sesko 79'
- 4
- 44
- 22
- 7
- 24
- 2
-
20
Xavi Simons ↓ Timo Werner 80'
Bench
-
14
Christoph Baumgartner ↑ 85'
-
11
Timo Werner ↑ 80'
-
10
Emil Forsberg ↑ 79'
-
16
Lukas Klostermann ↑ 85'
- 25
- 13
- 18
- 23
-
30
Benjamin Sesko ↑ 79'
Coach
Marco Rose
VfB Stuttgart Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 16
- 23
- 2
- 33
- 15
- 27
- 9
- 21
-
10
Jeong Wooyeong ↓ Jamie Leweling 90'
-
25
Lilian Egloff ↓ Genki Haraguchi 70'
- 14
Bench
-
17
Genki Haraguchi ↑ 70'
-
7
Maximilian Mittelstadt ↑ 90'
-
24
Borna Sosa ↑ 58'
-
32
Roberto Massimo ↑ 70'
- 1
- 20
-
18
Jamie Leweling ↑ 90'
- 8
- 19
Coach
Sebastian Hoeneß
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Deniz Undav | 4 |
| Dominik Szoboszlai | 4 |
| Benjamin Sesko | 3 |
| Nick Woltemade | 3 |
| Andre Silva | 2 |
| Christopher Nkunku | 2 |
| Yussuf Poulsen | 2 |
| Lois Openda | 2 |
Head to Head
RB Leipzig Form
VfB Stuttgart Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.5
RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.56
VfB Stuttgart xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: RB Leipzig win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.06
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 3.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 4.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
Double Chance
RB Leipzig or Draw
79%
Draw or VfB Stuttgart
42%
RB Leipzig or VfB Stuttgart
80%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: VfB Stuttgart win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–1 not predicted5 – 1Actual
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 1
7.5%
3 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
6.3%
2 – 0
5.5%
3 – 2
5.2%
1 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
4.5%
4 – 1
4.2%
1 – 0
4%
4 – 2
3.3%
2 – 3
3.3%
Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig
| Handicap | RB Leipzig covers | Push | VfB Stuttgart covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -2 | 21% | 17% | 63% |
| -1.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| -1 | 37% | 20% | 43% |
| -0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 12% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

