VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Bundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.
- VfB Stuttgart 34 games · 62 pts (2025/26)
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 games · 59 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Daniel Siebert
- Assistant 1 Rafael Foltyn
- Assistant 2 Lasse Koslowski
29 games this season
🟨 1.6/game
⚽ 5.8 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 3–4 | L |
| 08 Mar | Holstein Kiel | A | 2–2 | D |
| 28 Feb | FC Bayern München | H | 1–3 | L |
| 23 Feb | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Feb | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Feb | Borussia Dortmund | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar | VfB Stuttgart | A | 4–3 | W |
| 11 Mar | FC Bayern München | H | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Mar | SV Werder Bremen | H | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Mar | FC Bayern München | A | 0–3 | L |
| 01 Mar | Eintracht Frankfurt | A | 4–1 | W |
| 22 Feb | Holstein Kiel | A | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| VfB Stuttgart | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #6 |
| 62 | Points | 59 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 18 / 8 / 8 | W / D / L | 17 / 8 / 9 |
| 71 | Scored | 68 |
| 49 | Conceded | 47 |
| +22 | GD | +21 |
| 1.82 | PPG | 1.74 |
| 53% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
70%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
H2H (23 games)
61%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
32%
Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
VfB Stuttgart this season
24%
Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
VfB Stuttgart are 4th (62 pts). Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 6th (59 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
VfB Stuttgart
0-15
2/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for VfB Stuttgart to score. At the same time, Bayer 04 Leverkusen does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Bayer 04 Leverkusen started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
- 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 15' Ermedin Demirovic is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 3 goals this season for the .
- 20' VfB Stuttgart currently sit 10 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Alejandro Grimaldo made 467 appearances and scored 46 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 27' It’s a booking for VfB Stuttgart player. Atakan Karazor gets a card.
- 32' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 37' The travelling Bayer 04 Leverkusen supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 42' VfB Stuttgart looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Ermedin Demirovic scoring 1 goals.
- 47' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 48' What composure from Nick Woltemade! The Germany international strokes it home. 2-0.
- 51' VfB Stuttgart player sees a card in front of him.
- 56' GOAL! Jeremie Frimpong scores on 56.
- 57' The Bayer 04 Leverkusen bench stirs into life. Aleix Garcia is withdrawn and Amine Adli gets his opportunity.
- 62' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Granit Xhaka makes no mistake. 2-2!
- 64' That is a card for VfB Stuttgart. Nick Woltemade will be fuming at that decision.
- 67' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Piero Hincapie makes it 2-3.
- 68' A change in the VfB Stuttgart ranks — Enzo Millot exits the field as Deniz Undav enters on 68.
- 73' Nordi Mukiele, a France , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 74' The referee shows Bayer 04 Leverkusen player a card on 74.
- 74' Time for substitution for Bayer 04 Leverkusen. Robert Andrich is replaced by Arthur Augusto.
- 77' Poor challenge from Piero Hincapie. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 77' A tactical swap from VfB Stuttgart — El Bilal Toure on, Ermedin Demirovic off on 77 minutes.
- 78' The VfB Stuttgart bench stirs into life. Ameen Al Dakhil is withdrawn and Julian Chabot gets his opportunity.
- 83' Bayer 04 Leverkusen are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 88' Against the run of play, Angelo Stiller has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 89' A change in the VfB Stuttgart ranks — Maximilian Mittelstadt exits the field as Chris Fuhrich enters on 89.
- 90' Xabi Alonso was booked on 90.
- The points are shared — VfB Stuttgart 3-4 Bayer 04 Leverkusen. Honours even.
Lineups
VfB Stuttgart Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 16
- 9
- 7
- 33
-
18
Jamie Leweling ↓ Josha Vagnoman 68'
- 11
-
8
Enzo Millot ↓ Deniz Undav 68'
- 6
- 3
-
2
Ameen Al Dakhil ↓ Julian Chabot 78'
- 29
Bench
-
24
Julian Chabot ↑ 78'
-
4
Josha Vagnoman ↑ 68'
- 25
-
27
Chris Fuhrich ↑ 89'
- 1
-
10
El Bilal Toure ↑ 77'
- 5
-
26
Deniz Undav ↑ 68'
- 14
Coach
Sebastian Hoeneß
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 34
- 4
- 1
- 23
-
8
Robert Andrich ↓ Arthur Augusto 74'
-
24
Aleix Garcia ↓ Amine Adli 57'
- 14
- 25
- 20
- 30
- 3
Bench
- 16
- 7
- 36
-
21
Amine Adli ↑ 57'
- 17
-
22
Victor Boniface ↑ 57'
-
13
Arthur Augusto ↑ 74'
- 18
- 26
Coach
Xabi Alonso
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Patrik Schick | 4 |
| Florian Wirtz | 4 |
| Robert Andrich | 3 |
| Amine Adli | 3 |
| Sasa Kalajdzic | 3 |
| Chris Fuhrich | 3 |
| Orel Mangala | 2 |
| Ermedin Demirovic | 2 |
Head to Head
VfB Stuttgart Form
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form
2025-03-16
VfB Stuttgart
3–4
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W
2025-03-11
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–2
FC Bayern München
L
2025-03-08
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–2
SV Werder Bremen
L
2025-03-05
FC Bayern München
3–0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
L
2025-03-01
Eintracht Frankfurt
1–4
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W
2025-02-22
Holstein Kiel
0–2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.98
VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 77% + VfB Stuttgart or Bayer 04 Leverkusen 76%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.18
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 3.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 4.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
Double Chance
VfB Stuttgart or Draw
59%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
65%
VfB Stuttgart or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: VfB Stuttgart win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–4 not predicted3 – 4Actual
1 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.5%
1 – 3
5.2%
2 – 3
5.1%
3 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.2%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 3
3.4%
2 – 0
3.1%
0 – 1
3%
Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart
| Handicap | VfB Stuttgart covers | Push | Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 11% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 16% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 18% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +2 | 74% | 13% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.