VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Bundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.
- VfB Stuttgart 4 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Daniel Siebert
- Assistant 1 Rafael Foltyn
- Assistant 2 Lasse Koslowski
5 games this season
🟨 5.4/game
⚽ 12.2 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | FC Augsburg | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | SV Werder Bremen | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 3–4 | L |
| 08 Mar | Holstein Kiel | A | 2–2 | D |
| 28 Feb | FC Bayern München | H | 1–3 | L |
| 23 Feb | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Feb | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Feb | Borussia Dortmund | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar | VfB Stuttgart | A | 4–3 | W |
| 11 Mar | FC Bayern München | H | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Mar | SV Werder Bremen | H | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Mar | FC Bayern München | A | 0–3 | L |
| 01 Mar | Eintracht Frankfurt | A | 4–1 | W |
| 22 Feb | Holstein Kiel | A | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| VfB Stuttgart | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #5 |
| 3 | Points | 7 |
| 4 | Played | 4 |
| 1 / 0 / 3 | W / D / L | 2 / 1 / 1 |
| 6 | Scored | 10 |
| 9 | Conceded | 5 |
| -3 | GD | +5 |
| 0.75 | PPG | 1.75 |
| 25% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
70%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
H2H (23 games)
61%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
VfB Stuttgart this season
50%
Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
VfB Stuttgart are 15th (3 pts). Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 5th (7 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
VfB Stuttgart
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/–
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
VfB Stuttgart
| Josha Vagnoman | 2 G | 1 A |
| Ermedin Demirovic | 1 G | |
| Grischa Promel | 1 G | |
| Bilal El Khannouss | 1 G |
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
| Patrik Schick | 4 G | 1 A |
| Christian Kofane | 2 G | |
| Ibrahim Maza | 1 G | 1 A |
| Facundo Medina | 1 G | |
| Nicolas Ezequiel Fernandez | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Mercedes-Benz Arena. VfB Stuttgart are looking to make home advantage count against Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
- 5' VfB Stuttgart is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 10' VfB Stuttgart are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Bayer 04 Leverkusen backline.
- 15' Against the run of play, Ermedin Demirovic has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 25' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 27' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Atakan Karazor.
- 32' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 37' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 42' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 47' The 28-year-old Nordi Mukiele has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 48' The deadlock is broken! Nick Woltemade gets on the scoresheet on 48 minutes.
- 51' Finn Jeltsch is having his name booked by the referee on 51.
- 56' The deadlock is broken! Jeremie Frimpong gets on the scoresheet on 56 minutes.
- 57' The crowd applauds Aleix Garcia as he leaves the pitch. Amine Adli steps in for Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
- 62' Granit Xhaka has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 62 minutes.
- 64' A moment of madness from Nick Woltemade on 64 minutes earns him a card. VfB Stuttgart will be frustrated.
- 67' Piero Hincapie makes no mistake. The score reads 2-3 and Bayer 04 Leverkusen are in front.
- 68' A tactical swap from VfB Stuttgart — Deniz Undav on, Enzo Millot off on 68 minutes.
- 73' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering VfB Stuttgart that had 441 games and scored 451 goals.
- 74' Robert Andrich catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 74.
- 74' Arthur Augusto is replacing Robert Andrich for the Bayer 04 Leverkusen side.
- 77' A meaty challenge results in booking for Piero Hincapie on 77.
- 77' Time for substitution for VfB Stuttgart. Ermedin Demirovic is replaced by El Bilal Toure.
- 78' It is a substitution in VfB Stuttgart team. Ameen Al Dakhil is replaced by Julian Chabot on 78 minute.
- 83' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His VfB Stuttgart side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 88' Angelo Stiller doubles the advantage! 3-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 89' Maximilian Mittelstadt makes way for Chris Fuhrich at the 89 minute mark. A tactical switch from VfB Stuttgart.
- 90' Xabi Alonso is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
- 3-4 the final result. VfB Stuttgart will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
VfB Stuttgart Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 16
- 9
- 7
- 33
-
18
Jamie Leweling ↓ Josha Vagnoman 68'
- 11
-
8
Enzo Millot ↓ Deniz Undav 68'
- 6
- 3
-
2
Ameen Al Dakhil ↓ Julian Chabot 78'
- 29
Bench
-
24
Julian Chabot ↑ 78'
-
4
Josha Vagnoman ↑ 68'
- 25
-
27
Chris Fuhrich ↑ 89'
- 1
-
10
El Bilal Toure ↑ 77'
- 5
-
26
Deniz Undav ↑ 68'
- 14
Coach
Sebastian Hoeneß
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 34
- 4
- 1
- 23
-
8
Robert Andrich ↓ Arthur Augusto 74'
-
24
Aleix Garcia ↓ Amine Adli 57'
- 14
- 25
- 20
- 30
- 3
Bench
- 16
- 7
- 36
-
21
Amine Adli ↑ 57'
- 17
-
22
Victor Boniface ↑ 57'
-
13
Arthur Augusto ↑ 74'
- 18
- 26
Coach
Xabi Alonso
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Florian Wirtz | 4 |
| Patrik Schick | 4 |
| Chris Fuhrich | 3 |
| Robert Andrich | 3 |
| Amine Adli | 3 |
| Sasa Kalajdzic | 3 |
| Kerem Demirbay | 2 |
| Deniz Undav | 2 |
Head to Head
VfB Stuttgart Form
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form
2025-03-16
VfB Stuttgart
3–4
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W
2025-03-11
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–2
FC Bayern München
L
2025-03-08
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–2
SV Werder Bremen
L
2025-03-05
FC Bayern München
3–0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
L
2025-03-01
Eintracht Frankfurt
1–4
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W
2025-02-22
Holstein Kiel
0–2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.52
VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.76
Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.28
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 3.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 4.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
Double Chance
VfB Stuttgart or Draw
45%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
76%
VfB Stuttgart or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: VfB Stuttgart win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–4 not predicted3 – 4Actual
1 – 2
7.9%
1 – 3
7.1%
1 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 3
5.3%
1 – 4
4.9%
0 – 3
4.9%
2 – 1
4.4%
2 – 4
3.7%
0 – 1
3.6%
0 – 4
3.3%
Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart
| Handicap | VfB Stuttgart covers | Push | Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 6% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 11% | 81% |
| -0.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| +0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +1 | 38% | 19% | 43% |
| +1.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +2 | 57% | 18% | 25% |
| +2.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
Clean Sheet
VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

