Sunday , 16 August 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sun 16 Mar 2025 · 18:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Arena 59,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Ermedin Demirovic 15' 1–0
Nick Woltemade 48' 2–0
2–1 56' Jeremie Frimpong
Granit Xhaka og 62' 3–1
3–2 67' Piero Hincapie
3–3 88' Angelo Stiller og
3–4 90+4' Patrik Schick

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer 04 LeverkusenBundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Siebert
  • Assistant 1 Rafael Foltyn
  • Assistant 2 Lasse Koslowski
12 games this season 🟨 2.3/game 5.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 3–4 L
08 Mar Holstein Kiel A 2–2 D
28 Feb FC Bayern München H 1–3 L
23 Feb TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–1 D
15 Feb VfL Wolfsburg H 1–2 L
08 Feb Borussia Dortmund A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar VfB Stuttgart A 4–3 W
11 Mar FC Bayern München H 0–2 L
08 Mar SV Werder Bremen H 0–2 L
05 Mar FC Bayern München A 0–3 L
01 Mar Eintracht Frankfurt A 4–1 W
22 Feb Holstein Kiel A 2–0 W

Season Stats

VfB Stuttgart Bayer 04 Leverkusen
#10 Position #12
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

VfB Stuttgart are 10th (0 pts). Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 12th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.95 VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for: Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart28% Draw30% Bayer 04 Leverkusen42%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.29
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw
58%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
72%
VfB Stuttgart or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfB Stuttgart19% Draw51% Bayer 04 Leverkusen30%
Actual: VfB Stuttgart win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–4 not predicted
3 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 1
12.4%
0 – 0
12.4%
0 – 2
8.8%
1 – 0
8.4%
1 – 2
8.4%
2 – 1
5.9%
2 – 0
4.4%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 3
3.9%
1 – 3
3.8%
2 – 3
1.9%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap VfB Stuttgart covers Push Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 16% 75%
-0.5 25% 75%
+0.5 56% 44%
+1 56% 23% 21%
+1.5 79% 21%
+2 79% 13% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
27%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
39%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.