VfB Stuttgart vs FC St. Pauli 1910, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
VfB Stuttgart vs FC St. Pauli 1910 — Bundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.
- VfB Stuttgart 34 games · 62 pts (2025/26)
- FC St. Pauli 1910 34 games · 26 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Felix Brych
- Assistant 1 Frederick Assmuth
- Assistant 2 Mitja Stegemann
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec | FC St. Pauli 1910 | H | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Dec | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 3–1 | W |
| 11 Dec | BSC Young Boys | H | 5–1 | W |
| 06 Dec | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 3–2 | W |
| 03 Dec | SSV Jahn Regensburg | A | 3–0 | W |
| 30 Nov | SV Werder Bremen | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec | VfB Stuttgart | A | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Dec | SV Werder Bremen | H | 0–2 | L |
| 07 Dec | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Nov | Holstein Kiel | H | 3–1 | W |
| 24 Nov | Borussia Monchengladbach | A | 0–2 | L |
| 09 Nov | FC Bayern München | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| VfB Stuttgart | FC St. Pauli 1910 | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #18 |
| 62 | Points | 26 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 18 / 8 / 8 | W / D / L | 6 / 8 / 20 |
| 71 | Scored | 29 |
| 49 | Conceded | 60 |
| +22 | GD | -31 |
| 1.82 | PPG | 0.76 |
| 53% | Win % | 18% |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
32%
Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
VfB Stuttgart this season
15%
Clean Sheets
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season
VfB Stuttgart are 4th (62 pts). FC St. Pauli 1910 are 18th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
VfB Stuttgart
0-15
2/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC St. Pauli 1910
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/1
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Mercedes-Benz Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 15' FC St. Pauli 1910 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 20' Germany international Josha Vagnoman has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 21' Johannes Eggestein makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and FC St. Pauli 1910 are in front.
- 26' Andreas Albers has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 31' FC St. Pauli 1910 come into this ranked 15 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 36' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Sebastian Hoeneß will be considering his options from the bench.
- 41' It looks like no one’s ball. VfB Stuttgart is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Johannes Eggestein on 45.
- 46' Anrie Chase is replacing Anthony Rouault for the VfB Stuttgart side.
- 51' VfB Stuttgart have won 440 goals from 438 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 56' FC St. Pauli 1910 has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 61' It is a cagey affair so far. VfB Stuttgart in their 3-4-3 trying to find a way past FC St. Pauli 1910's compact 3-4-3.
- 65' Fresh legs for VfB Stuttgart! Fabian Rieder comes on to replace Josha Vagnoman.
- 70' The supporters are chanting for Adam Dzwigala. He replaces Lars Ritzka on 70 minute.
- 74' The supporters are chanting for Pascal Stenzel. He replaces Julian Chabot on 74 minute.
- 76' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Yannik Keitel on 76 minutes.
- 81' FC St. Pauli 1910 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Erik Ahlstrand is hanging Morgan Guilavogui on the field on 81 minute.
- 83' A moment of madness from Danel Sinani on 83 minutes earns him a card. FC St. Pauli 1910 will be frustrated.
- 88' The 29-year-old Manolis Saliakas has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 89' Jarzinho Malanga gets the nod from VfB Stuttgart. He replaces Yannik Keitel and will look to change the dynamic.
- 90' VfB Stuttgart player sees a card in front of him.
- 90' The crowd applauds Oladapo Afolayan as he leaves the pitch. Andreas Albers steps in for FC St. Pauli 1910.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from FC St. Pauli 1910 to claim maximum points.
Lineups
VfB Stuttgart Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
-
24
Julian Chabot ↓ Pascal Stenzel 74'
- 9
-
4
Josha Vagnoman ↓ Fabian Rieder 65'
- 7
- 33
- 27
- 11
- 5
- 8
-
29
Anthony Rouault ↓ Anrie Chase 46'
- 6
Bench
-
15
Pascal Stenzel ↑ 74'
- 1
- 20
-
32
Fabian Rieder ↑ 65'
- 3
- 2
- 13
-
45
Anrie Chase ↑ 46'
-
47
Jarzinho Malanga ↑ 89'
Coach
Sebastian Hoeneß
FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 11
- 5
- 7
-
21
Lars Ritzka ↓ Adam Dzwigala 70'
- 17
- 22
- 29
- 16
- 4
- 2
- 23
Bench
- 32
-
25
Adam Dzwigala ↑ 70'
-
10
Danel Sinani ↑ 70'
- 33
-
19
Andreas Albers ↑ 90'
- 18
- 14
-
20
Erik Ahlstrand ↑ 81'
- 42
Coach
Alexander Blessin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Nick Woltemade | 1 |
| Johannes Eggestein | 1 |
Head to Head
VfB Stuttgart Form
FC St. Pauli 1910 Form
2024-12-21
VfB Stuttgart
0–1
FC St. Pauli 1910
W
2024-12-14
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–2
SV Werder Bremen
L
2024-12-07
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2–1
FC St. Pauli 1910
L
2024-11-29
FC St. Pauli 1910
3–1
Holstein Kiel
W
2024-11-24
Borussia Monchengladbach
2–0
FC St. Pauli 1910
L
2024-11-09
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–1
FC Bayern München
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.87
VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89
FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: FC St. Pauli 1910 win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
VfB Stuttgart or Draw
80%
Draw or FC St. Pauli 1910
45%
VfB Stuttgart or FC St. Pauli 1910
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC St. Pauli 1910 win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
1 – 0
11.1%
2 – 0
10.9%
2 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
8.2%
3 – 0
6.6%
3 – 1
5.9%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
4.2%
4 – 0
3.1%
4 – 1
2.9%
Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart
| Handicap | VfB Stuttgart covers | Push | FC St. Pauli 1910 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 18% | 65% |
| -1.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| -1 | 35% | 24% | 41% |
| -0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +0.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +1 | 84% | 11% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
42%
✓
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
16%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.