Thursday , 2 July 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Union Berlin, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Fri 6 Dec 2024 · 19:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Arena 59,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 37' Danilho Doekhi
0–2 48' Robert Skov
Nick Woltemade 51' 1–2
Nick Woltemade 59' 2–2
Atakan Karazor 69' 3–2

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Union BerlinBundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Welz
  • Assistant 1 Dr. Martin Thomsen (Germany)
  • Assistant 2 Rafael Foltyn
19 games this season 🟨 1.2/game 5.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–2 W
03 Dec SSV Jahn Regensburg A 3–0 W
30 Nov SV Werder Bremen A 2–2 D
27 Nov FK Crvena Zvezda A 1–5 L
23 Nov VfL Bochum 1848 H 2–0 W
10 Nov Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec VfB Stuttgart A 2–3 L
30 Nov Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–2 L
23 Nov VfL Wolfsburg A 0–1 L
08 Nov SC Freiburg H 0–0 D
02 Nov FC Bayern München A 0–3 L
30 Oct Arminia Bielefeld A 0–2 L

Season Stats

VfB Stuttgart 1. FC Union Berlin
#4 Position #11
62 Points 39
34 Played 34
18 / 8 / 8 W / D / L 10 / 9 / 15
71 Scored 44
49 Conceded 58
+22 GD -14
1.82 PPG 1.15
53% Win % 29%

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
32% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
21% Clean Sheets
1. FC Union Berlin this season

VfB Stuttgart are 4th (62 pts). 1. FC Union Berlin are 11th (39 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfB Stuttgart
0-15
2/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FC Union Berlin
0-15
1/2
16-30
/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.39 VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14 1. FC Union Berlin xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 67% + VfB Stuttgart to win 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart64% Draw20% 1. FC Union Berlin16%
Actual: VfB Stuttgart win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.53
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 46%
54%
± 4.5 28%
72%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw
84%
Draw or 1. FC Union Berlin
36%
VfB Stuttgart or 1. FC Union Berlin
80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfB Stuttgart47% Draw38% 1. FC Union Berlin15%
Actual: 1. FC Union Berlin win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 1
8.8%
2 – 0
8.4%
3 – 1
7.3%
1 – 0
6.6%
3 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
5.2%
1 – 2
4.4%
4 – 1
4.4%
0 – 0
4.2%
3 – 2
Actual
4 – 0
3.9%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap VfB Stuttgart covers Push 1. FC Union Berlin covers
-2.5 24% 76%
-2 24% 19% 58%
-1.5 42% 58%
-1 42% 21% 36%
-0.5 64% 36%
+0.5 84% 16%
+1 84% 10% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
33%
1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
10%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.