TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga at PreZero Arena.
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 games · 61 pts (2025/26)
- RB Leipzig 34 games · 65 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Harm Osmers
- Assistant 1 Robert Kempter
- Assistant 2 Sven Waschitzki
19 games this season
🟨 0.9/game
⚽ 5.2 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | RB Leipzig | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Apr | VfL Bochum 1848 | A | 2–3 | L |
| 20 Apr | Borussia Monchengladbach | H | 4–3 | W |
| 13 Apr | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 1–4 | L |
| 07 Apr | FC Augsburg | H | 3–1 | W |
| 30 Mar | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Apr | Borussia Dortmund | H | 4–1 | W |
| 20 Apr | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Apr | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 3–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | SC Freiburg | A | 4–1 | W |
| 30 Mar | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #3 |
| 61 | Points | 65 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 18 / 7 / 9 | W / D / L | 20 / 5 / 9 |
| 65 | Scored | 66 |
| 52 | Conceded | 47 |
| +13 | GD | +19 |
| 1.79 | PPG | 1.91 |
| 53% | Win % | 59% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
32%
Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
RB Leipzig this season
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts). RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/4
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
1/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at PreZero Arena as TSG 1899 Hoffenheim face off against RB Leipzig in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' Oliver Baumann has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 10' Florian Grillitsch has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 15' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim currently sit 9 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 16' The supporters are chanting for Nicolas Seiwald. He replaces Xaver Schlager on 16 minute.
- 21' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are deployed in a 3-5-2 today, looking to exploit space against RB Leipzig's 4-2-2-2 shape.
- 26' A quiet spell here at PreZero Arena. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 31' The 33-year-old Willi Orban has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 36' RB Leipzig looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 38' Benjamin Sesko makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and RB Leipzig are in front.
- 43' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 48' Anton Stach has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 53' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 55' It’s a booking for RB Leipzig player. Xavi Simons gets a card.
- 59' Fresh legs for RB Leipzig! Christoph Baumgartner comes on to replace Benjamin Sesko.
- 64' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 67' David Jurasek is ready to make an impact after coming on for Maximilian Beier at the 67 minute mark.
- 69' Controversy at the stadium! Ozan Kabak argues furiously but the card stands.
- 72' Controversy at the stadium! Xavi Simons argues furiously but the card stands.
- 77' Kevin Kampl is ready to make an impact after coming on for Amadou Haidara at the 77 minute mark.
- 79' Max Moerstedt gets the nod from TSG 1899 Hoffenheim. He replaces Ozan Kabak and will look to change the dynamic.
- 84' With 3 assists to his name this season, Christoph Baumgartner is clearly more than just a goal scorer for RB Leipzig.
- 86' RB Leipzig receives a card for a hard tackle on 86.
- 90' Andrej Kramaric is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 5 goals this season for the .
- 90' Bambase Conte is replacing Ihlas Bebou for the TSG 1899 Hoffenheim side.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.
Lineups
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
-
9
Ihlas Bebou ↓ Bambase Conte 90'
- 25
- 1
- 3
- 27
- 11
- 6
- 21
-
5
Ozan Kabak ↓ Max Moerstedt 79'
- 14
-
16
Anton Stach ↓ Tom Bischof 79'
Bench
- 23
- 29
- 20
- 37
-
39
Tom Bischof ↑ 79'
-
19
David Jurasek ↑ 67'
-
31
Bambase Conte ↑ 90'
-
33
Max Moerstedt ↑ 79'
- 35
Coach
Pellegrino Matarazzo
RB Leipzig Lineups
4-2-2-2Starting XI
-
17
Lois Openda ↓ Yussuf Poulsen 77'
- 39
- 1
- 4
- 22
-
7
Dani Olmo ↓ Mohamed Simakan 77'
-
8
Amadou Haidara ↓ Kevin Kampl 77'
- 24
- 20
- 23
- 30
Bench
- 21
-
14
Christoph Baumgartner ↑ 59'
-
9
Yussuf Poulsen ↑ 77'
- 16
-
44
Kevin Kampl ↑ 77'
- 25
-
2
Mohamed Simakan ↑ 77'
-
13
Nicolas Seiwald ↑ 16'
- 5
Coach
Marco Rose
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Timo Werner | 8 |
| Yussuf Poulsen | 5 |
| Christopher Nkunku | 5 |
| Dani Olmo | 4 |
| Andrej Kramaric | 3 |
| Adam Hlozek | 2 |
| Yussuf Poulsen | 2 |
| Tom Bischof | 2 |
Head to Head
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form
2024-05-03
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1–1
RB Leipzig
D
2024-04-26
VfL Bochum 1848
3–2
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
L
2024-04-20
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
4–3
Borussia Monchengladbach
W
2024-04-13
1. FSV Mainz 05
4–1
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
L
2024-04-07
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
3–1
FC Augsburg
W
2024-03-30
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2–1
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.65
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.91
RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for:
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or RB Leipzig 75% + Both teams to score 69%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.56
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 3.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 4.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
Double Chance
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw
58%
Draw or RB Leipzig
67%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or RB Leipzig
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: RB Leipzig win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
7.2%
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 3
5.2%
0 – 2
5.2%
0 – 1
4.8%
2 – 3
4.3%
0 – 0
4.2%
1 – 0
4.1%
2 – 0
3.9%
3 – 1
3.9%
Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
| Handicap | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers | Push | RB Leipzig covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 10% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 16% | 67% |
| -0.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 19% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 13% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

