1. FSV Mainz 05 vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 games · 61 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Felix Zwayer
- Assistant 1 Stefan Lupp
- Assistant 2 Marco Achmuller
35 games this season
🟨 1.6/game
⚽ 7.2 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 4–1 | W |
| 06 Apr | SV Darmstadt 98 | H | 4–0 | W |
| 30 Mar | RB Leipzig | A | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Mar | VfL Bochum 1848 | H | 2–0 | W |
| 09 Mar | FC Bayern München | A | 1–8 | L |
| 02 Mar | Borussia Monchengladbach | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 1–4 | L |
| 07 Apr | FC Augsburg | H | 3–1 | W |
| 30 Mar | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Mar | VfB Stuttgart | H | 0–3 | L |
| 10 Mar | Eintracht Frankfurt | A | 1–3 | L |
| 03 Mar | SV Werder Bremen | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #5 |
| 40 | Points | 61 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 10 / 10 / 14 | W / D / L | 18 / 7 / 9 |
| 44 | Scored | 65 |
| 53 | Conceded | 52 |
| -9 | GD | +13 |
| 1.18 | PPG | 1.79 |
| 29% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
12%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
21%
Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/4
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against 1. FSV Mainz 05 and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim has kicked off!
- 5' Marius Bulter, a Germany , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 10' John Brooks is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for 1. FSV Mainz 05 tonight.
- 15' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 19' What composure from Pavel Kaderabek! The Czech Republic international strokes it home. 0-1.
- 24' Oliver Baumann is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim so far.
- 29' Brajan Gruda has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 34' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both 1. FSV Mainz 05 and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 39' Grischa Promel is having his name booked by the referee on 39.
- 44' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 46' Marius Bulter has so much to prove this time. He replaces David Jurasek on 46 minute.
- 47' Brilliant from the ! Jonathan Burkardt makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 47.
- 51' Against the run of play, Philipp Mwene has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 56' Robert Skov has been relatively quiet despite scoring 19 goals in his last 105 appearances.
- 60' Ihlas Bebou is ready to make an impact after coming on for Wout Weghorst at the 60 minute mark.
- 63' Brajan Gruda does the damage! The net is bulging and 1. FSV Mainz 05 surge ahead!
- 68' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Maximilian Beier made 407 appearances and scored 31 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 73' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both 1. FSV Mainz 05 and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 76' It is a substitution in 1. FSV Mainz 05 team. Anthony Caci is replaced by Silvan Widmer on 76 minute.
- 77' Another change for 1. FSV Mainz 05 made on 77 minute. Brajan Gruda leaves to be changed by Karim Onisiwo.
- 81' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim make a change. Pavel Kaderabek trudges off to be replaced by Robert Skov on 81 minutes.
- 83' The referee has no hesitation. Ozan Kabak is booked for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — card on 83.
- 85' The whistle greets Andreas Hanche-Olsen as he departs to be replaced by Edimilson Fernandes.
- 88' A goal from the Austria international Karim Onisiwo! He fires home on 88 to make it 4-1!
- 90' 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ludovic Ajorque is hanging Jae-sung Lee on the field on 90 minute.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for 1. FSV Mainz 05 players.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 3
-
19
Anthony Caci ↓ Silvan Widmer 76'
- 31
- 2
- 27
- 8
- 29
-
18
Nadiem Amiri ↓ Tom Krauss 85'
- 25
-
43
Brajan Gruda ↓ Karim Onisiwo 77'
-
7
Jae-sung Lee ↓ Ludovic Ajorque 90'
Bench
-
17
Ludovic Ajorque ↑ 90'
- 23
-
9
Karim Onisiwo ↑ 77'
-
20
Edimilson Fernandes ↑ 85'
- 33
-
30
Silvan Widmer ↑ 76'
-
14
Tom Krauss ↑ 85'
- 11
- 24
Coach
Bo Henriksen
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
-
10
Wout Weghorst ↓ Ihlas Bebou 60'
- 1
-
3
Pavel Kaderabek ↓ Robert Skov 81'
- 27
- 11
-
6
Grischa Promel ↓ Umut Tohumcu 60'
- 5
- 14
- 16
-
19
David Jurasek ↓ Marius Bulter 46'
-
35
Tim Drexler ↓ John Brooks 60'
Bench
-
23
John Brooks ↑ 60'
-
9
Ihlas Bebou ↑ 60'
- 25
- 8
-
21
Marius Bulter ↑ 46'
-
29
Robert Skov ↑ 81'
- 20
- 37
-
40
Umut Tohumcu ↑ 60'
Coach
Pellegrino Matarazzo
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Andrej Kramaric | 5 |
| Jonathan Burkardt | 4 |
| Jean-Paul Boetius | 4 |
| Pavel Kaderabek | 3 |
| Ihlas Bebou | 3 |
| Pierre Kunde | 2 |
| Dominik Kohr | 2 |
| Jean-Philippe Mateta | 2 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
2024-04-13
1. FSV Mainz 05
4–1
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
W
2024-04-06
1. FSV Mainz 05
4–0
SV Darmstadt 98
W
2024-03-30
RB Leipzig
0–0
1. FSV Mainz 05
D
2024-03-16
1. FSV Mainz 05
2–0
VfL Bochum 1848
W
2024-03-09
FC Bayern München
8–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
2024-03-02
1. FSV Mainz 05
1–1
Borussia Monchengladbach
D
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form
2024-04-13
1. FSV Mainz 05
4–1
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
L
2024-04-07
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
3–1
FC Augsburg
W
2024-03-30
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2–1
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
L
2024-03-16
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0–3
VfB Stuttgart
L
2024-03-10
Eintracht Frankfurt
3–1
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
L
2024-03-03
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2–1
SV Werder Bremen
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.06
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.42
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 3.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 4.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
77%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
45%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10%
2 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
6.9%
3 – 1
6.2%
1 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
6.1%
1 – 2
6.1%
0 – 0
4.7%
3 – 0
4.6%
3 – 2
4.3%
0 – 1
3.8%
4 – 1
Actual
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 16% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 21% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 14% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

