Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 13 Apr 2024 · 13:30 UTC MEWA Arena HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 19' Pavel Kaderabek
Jonathan Burkardt 47' 1–1
Philipp Mwene 51' 2–1
Brajan Gruda 63' 3–1
Karim Onisiwo 88' 4–1

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs TSG 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Zwayer
  • Assistant 1 Stefan Lupp
  • Assistant 2 Marco Achmuller
35 games this season 🟨 1.6/game 7.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 4–1 W
06 Apr SV Darmstadt 98 H 4–0 W
30 Mar RB Leipzig A 0–0 D
16 Mar VfL Bochum 1848 H 2–0 W
09 Mar FC Bayern München A 1–8 L
02 Mar Borussia Monchengladbach H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–4 L
07 Apr FC Augsburg H 3–1 W
30 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–2 L
16 Mar VfB Stuttgart H 0–3 L
10 Mar Eintracht Frankfurt A 1–3 L
03 Mar SV Werder Bremen H 2–1 W

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
#10 Position #5
40 Points 61
34 Played 34
10 / 10 / 14 W / D / L 18 / 7 / 9
44 Scored 65
53 Conceded 52
-9 GD +13
1.18 PPG 1.79
29% Win % 53%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
21% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/4
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/
61-75
/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.06 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0555% Draw23% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim22%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.42
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
77%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
45%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0539% Draw40% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim21%
Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10%
2 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
6.9%
3 – 1
6.2%
1 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
6.1%
1 – 2
6.1%
0 – 0
4.7%
3 – 0
4.6%
3 – 2
4.3%
0 – 1
3.8%
4 – 1
Actual

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5 16% 84%
-2 16% 16% 69%
-1.5 31% 69%
-1 31% 21% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 14% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
26%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.