Watford FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Watford FC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship at Vicarage Road Stadium.
- Watford FC 46 games · 57 pts (2026/27)
- Middlesbrough FC 46 games · 80 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug | Middlesbrough FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Aug | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 20 Aug | Preston North End FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Aug | Birmingham City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Aug | Burnley FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Aug | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug | Watford FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Aug | Swansea City AFC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Aug | Reading FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Aug | Stoke City FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 14 Aug | Sheffield United FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 06 Aug | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 2–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Watford FC | Middlesbrough FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #5 |
| 57 | Points | 80 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 14 / 15 / 17 | W / D / L | 22 / 14 / 10 |
| 53 | Scored | 72 |
| 65 | Conceded | 47 |
| -12 | GD | +25 |
| 1.24 | PPG | 1.74 |
| 30% | Win % | 48% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Watford FC are 16th (57 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Watford FC kicks off things out of here…
- 4' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Rodrigo Muniz makes no mistake. 0-1!
- 9' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 14' Middlesbrough FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 19' The travelling Middlesbrough FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 24' Ismaila Sarr is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 4 goals this season for the .
- 25' What a strike from Ismaila Sarr! The score is 2-1.
- 30' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 35' Ryan John Giles is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Middlesbrough FC tonight.
- 38' A moment of madness from Matty Crooks on 38 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Middlesbrough FC will be frustrated.
- 39' Matty Crooks picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 44' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 46' Another change for Middlesbrough FC made on 46 minute. Jonathan Howson leaves to be changed by Anfernee Dijksteel.
- 51' Watford FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 56' Middlesbrough FC ring the changes. Darragh Lenihan has done his job and it is now time for Dael Fry to step up.
- 61' Francisco Sierralta picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 66' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 71' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 73' Vakoun Issouf Bayo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yaser Asprilla on 73 minute.
- 78' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Yaser Asprilla made 358 appearances and scored 10 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 79' Another change for Watford FC made on 79 minute. Ken Sema leaves to be changed by Mario Gaspar.
- 81' Another change for Watford FC made on 81 minute. Craig Cathcart leaves to be changed by Kortney Hause.
- 82' Controversy at the stadium! Isaiah Jones argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 87' The referee shows Middlesbrough FC player a Yellow card on 87.
- 90' Hamza Choudhury was booked on 90.
- Watford FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Watford FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
-
12
Ken Sema ↓ Mario Gaspar 79'
-
15
Craig Cathcart ↓ Kortney Hause 81'
- 27
- 23
- 14
- 31
- 1
- 39
- 10
- 18
Bench
- 16
-
30
Kortney Hause ↑ 81'
-
3
Mario Gaspar ↑ 79'
- 5
-
19
Vakoun Issouf Bayo ↑ 73'
- 35
- 36
Coach
Rob Edwards
Middlesbrough FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 4
- 3
- 17
- 16
- 23
-
26
Darragh Lenihan ↓ Dael Fry 56'
- 25
- 8
- 9
- 2
Bench
- 14
- 18
- 28
- 21
-
6
Dael Fry ↑ 56'
- 27
-
15
Anfernee Dijksteel ↑ 46'
Coach
Chris Wilder
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ismaila Sarr | 3 |
| Vakoun Issouf Bayo | 2 |
| Riley McGree | 2 |
| Morgan Whittaker | 2 |
| Tommy Conway | 2 |
| Wesley Hoedt | 2 |
| George Edmundson | 1 |
| Rodrigo Muniz | 1 |
Head to Head
Watford FC Form
Middlesbrough FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.38
Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.37
Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for:
Watford FC or Middlesbrough FC 74% + Both teams to score 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Watford FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.75
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Watford FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
57%
Watford FC or Middlesbrough FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
0 – 0
8.4%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
8%
1 – 0
7.9%
0 – 1
7.8%
2 – 0
6%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
3.7%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 0
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Watford FC
| Handicap | Watford FC covers | Push | Middlesbrough FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 11% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 19% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 19% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.