Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Reading FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2022-23
Sun 4 Sep 2022 · 11:00 UTC Select Car Leasing Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Sep Stoke City FC H 2–1 W
30 Aug Sheffield United FC A 0–4 L
27 Aug Millwall FC A 1–0 W
20 Aug Middlesbrough FC H 1–0 W
17 Aug Blackburn Rovers FC H 3–0 W
13 Aug Rotherham United FC A 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Sep Reading FC A 1–2 L
31 Aug Swansea City AFC H 1–1 D
27 Aug Blackburn Rovers FC A 1–0 W
20 Aug Sunderland AFC H 0–1 L
17 Aug Middlesbrough FC H 2–2 D
13 Aug Huddersfield Town AFC A 1–3 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Stoke City FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Stoke City FC
Ethan Galbraith 4 G 1 A
Eric Bocat 2 G 2 A
Sam Gallagher 2 G 1 A
Justin Devenny 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Select Car Leasing Stadium!
  • 2' A stunning finish from Lucas Joao — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 6' A moment of madness from Sam Hutchinson on 6 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Reading FC will be frustrated.
  • 11' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Reading FC that had 385 games and scored 447 goals.
  • 16' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 21' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. William Smallbone made 356 appearances and scored 11 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 26' Joe Lumley is a natural goalkeeper and has been asked to do a very specific job for Stoke City FC tonight.
  • 31' It looks like no one’s ball. Stoke City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 36' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 40' Ben Wilmot adds to his 0 season tally! Stoke City FC lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 41' The England Ben Wilmot breaks the deadlock on 41 minutes. 1-2!
  • 46' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Reading FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 51' Morgan Fox has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 56' GOAL! Lucas Joao scores on 56.
  • 57' A stunning finish from Lucas Joao — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 59' It is a substitution in Stoke City FC team. Tariqe Fosu is replaced by Nick Powell on 59 minute.
  • 64' It looks surprising Reading FC does not make any changes. Junior Hoilett has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 69' A tactical swap from Reading FC — Abdul Rahman Baba on, Junior Hoilett off on 69 minutes.
  • 71' The Reading FC bench stirs into life. Shane Long is withdrawn and Kelvin Ehibhaimha gets his opportunity.
  • 73' Stoke City FC ring the changes. Sam Clucas has done his job and it is now time for Connor Taylor to step up.
  • 78' D'Margio Wright-Phillips has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 83' Shane Long, a Ireland , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 85' Stoke City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. D'Margio Wright-Phillips is hanging William Smallbone on the field on 85 minute.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Joe Lumley is booked for Reading FC — Yellow card on 90.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Reading FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.45 Reading FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Reading FC48% Draw27% Stoke City FC25%
Actual: Reading FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.53
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Reading FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Stoke City FC
52%
Reading FC or Stoke City FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Reading FC31% Draw48% Stoke City FC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
1 – 0
10.5%
0 – 0
10%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.1%
0 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
4.2%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Reading FC

Handicap Reading FC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 22% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Reading FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✓
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.