Sunday , 16 August 2026

Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2026
16 15
14 – 13 pen
Full Time
Sat 21 Mar 2026 · 05:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba OsakaJ. League .

Match Details

  • Referee

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Mar Gamba Osaka H 16–15 W
18 Mar Shimizu S-Pulse H 5–6 L
15 Mar V-Varen Nagasaki A 0–1 L
07 Mar Nagoya Grampus H 1–5 L
27 Feb Vissel Kobe A 1–2 L
22 Feb Kyoto Sanga FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Mar Avispa Fukuoka A 15–16 L
18 Mar Vissel Kobe A 1–1 D
14 Mar Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–2 L
08 Mar V-Varen Nagasaki H 3–2 W
28 Feb Shimizu S-Pulse H 2–0 W
22 Feb Fagiano Okayama FC A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Avispa Fukuoka Gamba Osaka
#10 Position #5
21 Points 28
18 Played 18
7 / 0 / 11 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
49 Scored 61
59 Conceded 53
-10 GD +8
1.17 PPG 1.56
39% Win % 56%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
100% Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season
0% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts). Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
2/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gamba Osaka
0-15
/
16-30
/1
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Avispa Fukuoka Lineups

Gamba Osaka Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
5 Avispa Fukuoka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
5 Gamba Osaka xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 99% + Both teams to score 98%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Avispa Fukuoka44% Draw19% Gamba Osaka37%
Actual: Avispa Fukuoka win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes98% 0% No2%
Avg goals/match: 10
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 100%
0%
± 1.5 100%
0%
± 2.5 99%
1%
± 3.5 98%
2%
± 4.5 95%
5%

Double Chance

Avispa Fukuoka or Draw
63%
Draw or Gamba Osaka
56%
Avispa Fukuoka or Gamba Osaka
81%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Avispa Fukuoka39% Draw23% Gamba Osaka38%
Actual: Gamba Osaka win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 16–15 not predicted
16 – 15
Actual
4 – 4
4%
4 – 5
3.9%
5 – 4
3.9%
5 – 5
3.9%
3 – 4
3.3%
4 – 3
3.3%
4 – 6
3.2%
6 – 4
3.2%
5 – 6
3.2%
6 – 5
3.2%
3 – 5
3.2%
5 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Avispa Fukuoka

Handicap Avispa Fukuoka covers Push Gamba Osaka covers
-2.5 16% 84%
-2 16% 12% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 15% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 58% 42%
+1 58% 15% 27%
+1.5 73% 27%
+2 73% 12% 16%
+2.5 84% 16%

Clean Sheet

Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
1%
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
1%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.