Wednesday , 30 September 2026

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2026
Fri 6 Feb 2026 · 10:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Feb Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 1–3 L
01 Dec Shimizu S-Pulse H 4–4 D
24 Nov Gamba Osaka A 1–2 L
10 Nov Yokohama F·Marinos H 0–1 L
04 Nov Sagan Tosu FC A 0–1 L
21 Oct Júbilo Iwata H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Feb V-Varen Nagasaki A 3–1 W
06 Dec Shonan Bellmare H 2–1 W
30 Nov Kawasaki Frontale A 2–1 W
09 Nov Urawa Red Diamonds H 3–0 W
25 Oct Yokohama F·Marinos A 0–3 L
17 Oct FC Tōkyō H 0–0 D

Season Stats

V-Varen Nagasaki Sanfrecce Hiroshima
#9 Position #4
21 Points 30
18 Played 18
7 / 0 / 11 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
25 Scored 41
33 Conceded 33
-8 GD +8
1.17 PPG 1.67
39% Win % 56%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
43% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

V-Varen Nagasaki are 9th (21 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

V-Varen Nagasaki
0-15
–/2
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/3
46-60
4/4
61-75
–/1
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
5/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

V-Varen Nagasaki
Matheus Jesus 3 G
Thiago Santana 3 G
Tenmu Matsumoto 2 G
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Akito Suzuki 6 G 2 A
Shun Ayukawa 3 G 1 A
Sebastien Haller 3 G 1 A
Mutsuki Kato 2 G 3 A
Shuto Nakano 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

V-Varen Nagasaki Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.27 V-Varen Nagasaki xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.05 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
V-Varen Nagasaki24% Draw24% Sanfrecce Hiroshima52%
Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.32
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

V-Varen Nagasaki or Draw
47%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
76%
V-Varen Nagasaki or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
V-Varen Nagasaki19% Draw41% Sanfrecce Hiroshima40%
Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.2%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 2
7.6%
0 – 1
6.8%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
5.9%
2 – 1
5.8%
0 – 0
5.1%
0 – 3
5.1%
2 – 3
4.1%
1 – 0
3.9%
1 – 4
3.3%

Asian Handicap — V-Varen Nagasaki

Handicap V-Varen Nagasaki covers Push Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 6% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 13% 78%
-0.5 22% — 78%
+0.5 46% — 54%
+1 46% 21% 33%
+1.5 67% — 33%
+2 67% 17% 16%
+2.5 84% — 16%

Clean Sheet

V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
14% ✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.