Shimizu S-Pulse vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Shimizu S-Pulse vs FC Machida Zelvia — J. League at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.
- Shimizu S-Pulse 18 games · 24 pts (2026/27)
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 2–2 | D |
| 06 May | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 0–1 | L |
| 03 May | Nagoya Grampus | H | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Apr | FC Tokyo | A | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 3–1 | W |
| 16 Apr | Yokohama F.Marinos | A | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 2–2 | D |
| 07 May | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 03 May | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Apr | Shonan Bellmare | H | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Apr | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Shimizu S-Pulse | FC Machida Zelvia | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #13 |
| 24 | Points | 37 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 8 / 0 / 10 | W / D / L | 13 / 0 / 5 |
| 40 | Scored | 42 |
| 42 | Conceded | 33 |
| -2 | GD | +9 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 2.06 |
| 44% | Win % | 72% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
100%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
Shimizu S-Pulse are 7th (24 pts). FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Shimizu S-Pulse welcome FC Machida Zelvia for this crunch clash at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.
- 5' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Machida Zelvia is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 10' Shimizu S-Pulse is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 15' FC Machida Zelvia come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 20' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 21' Takuma Nishimura is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 26' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Shimizu S-Pulse side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 31' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 36' Yuya Oki has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 41' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 46' Kento Haneda makes way for Jelani Sumiyoshi at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Shimizu S-Pulse.
- 51' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kengo Kitazume made 411 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 56' It’s high time Go Kuroda made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 59' Mitchell Duke is replacing Se-hun Oh for the FC Machida Zelvia side.
- 64' Supporters expect more eagerness from Hikaru Nakahara, as he is very good at scoring at IAI Stadium Nihondaira with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 66' A stunning finish from Koya Kitagawa — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 67' Kotaro Hayashi makes no mistake. The score reads 1-2 and FC Machida Zelvia are in front.
- 69' Time for substitution for Shimizu S-Pulse. Kai Matsuzaki is replaced by Shinya Yajima.
- 74' Shimizu S-Pulse make a change. Kengo Kitazume trudges off to be replaced by Reon Yamahara on 74 minutes.
- 78' The whistle greets Koya Kitagawa as he departs to be replaced by Douglas Tanque.
- 82' A tactical swap from FC Machida Zelvia — Hokuto Shimoda on, Keiya Sento off on 82 minutes.
- 84' Brilliant from the ! Douglas Tanque makes it 2-2 with a superb finish on 84.
- 89' Zento Uno needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 90' FC Machida Zelvia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kanji Kuwayama is hanging Mitchell Duke on the field on 90 minute.
- It finishes all square. Shimizu S-Pulse and FC Machida Zelvia share the spoils 2-2.
Lineups
Shimizu S-Pulse Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 33
- 1
-
23
Koya Kitagawa ↓ Douglas Tanque 78'
-
41
Kento Haneda ↓ Jelani Sumiyoshi 46'
-
5
Kengo Kitazume ↓ Reon Yamahara 74'
- 98
- 4
-
19
Kai Matsuzaki ↓ Shinya Yajima 69'
-
36
Zento Uno ↓ Hikaru Nakahara 78'
- 70
Bench
-
99
Douglas Tanque ↑ 78'
-
21
Shinya Yajima ↑ 69'
-
14
Reon Yamahara ↑ 74'
-
66
Jelani Sumiyoshi ↑ 46'
-
11
Hikaru Nakahara ↑ 78'
- 47
- 71
- 55
Coach
Tadahiro Akiba
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
- 20
- 1
- 3
- 5
-
8
Keiya Sento ↓ Hokuto Shimoda 82'
- 16
- 50
-
10
Sang-ho Na ↓ Shota Fujio 59'
- 26
- 6
-
90
Se-hun Oh ↓ Mitchell Duke 59'
Bench
-
18
Hokuto Shimoda ↑ 82'
- 99
- 13
-
9
Shota Fujio ↑ 59'
-
15
Mitchell Duke ↑ 59'
- 49
- 39
-
22
Takaya Numata ↑ 82'
- 30
Coach
Go Kuroda
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Koya Kitagawa | 1 |
| Takuma Nishimura | 1 |
| Kotaro Hayashi | 1 |
| Yuki Soma | 1 |
| Ryuho Kikuchi | 1 |
| Takaya Numata | 1 |
| Douglas Tanque | 1 |
Head to Head
Shimizu S-Pulse Form
FC Machida Zelvia Form
2025-05-11
Shimizu S-Pulse
2–2
FC Machida Zelvia
D
2025-05-07
FC Machida Zelvia
1–2
Kyoto Sanga FC
L
2025-05-03
Kashima Antlers
1–0
FC Machida Zelvia
L
2025-04-29
Cerezo Osaka FC
1–2
FC Machida Zelvia
W
2025-04-25
FC Machida Zelvia
0–1
Shonan Bellmare
L
2025-04-20
Vissel Kobe
1–0
FC Machida Zelvia
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.95
Shimizu S-Pulse xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.12
FC Machida Zelvia xG
I would bet for:
Shimizu S-Pulse or FC Machida Zelvia 77% + Over 2.5 goals 76%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.07
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 3.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 4.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
Double Chance
Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw
63%
Draw or FC Machida Zelvia
60%
Shimizu S-Pulse or FC Machida Zelvia
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Machida Zelvia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
6.7%
1 – 3
5.1%
2 – 3
4.9%
3 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
4.3%
0 – 2
4%
2 – 0
3.4%
0 – 1
3.2%
3 – 3
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Shimizu S-Pulse
| Handicap | Shimizu S-Pulse covers | Push | FC Machida Zelvia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 11% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 16% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +1 | 58% | 18% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 13% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.