Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2026
Sat 4 Apr 2026 · 06:00 UTC Toyota Stadium 27,248 HT 45' · FT 45'
Yuya Yamagishi 46' 1–0
Yuya Yamagishi 53' 2–0
Ryuji Izumi 61' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Toyota Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Akihiko Ikeuchi
  • Assistant 1 Yosuke Takebe
  • Assistant 2 Ryo Hirama
3 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 10.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Apr Cerezo Osaka FC H 3–0 W
22 Mar Kyōto Sanga FC A 5–6 L
18 Mar Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 2–1 W
14 Mar Vissel Kobe H 0–3 L
07 Mar Avispa Fukuoka A 5–1 W
01 Mar Fagiano Okayama FC A 5–6 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Apr Nagoya Grampus A 0–3 L
22 Mar Vissel Kobe H 1–1 D
18 Mar Fagiano Okayama FC H 1–2 L
14 Mar Kyōto Sanga FC A 2–1 W
07 Mar Shimizu S-Pulse H 0–0 D
28 Feb V-Varen Nagasaki A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus Cerezo Osaka FC
#3 Position #2
31 Points 31
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 11 / 0 / 7
46 Scored 48
44 Conceded 38
+2 GD +10
1.72 PPG 1.72
56% Win % 61%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
43% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/4
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/2
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
Naomichi Ueda 1 G 1 A
Cerezo Osaka FC
Solomon Sakuragawa 3 G
Yumeki Yokoyama 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.4 Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.91 Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 79% + Both teams to score 77%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus51% Draw21% Cerezo Osaka FC28%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes77% 0% No23%
Avg goals/match: 4.31
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 79%
21%
± 3.5 61%
39%
± 4.5 43%
57%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw
72%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
49%
Nagoya Grampus or Cerezo Osaka FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Nagoya Grampus38% Draw36% Cerezo Osaka FC26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–0 not predicted
3 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
7.2%
1 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
5.7%
3 – 2
5.4%
2 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
4%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 3
3.4%
4 – 1
3.4%
4 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap Nagoya Grampus covers Push Cerezo Osaka FC covers
-2.5 16% — 84%
-2 16% 14% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 18% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 15% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 9% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
16% ✗
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.