Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Akihiko Ikeuchi
- Assistant 1 Yosuke Takebe
- Assistant 2 Ryo Hirama
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Mar | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 5–6 | L |
| 18 Mar | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Mar | Vissel Kobe | H | 0–3 | L |
| 07 Mar | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 5–1 | W |
| 01 Mar | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 5–6 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–3 | L |
| 22 Mar | Vissel Kobe | H | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Mar | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Mar | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 07 Mar | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Feb | V-Varen Nagasaki | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | Cerezo Osaka FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #2 |
| 31 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 11 / 0 / 7 |
| 46 | Scored | 48 |
| 44 | Conceded | 38 |
| +2 | GD | +10 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 56% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Nagoya Grampus kicks off things out of here…
- 5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Nagoya Grampus and Cerezo Osaka FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 15' Japan international Daniel Schmidt has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 20' Dion Cools has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 351 appearances.
- 25' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 30' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Shinji Kagawa suffering a number of foals already.
- 35' The home supporters are growing impatient. Nagoya Grampus must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 40' Shunta Tanaka has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 45' Reiya Sakata is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Nagoya Grampus tonight.
- 46' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Yuya Yamagishi makes it 1-0.
- 49' Rikito Inoue picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 53' What composure from Yuya Yamagishi! The Japan international strokes it home. 2-0.
- 54' Cerezo Osaka FC make a change. Reiya Sakata trudges off to be replaced by Yumeki Yokoyama on 54 minutes.
- 59' Cerezo Osaka FC come into this ranked 11 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 61' Ryuji Izumi has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 61 minutes.
- 63' Motohiko Nakajima picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 68' Nagoya Grampus manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yuya Asano is hanging Hidemasa Koda on the field on 68 minute.
- 73' Time for substitution for Cerezo Osaka FC. Masaya Shibayama is replaced by Shinji Kagawa.
- 74' The Cerezo Osaka FC bench stirs into life. Thiago Andrade is withdrawn and Shion Homma gets his opportunity.
- 79' The travelling Cerezo Osaka FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 83' Shion Homma was booked on 83.
- 85' The supporters are chanting for Dion Cools. He replaces Hayato Okuda on 85 minute.
- 89' Nagoya Grampus manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Soichiro Mori is hanging Yuki Nogami on the field on 89 minute.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Yudai Kimura on 90.
- 90' The supporters are chanting for Takuya Uchida. He replaces Tsukasa Morishima on 90 minute.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Nagoya Grampus 3-0 Cerezo Osaka FC.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↓ Soichiro Mori 89'
- 14
- 15
- 13
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Masahito Ono 89'
- 31
- 27
-
19
Hidemasa Koda ↓ Yuya Asano 68'
-
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↓ Shungo Sugiura 68'
- 22
Bench
-
17
Takuya Uchida ↑ 90'
- 18
-
9
Yuya Asano ↑ 68'
- 33
- 6
- 35
-
41
Masahito Ono ↑ 89'
-
30
Shungo Sugiura ↑ 68'
-
44
Soichiro Mori ↑ 89'
Coach
Mihailo Petrović
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 44
- 23
- 66
- 10
-
11
Thiago Andrade ↓ Shion Homma 74'
- 4
- 18
-
17
Reiya Sakata ↓ Yumeki Yokoyama 54'
-
16
Hayato Okuda ↓ Dion Cools 85'
- 48
- 9
Bench
-
27
Dion Cools ↑ 85'
-
8
Shinji Kagawa ↑ 73'
- 6
-
13
Motohiko Nakajima ↑ 54'
- 5
- 3
- 21
-
19
Shion Homma ↑ 74'
-
14
Yumeki Yokoyama ↑ 54'
Coach
Arthur Papas
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mateus | 3 |
| Solomon Sakuragawa | 2 |
| Satoki Uejo | 2 |
| Yumeki Yokoyama | 2 |
| Yuki Soma | 2 |
| Shuhei Akasaki | 2 |
| Kennedy Egbus Mikuni | 2 |
| Ryuji Izumi | 2 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.4
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.91
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 79% + Both teams to score 77%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.31
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 3.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 4.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
72%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
49%
Nagoya Grampus or Cerezo Osaka FC
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–0 not predicted3 – 0Actual
2 – 1
7.2%
1 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
5.7%
3 – 2
5.4%
2 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
4%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 3
3.4%
4 – 1
3.4%
4 – 2
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Cerezo Osaka FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 14% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 18% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 15% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 9% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
16%
✗
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

