Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sao Paulo FC vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Sao Paulo FC
2 – 0
Full Time
EC Vitoria
Sat 9 Aug 2025 · 21:30 UTC Morumbi HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 32' Ze Marcos
Y 42' Ronald
Enzo Diaz 44' Y
Maik 60' Y
Y 63' Ramon
Alan Franco 65' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sao Paulo FC vs EC Vitoria — Serie A at Morumbi.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 18 41
2 CR Flamengo 17 34
3 Fluminense FC 18 31
4 CA Paranaense 18 30
5 RB Bragantino 18 29
6 EC Bahia 17 26
7 Coritiba FBC 18 26
8 Sao Paulo FC 18 25
9 CA Mineiro 18 24
10 SC Corinthians Paulista 18 24
11 Cruzeiro EC 18 24
12 Botafogo FR 17 22
13 EC Vitoria 17 22
14 SC Internacional 18 21
15 Santos FC 18 21
16 Grêmio FBPA 18 21
17 CR Vasco da Gama 18 20
18 Clube do Remo 18 18
19 Mirassol FC 17 16
20 Chapecoense AF 17 9

Head-to-Head

8
2
Sao Paulo FC 10 games · Avg 2.4 goals EC Vitoria
Last 5 meetings
2025-08-09 Sao Paulo FC 2–0 EC Vitoria 2024-08-25 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 EC Vitoria 2024-05-05 EC Vitoria 1–3 Sao Paulo FC 2018-10-26 EC Vitoria 0–1 Sao Paulo FC 2018-06-13 Sao Paulo FC 3–0 EC Vitoria

Recent Form

Sao Paulo FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Aug EC Vitoria H 2–0 W
03 Aug SC Internacional A 2–1 W
27 Jul Fluminense FC H 3–1 W
24 Jul EC Juventude A 1–0 W
20 Jul SC Corinthians Paulista H 2–0 W
17 Jul RB Bragantino A 2–2 D
EC Vitoria
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Aug Sao Paulo FC A 0–2 L
03 Aug SE Palmeiras H 2–2 D
26 Jul Mirassol FC A 1–1 D
24 Jul SC Recife H 2–2 D
20 Jul RB Bragantino H 1–0 W
17 Jul Botafogo FR A 0–0 D

Season Stats

Sao Paulo FC EC Vitoria
#8 Position #13
25 Points 22
18 Played 17
7 / 4 / 7 W / D / L 6 / 4 / 7
23 Scored 21
20 Conceded 25
+3 GD -4
1.39 PPG 1.29
39% Win % 35%

Key Stats

30% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
41% Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season

Sao Paulo FC are 8th (25 pts). EC Vitoria are 13th (22 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/3
61-75
2/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Vitoria
0-15
1/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
1/7
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/–
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
Luciano 6 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 6 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
EC Vitoria
Carlos Rene 5 G 1 A
Renato Kayzer 3 G 1 A
Gabriel Baralhas 2 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Sao Paulo FC launch into their encounter with EC Vitoria.
  • 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 10' It is a cagey affair so far. Sao Paulo FC in their trying to find a way past EC Vitoria's compact .
  • 15' EC Vitoria has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 20' The Paraguay Damian Bobadilla breaks the deadlock on 20 minutes. 1-0!
  • 25' With 0 assists to his name this season, Jose Sabino is clearly more than just a goal scorer for EC Vitoria.
  • 30' Sao Paulo FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against EC Vitoria's shape.
  • 32' That looks like a foul for a card for Ze Marcos.
  • 37' Lucas Halter needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 42' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ronald on 42.
  • 44' It’s a booking for Sao Paulo FC player. Enzo Diaz gets a card.
  • 49' EC Vitoria looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Caca scoring 1 goals.
  • 54' Fabricio has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 59' It looks surprising Sao Paulo FC does not make any changes. Lucas Arcanjo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 60' That is a card for Sao Paulo FC. Maik will be fuming at that decision.
  • 63' Controversy at the stadium! Ramon argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 65' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Alan Franco on 65 minutes.
  • 65' Luan has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ferreira on 65 minute.
  • 70' EC Vitoria seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 71' The supporters are chanting for Aitor Cantalapiedra. He replaces Carlos Eduardo on 71 minute.
  • 76' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ronald suffering a number of foals already.
  • 77' Lucas Moura has so much to prove this time. He replaces Andre Silva on 77 minute.
  • 81' The crowd applauds Ricardo Ryller as he leaves the pitch. Ruben Rodrigues steps in for EC Vitoria.
  • 86' Magnificent from Jose Sabino! That is 8 goals in 284 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 88' Time for substitution for Sao Paulo FC. Damian Bobadilla is replaced by Pablo Maia.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Sao Paulo FC take all three points.

Lineups

Sao Paulo FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

EC Vitoria Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Fabio Carille

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Luciano 2
Nene 2
Nene 2
Gabriel Baralhas 1
Willian Oliveira 1
Nahuel Ferraresi 1
Alerrandro 1
Erick 1

Head to Head

2025-08-09 Sao Paulo FC 2–0 EC Vitoria 2024-08-25 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 EC Vitoria 2024-05-05 EC Vitoria 1–3 Sao Paulo FC 2018-10-26 EC Vitoria 0–1 Sao Paulo FC 2018-06-13 Sao Paulo FC 3–0 EC Vitoria

Sao Paulo FC Form

2025-08-09 Sao Paulo FC 2–0 EC Vitoria W 2025-08-03 SC Internacional 1–2 Sao Paulo FC W 2025-07-27 Sao Paulo FC 3–1 Fluminense FC W 2025-07-24 EC Juventude 0–1 Sao Paulo FC W 2025-07-20 Sao Paulo FC 2–0 SC Corinthians Paulista W 2025-07-17 RB Bragantino 2–2 Sao Paulo FC D

EC Vitoria Form

2025-08-09 Sao Paulo FC 2–0 EC Vitoria L 2025-08-03 EC Vitoria 2–2 SE Palmeiras D 2025-07-26 Mirassol FC 1–1 EC Vitoria D 2025-07-24 EC Vitoria 2–2 SC Recife D 2025-07-20 EC Vitoria 1–0 RB Bragantino W 2025-07-17 Botafogo FR 0–0 EC Vitoria D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.82 Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.68 EC Vitoria xG
I would bet for: Sao Paulo FC to win 65% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sao Paulo FC65% Draw23% EC Vitoria12%
Actual: Sao Paulo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Sao Paulo FC or Draw
87%
Draw or EC Vitoria
35%
Sao Paulo FC or EC Vitoria
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sao Paulo FC44% Draw46% EC Vitoria10%
Actual: Sao Paulo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.2%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
10.8%
0 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
8.9%
3 – 0
7.9%
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
4.7%
4 – 0
3.6%
1 – 2
3.3%
2 – 2
3.1%
4 – 1
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC

Handicap Sao Paulo FC covers Push EC Vitoria covers
-2.5 18% — 82%
-2 18% 20% 62%
-1.5 38% — 62%
-1 38% 25% 37%
-0.5 63% — 37%
+0.5 88% — 12%
+1 88% 9% 3%
+1.5 97% — 3%
+2 97% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
51% ✓
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.