Sunday , 16 August 2026

Sao Paulo FC vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 9 Aug 2025 · 21:30 UTC Morumbi HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 32' Ze Marcos
Y 42' Ronald
Enzo Diaz 44' Y
Maik 60' Y
Y 63' Ramon
Alan Franco 65' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sao Paulo FC vs EC VitoriaSerie A at Morumbi.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Aug EC Vitoria H 2–0 W
03 Aug SC Internacional A 2–1 W
27 Jul Fluminense FC H 3–1 W
24 Jul EC Juventude A 1–0 W
20 Jul SC Corinthians Paulista H 2–0 W
17 Jul RB Bragantino A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Aug Sao Paulo FC A 0–2 L
03 Aug SE Palmeiras H 2–2 D
26 Jul Mirassol FC A 1–1 D
24 Jul SC Recife H 2–2 D
20 Jul RB Bragantino H 1–0 W
17 Jul Botafogo FR A 0–0 D

Season Stats

Sao Paulo FC EC Vitoria
#12 Position #13
27 Points 26
22 Played 22
7 / 6 / 9 W / D / L 7 / 5 / 10
27 Scored 22
26 Conceded 33
+1 GD -11
1.23 PPG 1.18
32% Win % 32%

Key Stats

30% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
41% Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season

Sao Paulo FC are 12th (27 pts). EC Vitoria are 13th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
/8
61-75
3/2
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Vitoria
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/
31-45
1/9
46-60
1/1
61-75
4/1
76+
3/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
Jonathan Calleri 7 G 1 A
Luciano 6 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A
EC Vitoria
Carlos Rene 5 G 1 A
Renato Kayzer 4 G 1 A
Gabriel Baralhas 2 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Sao Paulo FC host EC Vitoria — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Osvaldo, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 15' Jose Sabino has been relatively quiet despite scoring 8 goals in his last 286 appearances.
  • 20' Damian Bobadilla does the damage! The net is bulging and Sao Paulo FC surge ahead!
  • 25' EC Vitoria come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 30' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 30 minutes.
  • 32' It’s gonna be a card for Ze Marcos.
  • 37' It is a cagey affair so far. Sao Paulo FC in their trying to find a way past EC Vitoria's compact .
  • 42' Ronald is having his name booked by the referee on 42.
  • 44' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Enzo Diaz on 44 minutes.
  • 49' It looks surprising Sao Paulo FC does not make any changes. Ronald has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 54' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 59' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Renzo Lopez made 279 appearances and scored 16 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 60' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Maik on 60 minutes.
  • 63' EC Vitoria receives a card for a hard tackle on 63.
  • 65' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Alan Franco.
  • 65' Luan gets the nod from Sao Paulo FC. He replaces Ferreira and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 70' Ferreira is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sao Paulo FC tonight.
  • 71' Another substitution for EC Vitoria to replace Carlos Eduardo by Aitor Cantalapiedra on 71 minute.
  • 76' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with EC Vitoria winning 100% of all matches.
  • 77' Lucas Moura is replacing Andre Silva for the Sao Paulo FC side.
  • 81' The EC Vitoria bench stirs into life. Ricardo Ryller is withdrawn and Ruben Rodrigues gets his opportunity.
  • 86' A goal from the Brazil international Jose Sabino! He fires home on 86 to make it 2-0!
  • 88' The whistle greets Damian Bobadilla as he departs to be replaced by Pablo Maia.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.83 Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.63 EC Vitoria xG
I would bet for: Sao Paulo FC to win 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sao Paulo FC66% Draw22% EC Vitoria12%
Actual: Sao Paulo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 2.46
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Sao Paulo FC or Draw
88%
Draw or EC Vitoria
34%
Sao Paulo FC or EC Vitoria
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sao Paulo FC45% Draw46% EC Vitoria9%
Actual: Sao Paulo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
15%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
10.5%
1 – 1
10.5%
2 – 1
8.7%
3 – 0
8.4%
3 – 1
5.4%
0 – 1
4.5%
4 – 0
3.9%
1 – 2
2.9%
2 – 2
2.8%
4 – 1
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC

Handicap Sao Paulo FC covers Push EC Vitoria covers
-2.5 19% 81%
-2 19% 20% 61%
-1.5 39% 61%
-1 39% 26% 35%
-0.5 65% 35%
+0.5 89% 11%
+1 89% 8% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
54%
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.