Sao Paulo FC vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sao Paulo FC vs EC Vitoria — Serie A at Morumbi.
- Sao Paulo FC 22 games · 27 pts (2026/26)
- EC Vitoria 22 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 23 | 34 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 22 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug | EC Vitoria | H | 2–0 | W |
| 03 Aug | SC Internacional | A | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Jul | Fluminense FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 24 Jul | EC Juventude | A | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Jul | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Jul | RB Bragantino | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug | Sao Paulo FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 03 Aug | SE Palmeiras | H | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Jul | Mirassol FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Jul | SC Recife | H | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Jul | RB Bragantino | H | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Jul | Botafogo FR | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Sao Paulo FC | EC Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #13 |
| 27 | Points | 26 |
| 22 | Played | 22 |
| 7 / 6 / 9 | W / D / L | 7 / 5 / 10 |
| 27 | Scored | 22 |
| 26 | Conceded | 33 |
| +1 | GD | -11 |
| 1.23 | PPG | 1.18 |
| 32% | Win % | 32% |
Key Stats
30%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
23%
Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
Sao Paulo FC this season
41%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
Sao Paulo FC are 12th (27 pts). EC Vitoria are 13th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
–/8
61-75
3/2
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Vitoria
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
1/9
46-60
1/1
61-75
4/1
76+
3/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
| Jonathan Calleri | 7 G | 1 A |
| Luciano | 6 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G | |
| Artur Guimaraes | 3 G | 1 A |
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 5 G | 1 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 4 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Sao Paulo FC host EC Vitoria — let the battle begin!
- 5' Osvaldo, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 15' Jose Sabino has been relatively quiet despite scoring 8 goals in his last 286 appearances.
- 20' Damian Bobadilla does the damage! The net is bulging and Sao Paulo FC surge ahead!
- 25' EC Vitoria come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 30' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 30 minutes.
- 32' It’s gonna be a card for Ze Marcos.
- 37' It is a cagey affair so far. Sao Paulo FC in their trying to find a way past EC Vitoria's compact .
- 42' Ronald is having his name booked by the referee on 42.
- 44' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Enzo Diaz on 44 minutes.
- 49' It looks surprising Sao Paulo FC does not make any changes. Ronald has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 54' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 59' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Renzo Lopez made 279 appearances and scored 16 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 60' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Maik on 60 minutes.
- 63' EC Vitoria receives a card for a hard tackle on 63.
- 65' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Alan Franco.
- 65' Luan gets the nod from Sao Paulo FC. He replaces Ferreira and will look to change the dynamic.
- 70' Ferreira is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sao Paulo FC tonight.
- 71' Another substitution for EC Vitoria to replace Carlos Eduardo by Aitor Cantalapiedra on 71 minute.
- 76' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with EC Vitoria winning 100% of all matches.
- 77' Lucas Moura is replacing Andre Silva for the Sao Paulo FC side.
- 81' The EC Vitoria bench stirs into life. Ricardo Ryller is withdrawn and Ruben Rodrigues gets his opportunity.
- 86' A goal from the Brazil international Jose Sabino! He fires home on 86 to make it 2-0!
- 88' The whistle greets Damian Bobadilla as he departs to be replaced by Pablo Maia.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-0.
Lineups
Sao Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 20
- 28
- 35
- 13
- 17
- 32
- 11
- 23
- 15
- 21
- 42
Bench
- 10
- 33
- 6
- 7
- 36
- 29
- 50
- 43
- 37
- 19
- 14
- 48
EC Vitoria Lineups
Starting XI
- 28
- 79
- 43
- 5
- 13
-
11
Osvaldo ↓ Renzo Lopez 81'
- 3
- 8
- 22
- 1
- 7
Bench
-
17
Aitor Cantalapiedra ↑ 71'
- 77
-
23
Fabricio ↑ 71'
-
20
Ruben Rodrigues ↑ 81'
- 35
-
31
Renzo Lopez ↑ 81'
- 12
- 76
- 99
- 66
Coach
Fabio Carille
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano | 2 |
| Nene | 2 |
| Nene | 2 |
| Nahuel Ferraresi | 1 |
| Alerrandro | 1 |
| Erick | 1 |
| William da Silva | 1 |
| Caca | 1 |
Head to Head
Sao Paulo FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.83
Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.62
EC Vitoria xG
I would bet for:
Sao Paulo FC to win 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sao Paulo FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Sao Paulo FC or Draw
88%
Draw or EC Vitoria
34%
Sao Paulo FC or EC Vitoria
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sao Paulo FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
15.1%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
10.5%
1 – 1
10.5%
2 – 1
8.7%
3 – 0
8.4%
3 – 1
5.4%
0 – 1
4.5%
4 – 0
3.8%
1 – 2
2.9%
2 – 2
2.7%
4 – 1
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC
| Handicap | Sao Paulo FC covers | Push | EC Vitoria covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -2 | 19% | 20% | 61% |
| -1.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| -1 | 39% | 26% | 35% |
| -0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +0.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +1 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 2% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
54%
✓
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

