Gremio FBPA vs Mirassol FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Gremio FBPA vs Mirassol FC — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.
- Gremio FBPA 24 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
- Mirassol FC 24 games · 25 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 25 | 52 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 24 | 48 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 25 | 45 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 25 | 42 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 25 | 40 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 25 | 39 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 24 | 36 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 24 | 35 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 24 | 34 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 25 | 32 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 24 | 30 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 24 | 30 |
| 13 | Santos FC | 24 | 29 |
| 14 | EC Vitoria | 25 | 29 |
| 15 | Gremio FBPA | 24 | 28 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 25 | 25 |
| 17 | Mirassol FC | 24 | 25 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 24 | 25 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 24 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 24 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep | Mirassol FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Aug | CR Flamengo | A | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Aug | Ceará SC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Aug | CA Mineiro | A | 3–1 | W |
| 10 Aug | SC Recife | H | 0–1 | L |
| 03 Aug | Fluminense FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep | Gremio FBPA | A | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | EC Bahia | H | 5–1 | W |
| 24 Aug | Fortaleza EC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Aug | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Aug | CR Flamengo | A | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Aug | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 3–2 | W |
Season Stats
| Gremio FBPA | Mirassol FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #17 |
| 28 | Points | 25 |
| 24 | Played | 24 |
| 7 / 7 / 10 | W / D / L | 6 / 7 / 11 |
| 27 | Scored | 27 |
| 32 | Conceded | 37 |
| -5 | GD | -10 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 1.04 |
| 29% | Win % | 25% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
13%
Clean Sheets
Mirassol FC this season
Mirassol FC this season
Gremio FBPA are 15th (28 pts). Mirassol FC are 17th (25 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/6
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Mirassol FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
6/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/7
76+
2/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 10 G | 1 A |
Mirassol FC
| Igor Formiga | 4 G | 2 A |
| Carlos Eduardo | 4 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Grêmio FBPA have kicked off against Mirassol FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' It looks surprising Grêmio FBPA does not make any changes. Reinaldo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 15' A meaty challenge results in booking for Joao Victor on 15.
- 20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 25' The 38-year-old Walter has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 30' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 35' It looks like no one’s ball. Mirassol FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 40' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Mirassol FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 45' What a moment for Alesson! That strike on 45 puts his side firmly in control.
- 45' Controversy at the stadium! Walter Kannemann argues furiously but the card stands.
- 46' The Gremio FBPA manager makes a substitution. Dodi departs to be replaced by Cristian Olivera.
- 51' Brazil international Dodi has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 55' A tactical swap from Gremio FBPA — Andre on, Martin Braithwaite off on 55 minutes.
- 57' A change in the Mirassol FC ranks — Jose Aldo exits the field as Shaylon enters on 57.
- 62' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 64' Gremio FBPA ring the changes. Alysson has done his job and it is now time for Cristian Pavon to step up.
- 69' Mirassol FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 70' The referee calls foul for Gustavo Cuellar. He receives a card.
- 71' Fresh legs for Mirassol FC! Roni comes on to replace Neto Moura.
- 74' Alexander Aravena has so much to prove this time. He replaces Franco Cristaldo on 74 minute.
- 79' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 79 minutes.
- 84' Mirassol FC is showing some good football. However, Mirassol FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 88' Fresh legs for Mirassol FC! Matheus Bianqui comes on to replace Cristian Renato.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-1.
Lineups
Gremio FBPA Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 6
- 23
- 17
- 22
- 29
- 18
- 10
- 1
- 19
- 47
Bench
- 80
- 21
- 7
- 8
- 25
- 12
- 3
- 53
- 77
- 99
- 37
- 16
Mirassol FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
25
Neto Moura ↓ Roni 71'
- 22
- 6
-
77
Alesson ↓ Carlos Eduardo 57'
- 21
- 34
- 11
- 19
- 3
- 8
- 17
Bench
- 41
- 16
- 4
-
7
Shaylon ↑ 57'
-
10
Chico ↑ 71'
- 23
- 20
-
5
Roni ↑ 71'
-
96
Carlos Eduardo ↑ 57'
- 78
-
18
Matheus Bianqui ↑ 88'
- 44
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Reinaldo | 2 |
| Daniel Borges | 2 |
| Carlos Vinicius | 1 |
| Edson Carioca | 1 |
| Bruno Oliveira | 1 |
| Martin Braithwaite | 1 |
| Alesson | 1 |
Gremio FBPA Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.94
Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32
Mirassol FC xG
I would bet for:
Mirassol FC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Mirassol FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.26
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 2.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Gremio FBPA or Draw
57%
Draw or Mirassol FC
73%
Gremio FBPA or Mirassol FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Mirassol FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
12.8%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
8.8%
1 – 0
8.6%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
5.8%
2 – 0
4.4%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 3
3.8%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
1.8%
Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA
| Handicap | Gremio FBPA covers | Push | Mirassol FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 7% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 16% | 75% |
| -0.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| +0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +1 | 56% | 23% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 13% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Mirassol FC keeps clean sheet
40%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.