Friday , 16 October 2026

Gremio FBPA vs Mirassol FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Gremio FBPA
0 – 1
Full Time
Mirassol FC
Sat 13 Sep 2025 · 19:00 UTC Arena do Gremio HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 15' Joao Victor
Walter Kannemann 45' Y
Y 45' Neto Moura
Gustavo Cuellar 70' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Gremio FBPA vs Mirassol FC — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 30 64
2 SE Palmeiras 30 63
3 CA Paranaense 30 53
4 Fluminense FC 30 51
5 EC Bahia 30 49
6 Cruzeiro EC 30 48
7 CA Mineiro 30 47
8 Santos FC 30 42
9 RB Bragantino 30 40
10 Sao Paulo FC 30 39
11 Coritiba FBC 30 39
12 Botafogo FR 30 36
13 EC Vitoria 30 36
14 CR Vasco da Gama 29 35
15 Mirassol FC 30 33
16 SC Internacional 30 32
17 SC Corinthians Paulista 30 32
18 Gremio FBPA 30 31
19 Clube do Remo 30 25
20 Chapecoense AF 29 18

Head-to-Head

3
Gremio FBPA 3 games · Avg 3.0 goals Mirassol FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-09-13 Gremio FBPA 0–1 Mirassol FC 2025-04-16 Mirassol FC 4–1 Gremio FBPA

Recent Form

Gremio FBPA
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Sep Mirassol FC H 0–1 L
31 Aug CR Flamengo A 1–1 D
24 Aug Ceará SC H 0–0 D
17 Aug CA Mineiro A 3–1 W
10 Aug SC Recife H 0–1 L
03 Aug Fluminense FC A 0–1 L
Mirassol FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Sep Gremio FBPA A 1–0 W
31 Aug EC Bahia H 5–1 W
24 Aug Fortaleza EC A 1–0 W
18 Aug Cruzeiro EC H 1–1 D
09 Aug CR Flamengo A 1–2 L
02 Aug CR Vasco da Gama H 3–2 W

Season Stats

Gremio FBPA Mirassol FC
#18 Position #15
31 Points 33
30 Played 30
7 / 10 / 13 W / D / L 8 / 9 / 13
32 Scored 34
40 Conceded 44
-8 GD -10
1.03 PPG 1.10
23% Win % 27%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
13% Clean Sheets
Mirassol FC this season

Gremio FBPA are 18th (31 pts). Mirassol FC are 15th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Mirassol FC
0-15
–/5
16-30
7/2
31-45
6/4
46-60
2/4
61-75
4/8
76+
4/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A
Mirassol FC
Carlos Eduardo 6 G
Igor Formiga 4 G 5 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Grêmio FBPA have kicked off against Mirassol FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Grêmio FBPA have won 393 goals from 336 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 10' Mirassol FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 15' That looks like a foul for a card for Joao Victor.
  • 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Mirassol FC winning 100% of all matches.
  • 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Chico made 238 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 30' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 35' Reinaldo is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Mirassol FC so far.
  • 40' Grêmio FBPA are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Mirassol FC's shape.
  • 45' The Brazil Alesson breaks the deadlock on 45 minutes. 0-1!
  • 45' Walter Kannemann catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 45.
  • 46' Gremio FBPA make a change. Dodi trudges off to be replaced by Cristian Olivera on 46 minutes.
  • 51' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 55' Martin Braithwaite makes way for Andre at the 55 minute mark. A tactical switch from Gremio FBPA.
  • 57' The whistle greets Jose Aldo as he departs to be replaced by Shaylon.
  • 62' Grêmio FBPA currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 64' A tactical swap from Gremio FBPA — Cristian Pavon on, Alysson off on 64 minutes.
  • 69' With 0 assists to his name this season, Lucas Ramon is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Mirassol FC.
  • 70' That is a card for Gremio FBPA. Gustavo Cuellar will be fuming at that decision.
  • 71' Another substitution for Mirassol FC to replace Neto Moura by Roni on 71 minute.
  • 74' The supporters are chanting for Alexander Aravena. He replaces Franco Cristaldo on 74 minute.
  • 79' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 84' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Grêmio FBPA and Mirassol FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 88' Cristian Renato makes way for Matheus Bianqui at the 88 minute mark. A tactical switch from Mirassol FC.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 0-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

Gremio FBPA Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Mirassol FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.85 Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.31 Mirassol FC xG
I would bet for: Mirassol FC or Draw 75% + Under 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Gremio FBPA25% Draw30% Mirassol FC45%
Actual: Mirassol FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.16
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Gremio FBPA or Draw
55%
Draw or Mirassol FC
75%
Gremio FBPA or Mirassol FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Gremio FBPA17% Draw52% Mirassol FC31%
Actual: Mirassol FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
13.8%
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 2
9.5%
1 – 0
8.5%
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
5.3%
0 – 3
4.1%
2 – 0
4%
1 – 3
3.6%
2 – 2
3.6%
2 – 3
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA

Handicap Gremio FBPA covers Push Mirassol FC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% — 92%
-1 8% 15% 77%
-0.5 23% — 77%
+0.5 54% — 46%
+1 54% 24% 22%
+1.5 78% — 22%
+2 78% 14% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Mirassol FC keeps clean sheet
43% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.