Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
- Avispa Fukuoka 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Jul | Vissel Kobe | H | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Jun | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Jun | Albirex Niigata | H | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Jun | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Jun | Yokohama F.Marinos | A | 2–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–1 | L |
| 07 Jul | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Jun | FC Tokyo | A | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Jun | Yokohama F.Marinos | H | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Jun | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Jun | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Avispa Fukuoka | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #10 |
| 30 | Points | 21 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 7 / 0 / 11 |
| 41 | Scored | 49 |
| 33 | Conceded | 59 |
| +8 | GD | -10 |
| 1.67 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 56% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
100%
Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
2/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima!
- 5' It’s high time Shigetoshi Hasebe made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 10' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Avispa Fukuoka are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 20' It looks like no one’s ball. Avispa Fukuoka is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 24' Douglas Vieira is replacing Pieros Sotiriou for the Sanfrecce Hiroshima side.
- 29' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 34' The energy levels are beginning to show. Michael Skibbe might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 36' Daiki Matsuoka catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 36.
- 41' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 46' A change in the Sanfrecce Hiroshima ranks — Yotaro Nakajima exits the field as Taishi Matsumoto enters on 46.
- 51' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 56' Yuki Ohashi has been relatively quiet despite scoring 42 goals in his last 418 appearances.
- 60' Yuki Ohashi adds to his 0 season tally! Sanfrecce Hiroshima lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
- 65' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sanfrecce Hiroshima side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 67' Marcos Junior gets the nod from Sanfrecce Hiroshima. He replaces Makoto Mitsuta and will look to change the dynamic.
- 71' The Avispa Fukuoka manager makes a substitution. Masato Shigemi departs to be replaced by Yuji Kitajima.
- 73' Poor challenge from Shunki Higashi. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 78' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Avispa Fukuoka that had 200 games and scored 210 goals.
- 83' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 87' The whistle greets Kimiya Moriyama as he departs to be replaced by Reiju Tsuruno.
- 90' Poor challenge from Daiki Miya. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 90' Toshihiro Aoyama is ready to make an impact after coming on for Tsukasa Shiotani at the 90 minute mark.
- Avispa Fukuoka will have plenty to reflect on. Sanfrecce Hiroshima were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
- 19
- 1
- 24
- 20
- 77
- 33
- 4
- 13
-
11
Makoto Mitsuta ↓ Marcos Junior 67'
- 15
- 35
Bench
-
10
Marcos Junior ↑ 67'
- 22
-
6
Toshihiro Aoyama ↑ 90'
-
14
Taishi Matsumoto ↑ 46'
-
9
Douglas Vieira ↑ 24'
- 16
- 32
Coach
Michael Skibbe
Avispa Fukuoka Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 19
- 16
- 18
- 8
- 31
- 6
- 27
-
44
Kimiya Moriyama ↓ Reiju Tsuruno 87'
-
30
Masato Shigemi ↓ Yuji Kitajima 71'
- 88
Bench
- 7
- 10
-
25
Yuji Kitajima ↑ 71'
- 35
-
28
Reiju Tsuruno ↑ 87'
- 41
-
9
Shahab Zahedi Tabar ↑ 71'
Coach
Shigetoshi Hasebe
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Shunki Higashi | 2 |
| Hiroyuki Mae | 2 |
| Tomoya Miki | 2 |
| Junior Santos | 2 |
| Douglas Vieira | 2 |
| Daiki Watari | 2 |
| Sho Sasaki | 2 |
| Yu Hashimoto | 1 |
Head to Head
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2024-07-14
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–0
Avispa Fukuoka
W
2024-07-05
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–3
Vissel Kobe
L
2024-06-29
Kawasaki Frontale
1–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2024-06-26
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–1
Albirex Niigata
D
2024-06-22
Kashiwa Reysol
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2024-06-19
Yokohama F.Marinos
3–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
Avispa Fukuoka Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.56
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48
Avispa Fukuoka xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 75% + Both teams to score 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.04
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 3.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 4.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
Double Chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
80%
Draw or Avispa Fukuoka
40%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Avispa Fukuoka
80%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 1
7.4%
3 – 1
7%
2 – 2
6%
2 – 0
5.9%
3 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
4.9%
1 – 2
4.9%
4 – 1
4.5%
1 – 0
Actual
4 – 2
3.3%
4 – 0
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Handicap | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers | Push | Avispa Fukuoka covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -2 | 23% | 17% | 60% |
| -1.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| -1 | 40% | 20% | 40% |
| -0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 11% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
24%
✗
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

