Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
- Avispa Fukuoka 18 games · 21 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Jul | Vissel Kobe | H | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Jun | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Jun | Albirex Niigata | H | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Jun | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Jun | Yokohama F·Marinos | A | 2–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–1 | L |
| 07 Jul | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Jun | FC Tōkyō | A | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Jun | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Jun | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Jun | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Avispa Fukuoka | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #10 |
| 30 | Points | 21 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 7 / 0 / 11 |
| 41 | Scored | 49 |
| 33 | Conceded | 59 |
| +8 | GD | -10 |
| 1.67 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 56% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
11%
Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
5/–
61-75
3/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
–/–
61-75
4/2
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Sanfrecce Hiroshima get us underway at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
- 5' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Avispa Fukuoka backline.
- 10' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 15' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 20' Sanfrecce Hiroshima currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 24' Sanfrecce Hiroshima ring the changes. Pieros Sotiriou has done his job and it is now time for Douglas Vieira to step up.
- 29' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 34' It is a cagey affair so far. Sanfrecce Hiroshima in their trying to find a way past Avispa Fukuoka's compact .
- 36' Poor challenge from Daiki Matsuoka. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 41' Avispa Fukuoka is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 46' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima bench stirs into life. Yotaro Nakajima is withdrawn and Taishi Matsumoto gets his opportunity.
- 51' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Avispa Fukuoka's shape.
- 56' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 60' GOAL! Yuki Ohashi scores on 60. Assisted by Makoto Mitsuta
- 65' Avispa Fukuoka are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 67' Marcos Junior is ready to make an impact after coming on for Makoto Mitsuta at the 67 minute mark.
- 71' The Avispa Fukuoka manager makes a substitution. Masato Shigemi departs to be replaced by Yuji Kitajima.
- 73' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Shunki Higashi on 73 minutes.
- 78' Makoto Mitsuta is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Avispa Fukuoka tonight.
- 83' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Avispa Fukuoka needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 87' A change in the Avispa Fukuoka ranks — Kimiya Moriyama exits the field as Reiju Tsuruno enters on 87.
- 90' Avispa Fukuoka player sees a card in front of him.
- 90' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes a substitution. Tsukasa Shiotani departs to be replaced by Toshihiro Aoyama.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
- 19
- 1
- 24
- 20
- 77
- 33
- 4
- 13
-
11
Makoto Mitsuta ↓ Marcos Junior 67'
- 15
- 35
Bench
-
10
Marcos Junior ↑ 67'
- 22
-
6
Toshihiro Aoyama ↑ 90'
-
14
Taishi Matsumoto ↑ 46'
-
9
Douglas Vieira ↑ 24'
- 16
- 32
Coach
Michael Skibbe
Avispa Fukuoka Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 19
- 16
- 18
- 8
- 31
- 6
- 27
-
44
Kimiya Moriyama ↓ Reiju Tsuruno 87'
-
30
Masato Shigemi ↓ Yuji Kitajima 71'
- 88
Bench
- 7
- 10
-
25
Yuji Kitajima ↑ 71'
- 35
-
28
Reiju Tsuruno ↑ 87'
- 41
-
9
Shahab Zahedi Tabar ↑ 71'
Coach
Shigetoshi Hasebe
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hiroyuki Mae | 2 |
| Tomoya Miki | 2 |
| Junior Santos | 2 |
| Douglas Vieira | 2 |
| Daiki Watari | 2 |
| Sho Sasaki | 2 |
| Shunki Higashi | 2 |
| Shosei Usui | 1 |
Head to Head
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2024-07-14
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–0
Avispa Fukuoka
W
2024-07-05
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–3
Vissel Kobe
L
2024-06-29
Kawasaki Frontale
1–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2024-06-26
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–1
Albirex Niigata
D
2024-06-22
Kashiwa Reysol
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2024-06-19
Yokohama F·Marinos
3–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
Avispa Fukuoka Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.56
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48
Avispa Fukuoka xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 75% + Both teams to score 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.04
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 3.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 4.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
Double Chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
80%
Draw or Avispa Fukuoka
40%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Avispa Fukuoka
80%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 1
7.4%
3 – 1
7%
2 – 2
6%
2 – 0
5.9%
3 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
4.9%
1 – 2
4.9%
4 – 1
4.5%
1 – 0
Actual
4 – 2
3.3%
4 – 0
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Handicap | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers | Push | Avispa Fukuoka covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -2 | 23% | 17% | 60% |
| -1.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| -1 | 40% | 20% | 40% |
| -0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 11% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
24%
✗
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

