Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2026

Avispa Fukuoka

1 – 5

Full Time

Nagoya Grampus

Sat 7 Mar 2026 · 07:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League .

Avispa Fukuoka 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Hiroyuki Kimura

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Avispa Fukuoka 12 games · Avg 2.3 goals Nagoya Grampus

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-07 Avispa Fukuoka 1–5 Nagoya Grampus 2025-12-06 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Avispa Fukuoka 2025-05-17 Avispa Fukuoka 1–1 Nagoya Grampus 2024-10-04 Avispa Fukuoka 1–0 Nagoya Grampus 2024-04-07 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 Avispa Fukuoka

Recent Form

Avispa Fukuoka

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Mar	Nagoya Grampus	H	1–5	L
27 Feb	Vissel Kobe	A	1–2	L
22 Feb	Kyōto Sanga FC	A	0–2	L
15 Feb	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	0–2	L
08 Feb	Fagiano Okayama FC	H	8–6	W
06 Dec	Nagoya Grampus	A	0–1	L

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Mar	Avispa Fukuoka	A	5–1	W
01 Mar	Fagiano Okayama FC	A	5–6	L
21 Feb	V-Varen Nagasaki	H	1–3	L
15 Feb	Gamba Osaka	A	0–0	D
08 Feb	Shimizu S-Pulse	H	1–0	W
06 Dec	Avispa Fukuoka	H	1–0	W

Season Stats

Avispa Fukuoka		Nagoya Grampus
#10	Position	#3
21	Points	31
18	Played	18
7 / 0 / 11	W / D / L	10 / 0 / 8
49	Scored	46
59	Conceded	44
-10	GD	+2
1.17	PPG	1.72
39%	Win %	56%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

14% Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season

0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Avispa Fukuoka

0-15

–/2

16-30

1/–

31-45

4/1

46-60

1/1

61-75

1/4

76+

2/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

1/1

16-30

–/1

31-45

1/3

46-60

2/2

61-75

–/2

76+

3/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Avispa Fukuoka

Shu Morooka	3 G	1 A
Kazuki Fujimoto	1 G
Werik	1 G
Yuma Tsujioka	1 G

Nagoya Grampus

Naomichi Ueda

1 G

1 A

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for Avispa Fukuoka and Nagoya Grampus.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Avispa Fukuoka 1-5 Nagoya Grampus.

Lineups

Avispa Fukuoka Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Mateus	3
Kensuke Nagai	3
Jakub Swierczok	2
Shinnosuke Nakatani	2
Ryoya Morishita	2
Jordy Croux	2
Yuya Asano	1
Yudai Kimura	1

Head to Head

Avispa Fukuoka Form

2026-03-07 Avispa Fukuoka 1–5 Nagoya Grampus L 2026-02-27 Vissel Kobe 2–1 Avispa Fukuoka L 2026-02-22 Kyōto Sanga FC 2–0 Avispa Fukuoka L 2026-02-15 Avispa Fukuoka 0–2 Cerezo Osaka FC L 2026-02-08 Avispa Fukuoka 8–6 Fagiano Okayama FC W 2025-12-06 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Avispa Fukuoka L

Nagoya Grampus Form

2026-03-07 Avispa Fukuoka 1–5 Nagoya Grampus W 2026-03-01 Fagiano Okayama FC 6–5 Nagoya Grampus L 2026-02-21 Nagoya Grampus 1–3 V-Varen Nagasaki L 2026-02-15 Gamba Osaka 0–0 Nagoya Grampus D 2026-02-08 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Shimizu S-Pulse W 2025-12-06 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Avispa Fukuoka W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.67 Avispa Fukuoka xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

3.42 Nagoya Grampus xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 93% + Both teams to score 89%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Avispa Fukuoka31% Draw20% Nagoya Grampus49%

Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes89% 0% No11%

Avg goals/match: 6.09

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	99%	1%
± 1.5	98%	2%
± 2.5	93%	7%
± 3.5	84%	16%
± 4.5	70%	30%

Double Chance

Avispa Fukuoka or Draw

51%

Draw or Nagoya Grampus

69%

Avispa Fukuoka or Nagoya Grampus

80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Avispa Fukuoka28% Draw29% Nagoya Grampus43%

Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–5 not predicted

1 – 5

Actual

2 – 3

5.3%

2 – 2

4.8%

3 – 3

4.7%

2 – 4

4.5%

3 – 2

4.2%

1 – 3

4.1%

3 – 4

1 – 2

3.8%

1 – 4

3.5%

4 – 3

3.1%

2 – 5

3.1%

2 – 1

Asian Handicap — Avispa Fukuoka

Handicap	Avispa Fukuoka covers	Push	Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	9%	82%
-1.5	18%	—	82%
-1	18%	13%	69%
-0.5	31%	—	69%
+0.5	48%	—	52%
+1	48%	16%	36%
+1.5	64%	—	36%
+2	64%	14%	22%
+2.5	78%	—	22%

Clean Sheet

Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet

4% ✓

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.