Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2022 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2022
Tue 3 May 2022 · 06:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May Cerezo Osaka FC H 1–1 D
29 Apr Kashiwa Reysol A 4–1 W
17 Apr Shimizu S-Pulse H 0–0 D
10 Apr Kyoto Sanga FC A 1–3 L
06 Apr Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 5–0 W
01 Apr Avispa Fukuoka A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May Sagan Tosu FC A 1–1 D
29 Apr Kashima Antlers H 0–3 L
17 Apr Avispa Fukuoka A 0–0 D
10 Apr Vissel Kobe A 1–0 W
05 Apr Kashiwa Reysol H 0–1 L
02 Apr Kawasaki Frontale A 4–1 W

Key Stats

69% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/4
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/2
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Cerezo Osaka FC
Solomon Sakuragawa 3 G
Yumeki Yokoyama 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Sagan Tosu FC to score. At the same time, Cerezo Osaka FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Jean Patric has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 10' Taichi Kikuchi is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Cerezo Osaka FC tonight.
  • 15' It is a cagey affair so far. Sagan Tosu FC in their trying to find a way past Cerezo Osaka FC's compact .
  • 20' Cerezo Osaka FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 25' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Cerezo Osaka FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 30' Sagan Tosu FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 35' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 40' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Yuto Iwasaki made 381 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 45' A quiet spell here at . Cerezo Osaka FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 50' Sagan Tosu FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 52' Hiroaki Okuno has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 52.
  • 57' It looks like no one’s ball. Cerezo Osaka FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 59' A change in the Sagan Tosu FC ranks — Taichi Kikuchi exits the field as Yuki Horigome enters on 59.
  • 60' The supporters are chanting for Bruno Mendes. He replaces Kato Mutsuki on 60 minute.
  • 65' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 67' Yuki Kakita makes way for Yuji Ono at the 67 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 70' A tactical swap from Cerezo Osaka FC — Adam Taggart on, Hiroto Yamada off on 70 minutes.
  • 71' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Masaya Tashiro.
  • 72' Goal! Bruno Mendes scores his 25 goal in 373 matches.
  • 73' The deadlock is broken! Bruno Mendes gets on the scoresheet on 73 minutes.
  • 76' Sagan Tosu FC ring the changes. Nanasei Iino has done his job and it is now time for Naoyuki Fujita to step up.
  • 81' The travelling Cerezo Osaka FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 83' A goal from the Japan international Naoyuki Fujita! He fires home on 83 to make it 1-2!
  • 85' Time for substitution for Cerezo Osaka FC. Hiroaki Okuno is replaced by Tokuma Suzuki.
  • 90' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.27 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC41% Draw29% Cerezo Osaka FC30%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.35
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
59%
Sagan Tosu FC or Cerezo Osaka FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC28% Draw50% Cerezo Osaka FC22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.8%
1 – 0
11%
0 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
8%
2 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
6.8%
0 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
3.1%
1 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Cerezo Osaka FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 21% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 18% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✓
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.