Sagan Tosu FC vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2022 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2022

Sagan Tosu FC

1 – 1

Full Time

Cerezo Osaka FC

Tue 3 May 2022 · 06:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 52' Hiroaki Okuno

Masaya Tashiro 71' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League .

Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sagan Tosu FC 16 games · Avg 2.6 goals Cerezo Osaka FC

Last 5 meetings

2022-05-03 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Cerezo Osaka FC 2021-07-24 Sagan Tosu FC 3–3 Cerezo Osaka FC 2021-04-02 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2020-12-16 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–2 Sagan Tosu FC 2020-07-26 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Cerezo Osaka FC

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 May	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	1–1	D
29 Apr	Kashiwa Reysol	A	4–1	W
17 Apr	Shimizu S-Pulse	H	0–0	D
10 Apr	Kyoto Sanga FC	A	1–3	L
06 Apr	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	5–0	W
01 Apr	Avispa Fukuoka	A	0–0	D

Cerezo Osaka FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 May	Sagan Tosu FC	A	1–1	D
29 Apr	Kashima Antlers	H	0–3	L
17 Apr	Avispa Fukuoka	A	0–0	D
10 Apr	Vissel Kobe	A	1–0	W
05 Apr	Kashiwa Reysol	H	0–1	L
02 Apr	Kawasaki Frontale	A	4–1	W

Key Stats

69% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

28% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cerezo Osaka FC

0-15

3/1

16-30

4/1

31-45

3/1

46-60

2/2

61-75

2/3

76+

6/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at !
5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sagan Tosu FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Yuki Kakita made 37 appearances and scored 27 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
20' Sagan Tosu FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Cerezo Osaka FC's shape.
25' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sagan Tosu FC and Cerezo Osaka FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
30' Cerezo Osaka FC is showing some good football. However, Cerezo Osaka FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
35' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
40' It is a cagey affair so far. Sagan Tosu FC in their trying to find a way past Cerezo Osaka FC's compact .
45' Seiya Maikuma has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
50' Adam Taggart has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
52' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Hiroaki Okuno.
57' It’s high time Akio Kogiku made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
59' The supporters are chanting for Yuki Horigome. He replaces Taichi Kikuchi on 59 minute.
60' Bruno Mendes is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kato Mutsuki at the 60 minute mark.
65' Sagan Tosu FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 65.
67' A change in the Sagan Tosu FC ranks — Yuki Kakita exits the field as Yuji Ono enters on 67.
70' Hiroto Yamada makes way for Adam Taggart at the 70 minute mark. A tactical switch from Cerezo Osaka FC.
71' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Masaya Tashiro.
72' Brilliant from the ! Bruno Mendes makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 72.
73' Goal! Bruno Mendes scores his 25 goal in 369 matches.
76' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Nanasei Iino is replaced by Naoyuki Fujita on 76 minute.
81' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sagan Tosu FC that had 279 games and scored 293 goals.
83' Naoyuki Fujita does the damage! The net is bulging and Sagan Tosu FC surge ahead!
85' The Cerezo Osaka FC bench stirs into life. Hiroaki Okuno is withdrawn and Tokuma Suzuki gets his opportunity.
90' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
Game over. The scoreline of 1-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

7
Yoshihiro Nakano ↑ 67'
10
Yuji Ono ↑ 67'
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 76'
1
Tatsuya Morita
8
Fuchi Honda ↑ 59'
44
Yuki Horigome ↑ 59'
42
Wataru Harada

Coach Kenta Kawai

Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

9
Adam Taggart ↑ 70'
3
Ryosuke Shindo
26
Jean Patric ↑ 59'
11
Bruno Mendes ↑ 60'
17
Tokuma Suzuki ↑ 85'
41
Hikaru Nakahara ↑ 70'
31
Keisuke Shimizu

Coach Akio Kogiku

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Bruno Mendes	3
Kato Mutsuki	3
Tatsuhiro Sakamoto	2
Tokuma Suzuki	2
Yuta Higuchi	2
Noriyoshi Sakai	2
Hiroaki Okuno	2
Fuchi Honda	2

Head to Head

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2022-05-03 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Cerezo Osaka FC D 2022-04-29 Kashiwa Reysol 1–4 Sagan Tosu FC W 2022-04-17 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Shimizu S-Pulse D 2022-04-10 Kyoto Sanga FC 3–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2022-04-06 Sagan Tosu FC 5–0 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo W 2022-04-01 Avispa Fukuoka 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC D

Cerezo Osaka FC Form

2022-05-03 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Cerezo Osaka FC D 2022-04-29 Cerezo Osaka FC 0–3 Kashima Antlers L 2022-04-17 Avispa Fukuoka 0–0 Cerezo Osaka FC D 2022-04-10 Vissel Kobe 0–1 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2022-04-05 Cerezo Osaka FC 0–1 Kashiwa Reysol L 2022-04-02 Kawasaki Frontale 1–4 Cerezo Osaka FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.27 Sagan Tosu FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.08 Cerezo Osaka FC xG

I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Sagan Tosu FC41% Draw29% Cerezo Osaka FC30%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes48% 0% No52%

Avg goals/match: 2.35

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	88%	12%
± 1.5	68%	32%
± 2.5	41%	59%
± 3.5	21%	79%
± 4.5	10%	90%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw

71%

Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC

59%

Sagan Tosu FC or Cerezo Osaka FC

71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Sagan Tosu FC28% Draw50% Cerezo Osaka FC22%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

11.8%

1 – 0

11%

0 – 1

9.1%

2 – 1

2 – 0

7.5%

1 – 2

6.8%

0 – 2

5.3%

2 – 2

4.4%

3 – 1

3.5%

3 – 0

3.1%

1 – 3

2.5%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap	Sagan Tosu FC covers	Push	Cerezo Osaka FC covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	12%	82%
-1.5	18%	—	82%
-1	18%	21%	61%
-0.5	39%	—	61%
+0.5	70%	—	30%
+1	70%	18%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	8%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

35% ✓

Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.