Kashiwa Reysol vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2022 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2022

Kashiwa Reysol

1 – 4

Full Time

Sagan Tosu FC

Fri 29 Apr 2022 · 07:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 30' Kei Koizumi

Y 90' Naoyuki Fujita

Overview

Match Preview

Kashiwa Reysol vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League .

Kashiwa Reysol 18 games · 20 pts (2026/27)
Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Kashiwa Reysol 14 games · Avg 3.0 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Last 5 meetings

2022-04-29 Kashiwa Reysol 1–4 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-08-21 Kashiwa Reysol 1–3 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-03-17 Sagan Tosu FC 2–0 Kashiwa Reysol 2020-11-21 Kashiwa Reysol 1–2 Sagan Tosu FC 2020-09-13 Sagan Tosu FC 2–1 Kashiwa Reysol

Recent Form

Kashiwa Reysol

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Apr	Sagan Tosu FC	H	1–4	L
17 Apr	Kyoto Sanga FC	H	0–2	L
09 Apr	Kawasaki Frontale	A	0–1	L
05 Apr	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	1–0	W
02 Apr	Júbilo Iwata	H	2–0	W
20 Mar	Nagoya Grampus	A	1–1	D

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Apr	Kashiwa Reysol	A	4–1	W
17 Apr	Shimizu S-Pulse	H	0–0	D
10 Apr	Kyoto Sanga FC	A	1–3	L
06 Apr	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	5–0	W
01 Apr	Avispa Fukuoka	A	0–0	D
18 Mar	Yokohama F.Marinos	A	0–0	D

Key Stats

79% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)

57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

14% Clean Sheets
Kashiwa Reysol this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kashiwa Reysol

0-15

2/2

16-30

–/2

31-45

–/2

46-60

3/3

61-75

6/1

76+

4/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Kashiwa Reysol

Yusuke Segawa	6 G	2 A
Yoshio Koizumi	3 G	2 A
Tojiro Kubo	2 G	1 A
Keita Endo	2 G
Yuki Kakita	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for Kashiwa Reysol and Sagan Tosu FC.
5' Sagan Tosu FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
10' It looks surprising Kashiwa Reysol does not make any changes. Takumi Kamijima has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
20' Taichi Kikuchi has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Mao Hosoya, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
27' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Fuchi Honda makes no mistake. 0-1!
30' The referee shows Sagan Tosu FC player a Yellow card on 30.
35' Over 35 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
40' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
45' Goal! Masaya Tashiro scores his 7 goal in 279 matches.
46' Kashiwa Reysol make a change. Wataru Iwashita trudges off to be replaced by Kengo Kitazume on 46 minutes.
46' Brilliant from the ! Masaya Tashiro makes it 0-3 with a superb finish on 45.
51' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Kashiwa Reysol and Sagan Tosu FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
56' What a strike from Mao Hosoya! The score is 1-3.
57' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Yuki Horigome is replaced by Taichi Kikuchi on 57 minute.
62' A quiet spell here at . Sagan Tosu FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
64' Brilliant from the ! Akito Fukuta makes it 1-4 with a superb finish on 64.
69' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
70' The Kashiwa Reysol bench stirs into life. Sachiro Toshima is withdrawn and Dodi gets his opportunity.
75' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Kei Koizumi is replaced by Naoyuki Fujita on 75 minute.
77' Another change for Kashiwa Reysol made on 77 minute. Matheus Savio leaves to be changed by Yugo Masukake.
82' Brilliant from the ! Nanasei Iino makes it 1-5 with a superb finish on 82.
86' Another substitution for Sagan Tosu FC to replace Yuto Iwasaki by Yuta Fujihara on 86 minute.
90' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Naoyuki Fujita on 90 minutes.
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-4.

Lineups

Kashiwa Reysol Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

22
Dodi ↑ 70'
3
Yuji Takahashi
9
Yuki Muto ↑ 46'
13
Kengo Kitazume ↑ 46'
29
Rodrigo ↑ 77'
21
Masato Sasaki
38
Yugo Masukake ↑ 77'

Coach Nelsinho

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 75'
1
Tatsuya Morita
19
Yuki Kakita ↑ 75'
23
Taichi Kikuchi ↑ 57'
25
Yuta Fujihara ↑ 86'
42
Wataru Harada
16
Shunta Araki ↑ 75'

Coach Kenta Kawai

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Daichi Hayashi	4
Matheus Savio	4
Tomoya Koyamatsu	3
Kosuke Kinoshita	2
Mao Hosoya	2
Yoichi Naganuma	2
Michael Olunga	2
Fuchi Honda	2

Head to Head

Kashiwa Reysol Form

2022-04-29 Kashiwa Reysol 1–4 Sagan Tosu FC L 2022-04-17 Kashiwa Reysol 0–2 Kyoto Sanga FC L 2022-04-09 Kawasaki Frontale 1–0 Kashiwa Reysol L 2022-04-05 Cerezo Osaka FC 0–1 Kashiwa Reysol W 2022-04-02 Kashiwa Reysol 2–0 Júbilo Iwata W 2022-03-20 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol D

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2022-04-29 Kashiwa Reysol 1–4 Sagan Tosu FC W 2022-04-17 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Shimizu S-Pulse D 2022-04-10 Kyoto Sanga FC 3–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2022-04-06 Sagan Tosu FC 5–0 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo W 2022-04-01 Avispa Fukuoka 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC D 2022-03-18 Yokohama F.Marinos 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.13 Kashiwa Reysol xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.7 Sagan Tosu FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Kashiwa Reysol25% Draw26% Sagan Tosu FC49%

Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes56% 0% No44%

Avg goals/match: 2.83

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	77%	23%
± 2.5	53%	47%
± 3.5	32%	68%
± 4.5	16%	84%

Double Chance

Kashiwa Reysol or Draw

52%

Draw or Sagan Tosu FC

75%

Kashiwa Reysol or Sagan Tosu FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Kashiwa Reysol20% Draw45% Sagan Tosu FC35%

Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–4 not predicted

1 – 4

Actual

1 – 1

12.2%

1 – 2

9.3%

0 – 1

9.1%

0 – 2

8.3%

0 – 0

7.7%

2 – 1

6.2%

1 – 0

5.7%

2 – 2

5.3%

1 – 3

5.3%

0 – 3

4.6%

2 – 0

3.7%

2 – 3

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Kashiwa Reysol

Handicap	Kashiwa Reysol covers	Push	Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	7%	90%
-1.5	10%	—	90%
-1	10%	14%	76%
-0.5	24%	—	76%
+0.5	51%	—	49%
+1	51%	22%	27%
+1.5	73%	—	27%
+2	73%	15%	12%
+2.5	88%	—	12%

Clean Sheet

Kashiwa Reysol keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.