Thursday , 2 July 2026

Kashiwa Reysol vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2022 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2022
Fri 29 Apr 2022 · 07:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Apr Sagan Tosu FC H 1–4 L
17 Apr Kyoto Sanga FC H 0–2 L
09 Apr Kawasaki Frontale A 0–1 L
05 Apr Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–0 W
02 Apr Jubilo Iwata H 2–0 W
20 Mar Nagoya Grampus A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Apr Kashiwa Reysol A 4–1 W
17 Apr Shimizu S-Pulse H 0–0 D
10 Apr Kyoto Sanga FC A 1–3 L
06 Apr Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 5–0 W
01 Apr Avispa Fukuoka A 0–0 D
18 Mar Yokohama F·Marinos A 0–0 D

Key Stats

79% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Kashiwa Reysol this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kashiwa Reysol
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
3/3
46-60
/3
61-75
2/2
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.13 Kashiwa Reysol xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.7 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Kashiwa Reysol25% Draw26% Sagan Tosu FC49%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.83
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Kashiwa Reysol or Draw
52%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
75%
Kashiwa Reysol or Sagan Tosu FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Kashiwa Reysol20% Draw45% Sagan Tosu FC35%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–4 not predicted
1 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 1
9.1%
0 – 2
8.3%
0 – 0
7.7%
2 – 1
6.2%
1 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
5.3%
1 – 3
5.3%
0 – 3
4.6%
2 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Kashiwa Reysol

Handicap Kashiwa Reysol covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 14% 76%
-0.5 24% 76%
+0.5 51% 49%
+1 51% 22% 27%
+1.5 73% 27%
+2 73% 15% 12%
+2.5 88% 12%

Clean Sheet

Kashiwa Reysol keeps clean sheet
19%
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.