Kashiwa Reysol vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2022 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Kashiwa Reysol vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League .
- Kashiwa Reysol 18 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 1–4 | L |
| 17 Apr | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 09 Apr | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Apr | Jubilo Iwata | H | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Mar | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 4–1 | W |
| 17 Apr | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Apr | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 06 Apr | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 5–0 | W |
| 01 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Mar | Yokohama F·Marinos | A | 0–0 | D |
Key Stats
79%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
57%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Kashiwa Reysol this season
Kashiwa Reysol this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Kashiwa Reysol
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
–/3
61-75
2/2
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Kashiwa Reysol and Sagan Tosu FC get this one started.
- 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Kashiwa Reysol and Sagan Tosu FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 15' It looks surprising Kashiwa Reysol does not make any changes. Takumi Kamijima has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 25' Kashiwa Reysol are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Sagan Tosu FC's shape.
- 27' The deadlock is broken! Fuchi Honda gets on the scoresheet on 27 minutes.
- 30' Kei Koizumi is having his name booked by the referee on 30.
- 35' Kashiwa Reysol is showing some good football. However, Kashiwa Reysol are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 40' With 0 assists to his name this season, Park Ilkyu is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Kashiwa Reysol.
- 45' Magnificent from Masaya Tashiro! That is 7 goals in 279 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 46' A change in the Kashiwa Reysol ranks — Wataru Iwashita exits the field as Kengo Kitazume enters on 46.
- 46' Against the run of play, Masaya Tashiro has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 51' Kashiwa Reysol started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 51.
- 56' Mao Hosoya is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 2 goals this season for the .
- 57' Fresh legs for Sagan Tosu FC! Taichi Kikuchi comes on to replace Yuki Horigome.
- 62' Takuma Ominami has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 64' Akito Fukuta does the damage! The net is bulging and Sagan Tosu FC surge ahead!
- 69' Kashiwa Reysol is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 70' Dodi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Sachiro Toshima on 70 minute.
- 75' A tactical swap from Sagan Tosu FC — Naoyuki Fujita on, Kei Koizumi off on 75 minutes.
- 77' The Kashiwa Reysol manager makes a substitution. Matheus Savio departs to be replaced by Yugo Masukake.
- 82' The deadlock is broken! Nanasei Iino gets on the scoresheet on 82 minutes.
- 86' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Yuto Iwasaki is replaced by Yuta Fujihara.
- 90' Naoyuki Fujita was booked on 90.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Kashiwa Reysol.
Lineups
Kashiwa Reysol Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
Matheus Savio ↓ Yugo Masukake 77'
- 6
- 2
- 4
- 44
- 25
-
19
Mao Hosoya ↓ Rodrigo 77'
-
37
Fumiya Unoki ↓ Yuki Muto 46'
-
28
Sachiro Toshima ↓ Dodi 70'
- 18
- 23
Bench
-
22
Dodi ↑ 70'
- 3
-
9
Yuki Muto ↑ 46'
-
13
Kengo Kitazume ↑ 46'
-
29
Rodrigo ↑ 77'
- 21
-
38
Yugo Masukake ↑ 77'
Coach
Nelsinho
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
-
10
Yuji Ono ↓ Yuki Kakita 75'
- 20
-
37
Kei Koizumi ↓ Naoyuki Fujita 75'
-
29
Yuto Iwasaki ↓ Yuta Fujihara 86'
- 40
-
8
Fuchi Honda ↓ Shunta Araki 75'
- 2
- 30
- 5
-
44
Yuki Horigome ↓ Taichi Kikuchi 57'
Bench
-
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 75'
- 1
-
19
Yuki Kakita ↑ 75'
-
23
Taichi Kikuchi ↑ 57'
-
25
Yuta Fujihara ↑ 86'
- 42
-
16
Shunta Araki ↑ 75'
Coach
Kenta Kawai
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Matheus Savio | 4 |
| Daichi Hayashi | 4 |
| Tomoya Koyamatsu | 3 |
| Fuchi Honda | 2 |
| Marcelo Ryan | 2 |
| Kosuke Kinoshita | 2 |
| Mao Hosoya | 2 |
| Yoichi Naganuma | 2 |
Head to Head
Kashiwa Reysol Form
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.13
Kashiwa Reysol xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.7
Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sagan Tosu FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.83
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
Kashiwa Reysol or Draw
52%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
75%
Kashiwa Reysol or Sagan Tosu FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 1–4 not predicted1 – 4Actual
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 1
9.1%
0 – 2
8.3%
0 – 0
7.7%
2 – 1
6.2%
1 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
5.3%
1 – 3
5.3%
0 – 3
4.6%
2 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Kashiwa Reysol
| Handicap | Kashiwa Reysol covers | Push | Sagan Tosu FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| -0.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| +0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +1 | 51% | 22% | 27% |
| +1.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +2 | 73% | 15% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
Kashiwa Reysol keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

