Cerezo Osaka FC vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2020 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2020

Cerezo Osaka FC

1 – 2

Full Time

Sagan Tosu FC

Wed 16 Dec 2020 · 10:00 UTC Yanmar Stadium Nagai HT 45+4' · FT 45+5'

Y 24' Shinya Nakano

Y 90' Renzo Lopez

Overview

Match Preview

Cerezo Osaka FC vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Yanmar Stadium Nagai.

Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Isao Nishihashi
Referee Minoru Tojo
Referee Yuki Noda
Referee Akihito Kawasaki

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Cerezo Osaka FC 16 games · Avg 2.6 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Last 5 meetings

2020-12-16 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–2 Sagan Tosu FC 2020-07-26 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Cerezo Osaka FC 2019-08-11 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–2 Sagan Tosu FC 2019-06-01 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Cerezo Osaka FC 2018-08-05 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Cerezo Osaka FC

Recent Form

Cerezo Osaka FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Dec	Sagan Tosu FC	H	1–2	L
12 Dec	Kashiwa Reysol	H	0–0	D
05 Dec	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	3–1	W
29 Nov	Yokohama FC	H	1–0	W
25 Nov	Oita FC Trinita	A	1–0	W
21 Nov	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	0–1	L

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Dec	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	2–1	W
12 Dec	Kawasaki Frontale	H	1–1	D
05 Dec	Yokohama FC	A	1–1	D
29 Nov	Gamba Osaka	A	1–1	D
25 Nov	Vegalta Sendai	H	0–1	L
21 Nov	Kashiwa Reysol	A	2–1	W

Key Stats

69% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

28% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cerezo Osaka FC

0-15

3/1

16-30

4/1

31-45

3/1

46-60

2/2

61-75

2/3

76+

6/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Cerezo Osaka FC have kicked off against Sagan Tosu FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
12' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Fuchi Honda is replaced by Tomoya Koyamatsu on 12 minute.
17' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
21' Yuta Higuchi doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
24' Shinya Nakano catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 24.
29' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Cerezo Osaka FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
34' Ryang Yong Gi is replacing Hideto Takahashi for the Sagan Tosu FC side.
39' Cerezo Osaka FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
44' What composure from Yuta Toyokawa! The Japan international strokes it home. 1-1.
46' Another substitution for Cerezo Osaka FC to replace Riku Matsuda by Yoichiro Kakitani on 46 minute.
49' A change in the Cerezo Osaka FC ranks — Yuta Toyokawa exits the field as Toshiyuki Takagi enters on 49.
54' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Cerezo Osaka FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
59' Daichi Hayashi has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
64' Sagan Tosu FC have won 293 goals from 279 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
69' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
74' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
79' Sagan Tosu FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
84' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
88' The whistle greets Tatsuhiro Sakamoto as he departs to be replaced by Koji Suzuki.
90' Renzo Lopez is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Cerezo Osaka FC.

Lineups

Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

1
Takumi Nagaishi
8
Yoichiro Kakitani ↑ 46'
13
Toshiyuki Takagi ↑ 49'
4
Yuta Koike ↑ 88'
18
Koji Suzuki ↑ 88'
30
Hinata Kida

Coach Lotina

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

36
Hideto Takahashi C ↓ Ryang Yong Gi 34'
41
Daiki Matsuoka
38
Daiki Miya
7
Takeshi Kanamori ↓ Renzo Lopez 46'
2
Teruki Hara
30
Yuta Higuchi
40
Park Ilkyu
23
Fuchi Honda ↓ Tomoya Koyamatsu 12'
16
Daichi Hayashi ↓ Tiago Alves 88'
28
Ryoya Morishita
47
Shinya Nakano

Bench

50
Ryang Yong Gi ↑ 34'
3
Eduardo
1
Tatsuya Morita
9
Tiago Alves ↑ 88'
6
Yuto Uchida
22
Tomoya Koyamatsu ↑ 12'
20
Renzo Lopez ↑ 46'

Coach Myung-Hwi Kim

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Bruno Mendes	3
Kato Mutsuki	3
Noriyoshi Sakai	2
Hiroaki Okuno	2
Fuchi Honda	2
Tatsuhiro Sakamoto	2
Tokuma Suzuki	2
Yuta Higuchi	2

Head to Head

Cerezo Osaka FC Form

2020-12-16 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–2 Sagan Tosu FC L 2020-12-12 Cerezo Osaka FC 0–0 Kashiwa Reysol D 2020-12-05 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1–3 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2020-11-29 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–0 Yokohama FC W 2020-11-25 Oita FC Trinita 0–1 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2020-11-21 Cerezo Osaka FC 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2020-12-16 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–2 Sagan Tosu FC W 2020-12-12 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Kawasaki Frontale D 2020-12-05 Yokohama FC 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2020-11-29 Gamba Osaka 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2020-11-25 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Vegalta Sendai L 2020-11-21 Kashiwa Reysol 1–2 Sagan Tosu FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.06 Cerezo Osaka FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.14 Sagan Tosu FC xG

I would bet for: Cerezo Osaka FC or Sagan Tosu FC 68% + Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Cerezo Osaka FC33% Draw32% Sagan Tosu FC35%

Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes45% 0% No55%

Avg goals/match: 2.2

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	87%	13%
± 1.5	65%	35%
± 2.5	38%	62%
± 3.5	19%	81%
± 4.5	8%	92%

Double Chance

Cerezo Osaka FC or Draw

64%

Draw or Sagan Tosu FC

67%

Cerezo Osaka FC or Sagan Tosu FC

68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Cerezo Osaka FC23% Draw52% Sagan Tosu FC25%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

14.3%

0 – 0

13.4%

0 – 1

11.4%

1 – 0

10.4%

1 – 2

Actual

0 – 2

2 – 1

6.8%

2 – 0

5.9%

2 – 2

1 – 3

2.9%

0 – 3

2.6%

3 – 1

2.4%

Asian Handicap — Cerezo Osaka FC

Handicap	Cerezo Osaka FC covers	Push	Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	9%	87%
-1.5	13%	—	87%
-1	13%	19%	68%
-0.5	32%	—	68%
+0.5	64%	—	36%
+1	64%	21%	15%
+1.5	85%	—	15%
+2	85%	10%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet

33% ✓

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

35% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.