Cerezo Osaka FC vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Cerezo Osaka FC vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Yanmar Stadium Nagai.
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Hajime Matsuo
- Referee Takahiro Okano
- Referee Yoshiro Imamura
- Referee Akihito Kawasaki
- Referee Shoichiro Mikami
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Mar | Shonan Bellmare | A | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Mar | Oita FC Trinita | H | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Mar | Yokohama FC | A | 4–1 | W |
| 10 Mar | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Mar | FC Tōkyō | A | 2–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Mar | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Mar | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 2–0 | W |
| 14 Mar | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Mar | Vegalta Sendai | H | 5–0 | W |
| 06 Mar | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 2–0 | W |
Key Stats
69%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Yanmar Stadium Nagai. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Cerezo Osaka FC and Sagan Tosu FC.
- 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 10' Sagan Tosu FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 15' Daiki Matsuoka has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ryuya Nishio made 369 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 25' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 30' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 35' It’s high time Myung-Hwi Kim made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 40' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 42' Keiya Sento was booked on 42.
- 43' Keiya Sento has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 43.
- 46' The crowd applauds Yoshihiro Nakano as he leaves the pitch. Keita Yamashita steps in for Sagan Tosu FC.
- 46' The Japan Hiroaki Okuno breaks the deadlock on 46 minutes. 1-0!
- 51' Fuchi Honda has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 1 cards already picked up this season.
- 55' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Hwang Seokho.
- 60' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 63' Fuchi Honda gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Tomoya Koyamatsu and will look to change the dynamic.
- 68' Korea Republic international Kim Jinhyeon has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 69' Sagan Tosu FC ring the changes. Daiki Matsuoka has done his job and it is now time for Toshio Shimakawa to step up.
- 74' It looks surprising Cerezo Osaka FC does not make any changes. Tomoya Koyamatsu has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 76' Another substitution for Cerezo Osaka FC to replace Yoshito Okubo by Hiroto Yamada on 76 minute.
- 77' The referee does not hesitate — a Red card for Hwang Seokho on 77 minutes.
- 80' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Daichi Hayashi departs to be replaced by Masaya Tashiro.
- 81' A moment of madness from Eduardo on 81 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Sagan Tosu FC will be frustrated.
- 86' Supporters expect more eagerness from Naoyuki Fujita, as he is very good at scoring at Yanmar Stadium Nagai with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 90' Hiroshi Kiyotake makes way for Kato Mutsuki at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Cerezo Osaka FC.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
- 21
- 5
-
20
Yoshito Okubo ↓ Hiroto Yamada 76'
- 2
- 14
- 10
-
32
Yuta Toyokawa ↓ Riki Matsuda 90'
- 15
- 18
- 33
Bench
- 3
- 40
-
34
Hiroto Yamada ↑ 76'
- 50
-
29
Kato Mutsuki ↑ 90'
-
22
Riki Matsuda ↑ 90'
- 16
Coach
Levir Culpi
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 3
- 41
- 20
- 10
- 40
-
8
Daichi Hayashi ↓ Masaya Tashiro 80'
-
22
Tomoya Koyamatsu ↓ Fuchi Honda 63'
- 44
- 47
- 24
Bench
- 1
-
4
Toshio Shimakawa ↑ 69'
-
23
Fuchi Honda ↑ 63'
- 6
- 15
-
9
Keita Yamashita ↑ 46'
-
30
Masaya Tashiro ↑ 80'
Coach
Myung-Hwi Kim
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kato Mutsuki | 3 |
| Bruno Mendes | 3 |
| Noriyoshi Sakai | 2 |
| Hiroaki Okuno | 2 |
| Fuchi Honda | 2 |
| Tatsuhiro Sakamoto | 2 |
| Tokuma Suzuki | 2 |
| Yuta Higuchi | 2 |
Head to Head
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.14
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77
Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 70% + Under — clean sheet likely 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cerezo Osaka FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.91
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 1.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 2.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 3.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
| ± 4.5 | 5% |
|
95% |
Double Chance
Cerezo Osaka FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
54%
Cerezo Osaka FC or Sagan Tosu FC
69%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.3%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 1
10%
2 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 0
3.5%
2 – 2
2.9%
3 – 1
2.9%
1 – 3
1.3%
Asian Handicap — Cerezo Osaka FC
| Handicap | Cerezo Osaka FC covers | Push | Sagan Tosu FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 13% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 24% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 16% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
47%
✗
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

