Thursday , 2 July 2026

Cerezo Osaka FC vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2021
Fri 2 Apr 2021 · 10:00 UTC Yanmar Stadium Nagai HT 45+5' · FT 45+8'
Y 42' Keiya Sento
Y 43' Keiya Sento
Y 55' Hwang Seokho
R 77' Hwang Seokho
Y 81' Eduardo

Overview

Match Preview

Cerezo Osaka FC vs Sagan Tosu FCJ. League at Yanmar Stadium Nagai.

Match Details

  • Referee Hajime Matsuo
  • Referee Takahiro Okano
  • Referee Yoshiro Imamura
  • Referee Akihito Kawasaki
  • Referee Shoichiro Mikami

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Apr Sagan Tosu FC H 1–0 W
21 Mar Shonan Bellmare A 0–0 D
17 Mar Oita FC Trinita H 1–0 W
13 Mar Yokohama FC A 4–1 W
10 Mar Shimizu S-Pulse H 2–1 W
06 Mar FC Tōkyō A 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Apr Cerezo Osaka FC A 0–1 L
21 Mar Avispa Fukuoka H 0–0 D
17 Mar Kashiwa Reysol H 2–0 W
14 Mar Shimizu S-Pulse A 0–0 D
10 Mar Vegalta Sendai H 5–0 W
06 Mar Urawa Red Diamonds H 2–0 W

Key Stats

69% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Yanmar Stadium Nagai. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Cerezo Osaka FC and Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 10' Sagan Tosu FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 15' Daiki Matsuoka has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ryuya Nishio made 369 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 25' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 30' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 35' It’s high time Myung-Hwi Kim made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 40' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 42' Keiya Sento was booked on 42.
  • 43' Keiya Sento has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 43.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Yoshihiro Nakano as he leaves the pitch. Keita Yamashita steps in for Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 46' The Japan Hiroaki Okuno breaks the deadlock on 46 minutes. 1-0!
  • 51' Fuchi Honda has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 1 cards already picked up this season.
  • 55' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Hwang Seokho.
  • 60' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 63' Fuchi Honda gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Tomoya Koyamatsu and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 68' Korea Republic international Kim Jinhyeon has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 69' Sagan Tosu FC ring the changes. Daiki Matsuoka has done his job and it is now time for Toshio Shimakawa to step up.
  • 74' It looks surprising Cerezo Osaka FC does not make any changes. Tomoya Koyamatsu has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 76' Another substitution for Cerezo Osaka FC to replace Yoshito Okubo by Hiroto Yamada on 76 minute.
  • 77' The referee does not hesitate — a Red card for Hwang Seokho on 77 minutes.
  • 80' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Daichi Hayashi departs to be replaced by Masaya Tashiro.
  • 81' A moment of madness from Eduardo on 81 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Sagan Tosu FC will be frustrated.
  • 86' Supporters expect more eagerness from Naoyuki Fujita, as he is very good at scoring at Yanmar Stadium Nagai with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 90' Hiroshi Kiyotake makes way for Kato Mutsuki at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Cerezo Osaka FC.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.14 Cerezo Osaka FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 70% + Under — clean sheet likely 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Cerezo Osaka FC46% Draw31% Sagan Tosu FC23%
Actual: Cerezo Osaka FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes38% 0% No62%
Avg goals/match: 1.91
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 57%
43%
± 2.5 30%
70%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Cerezo Osaka FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
54%
Cerezo Osaka FC or Sagan Tosu FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Cerezo Osaka FC28% Draw56% Sagan Tosu FC16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.3%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 1
10%
2 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 0
3.5%
2 – 2
2.9%
3 – 1
2.9%
1 – 3
1.3%

Asian Handicap — Cerezo Osaka FC

Handicap Cerezo Osaka FC covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 13% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 24% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 16% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
47%
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.