Cerezo Osaka FC vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Cerezo Osaka FC vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Yanmar Stadium Nagai.
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Hajime Matsuo
- Referee Takahiro Okano
- Referee Yoshiro Imamura
- Referee Akihito Kawasaki
- Referee Shoichiro Mikami
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Mar | Shonan Bellmare | A | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Mar | Ōita FC Trinita | H | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Mar | Yokohama FC | A | 4–1 | W |
| 10 Mar | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Mar | FC Tōkyō | A | 2–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Mar | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Mar | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 2–0 | W |
| 14 Mar | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Mar | Vegalta Sendai | H | 5–0 | W |
| 06 Mar | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 2–0 | W |
Key Stats
69%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/4
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/2
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Cerezo Osaka FC
| Solomon Sakuragawa | 3 G |
| Yumeki Yokoyama | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Sagan Tosu FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 20' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 25' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 30' The home supporters are growing impatient. Cerezo Osaka FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 35' Supporters expect more eagerness from Hiroshi Kiyotake, as he is very good at scoring at Yanmar Stadium Nagai with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
- 40' It’s high time Myung-Hwi Kim made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 42' Keiya Sento catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 42.
- 43' A meaty challenge results in booking for Keiya Sento on 43.
- 46' The whistle greets Yoshihiro Nakano as he departs to be replaced by Keita Yamashita.
- 46' What composure from Hiroaki Okuno! The Japan international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 51' Fuchi Honda has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 55' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Hwang Seokho on 55 minutes.
- 60' Cerezo Osaka FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sagan Tosu FC backline.
- 63' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 63 minute. Tomoya Koyamatsu leaves to be changed by Fuchi Honda.
- 68' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 69' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Daiki Matsuoka is replaced by Toshio Shimakawa on 69 minute.
- 74' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Cerezo Osaka FC that had 374 games and scored 399 goals.
- 76' Cerezo Osaka FC make a change. Yoshito Okubo trudges off to be replaced by Hiroto Yamada on 76 minutes.
- 77' Hwang Seokho picks up a Red card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 80' Masaya Tashiro is ready to make an impact after coming on for Daichi Hayashi at the 80 minute mark.
- 81' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Eduardo on 81 minutes.
- 86' Sagan Tosu FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 90' It is a substitution in Cerezo Osaka FC team. Hiroshi Kiyotake is replaced by Kato Mutsuki on 90 minute.
- With this win, Cerezo Osaka FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
- 21
- 5
-
20
Yoshito Okubo ↓ Hiroto Yamada 76'
- 2
- 14
- 10
-
32
Yuta Toyokawa ↓ Riki Matsuda 90'
- 15
- 18
- 33
Bench
- 3
- 40
-
34
Hiroto Yamada ↑ 76'
- 50
-
29
Kato Mutsuki ↑ 90'
-
22
Riki Matsuda ↑ 90'
- 16
Coach
Levir Culpi
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 3
- 41
- 20
- 10
- 40
-
8
Daichi Hayashi ↓ Masaya Tashiro 80'
-
22
Tomoya Koyamatsu ↓ Fuchi Honda 63'
- 44
- 47
- 24
Bench
- 1
-
4
Toshio Shimakawa ↑ 69'
-
23
Fuchi Honda ↑ 63'
- 6
- 15
-
9
Keita Yamashita ↑ 46'
-
30
Masaya Tashiro ↑ 80'
Coach
Myung-Hwi Kim
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bruno Mendes | 3 |
| Kato Mutsuki | 3 |
| Noriyoshi Sakai | 2 |
| Hiroaki Okuno | 2 |
| Fuchi Honda | 2 |
| Tatsuhiro Sakamoto | 2 |
| Tokuma Suzuki | 2 |
| Yuta Higuchi | 2 |
Head to Head
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.14
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77
Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 70% + Under — clean sheet likely 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cerezo Osaka FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.91
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 1.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 2.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 3.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
| ± 4.5 | 5% |
|
95% |
Double Chance
Cerezo Osaka FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
54%
Cerezo Osaka FC or Sagan Tosu FC
69%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.3%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 1
10%
2 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 0
3.5%
2 – 2
2.9%
3 – 1
2.9%
1 – 3
1.3%
Asian Handicap — Cerezo Osaka FC
| Handicap | Cerezo Osaka FC covers | Push | Sagan Tosu FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 13% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 24% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 16% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
47%
✗
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

