Sunday , 16 August 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2021
Sat 24 Jul 2021 · 10:05 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Cerezo Osaka FCJ. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Hiroki Kasahara
  • Referee Masaaki Toma
  • Referee Takumi Takagi
  • Referee Naoya Okawa
  • Referee Tomokazu Tajiri
  • Referee Yusuke Shiotsu

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jul Cerezo Osaka FC H 3–3 D
17 Jul Nagoya Grampus H 3–1 W
03 Jul Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 1–1 D
23 Jun Yokohama F.Marinos A 0–2 L
30 May Vissel Kobe A 1–1 D
26 May Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jul Sagan Tosu FC A 3–3 D
21 Jul FC Tokyo H 3–3 D
17 Jul Vissel Kobe H 1–1 D
30 May Vegalta Sendai A 1–1 D
26 May Kashima Antlers A 0–1 L
23 May Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 1–2 L

Key Stats

69% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Ekimae Real Estate Stadium that hosts another battle between Sagan Tosu FC and Cerezo Osaka FC.
  • 1' GOAL! Noriyoshi Sakai scores on 1. Assisted by Tomoya Koyamatsu
  • 2' Brilliant from the ! Noriyoshi Sakai makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 2.
  • 7' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sagan Tosu FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 8' Goal! Tomoya Koyamatsu scores his 18 goal in 279 matches.
  • 13' Tiago Pagnussat needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 18' GOAL! Kato Mutsuki scores on 18. Assisted by Tatsuhiro Sakamoto
  • 19' Kato Mutsuki doubles the advantage! 3-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 24' The 36-year-old Hiroaki Okuno has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 29' Sagan Tosu FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Cerezo Osaka FC backline.
  • 34' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 39' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Myung-Hwi Kim will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 44' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 46' A goal from the Japan international Yuta Higuchi! He fires home on 45 to make it 4-2!
  • 46' It is a substitution in Cerezo Osaka FC team. Yoshito Okubo is replaced by Toshiyuki Takagi on 46 minute.
  • 51' Sagan Tosu FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 51.
  • 56' A stunning finish from Eduardo — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 61' Sagan Tosu FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Cerezo Osaka FC's shape.
  • 65' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Riku Matsuda.
  • 67' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Tomoya Koyamatsu is replaced by Taichi Fukui.
  • 69' Kato Mutsuki makes no mistake. The score reads 5-3 and Cerezo Osaka FC are in front.
  • 74' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ryuya Nishio is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 79' Sagan Tosu FC is showing some good football. However, Sagan Tosu FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 81' A tactical swap from Cerezo Osaka FCHiroto Yamada on, Kato Mutsuki off on 81 minutes.
  • 82' A tactical swap from Cerezo Osaka FCKoji Toriumi on, Tiago Pagnussat off on 82 minutes.
  • 86' The whistle greets Noriyoshi Sakai as he departs to be replaced by Ismael Dunga.
  • 87' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Tatsuhiro Sakamoto makes no mistake. 5-4!
  • 90' Riki Matsuda has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 90.
  • 90' Sagan Tosu FC ring the changes. Keiya Sento has done his job and it is now time for Chico Ofoedu to step up.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Sagan Tosu FC 3-3 Cerezo Osaka FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.75 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.41 Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC47% Draw25% Cerezo Osaka FC28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.16
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
53%
Sagan Tosu FC or Cerezo Osaka FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC33% Draw43% Cerezo Osaka FC24%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted
3 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
11.4%
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
7.1%
1 – 0
6.7%
2 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
5.9%
0 – 1
5.2%
3 – 1
5.2%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 2
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Cerezo Osaka FC covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 20% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 16% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
25%
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.