Sagan Tosu FC vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sagan Tosu FC vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Hiroki Kasahara
- Referee Masaaki Toma
- Referee Takumi Takagi
- Referee Naoya Okawa
- Referee Tomokazu Tajiri
- Referee Yusuke Shiotsu
7 games this season
🟨 1.7/game
⚽ 7.9 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 17 Jul | Nagoya Grampus | H | 3–1 | W |
| 03 Jul | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Jun | Yokohama F·Marinos | A | 0–2 | L |
| 30 May | Vissel Kobe | A | 1–1 | D |
| 26 May | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 3–3 | D |
| 21 Jul | FC Tōkyō | H | 3–3 | D |
| 17 Jul | Vissel Kobe | H | 1–1 | D |
| 30 May | Vegalta Sendai | A | 1–1 | D |
| 26 May | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–2 | L |
Key Stats
69%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Cerezo Osaka FC gets underway.
- 1' The Japan Noriyoshi Sakai breaks the deadlock on 1 minutes. 1-0!
- 2' What composure from Noriyoshi Sakai! The Japan international strokes it home. 2-0.
- 7' Cerezo Osaka FC have won 396 goals from 369 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 8' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Tomoya Koyamatsu makes it 3-0.
- 13' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 18' GOAL! Kato Mutsuki fires home to make it 3-1!
- 19' Kato Mutsuki adds to his 0 season tally! Cerezo Osaka FC lead 3-2 — and this changes everything.
- 24' Over 24 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 29' The travelling Cerezo Osaka FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 34' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 39' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 44' It looks surprising Sagan Tosu FC does not make any changes. Toshio Shimakawa has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 46' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Yuta Higuchi makes it 4-2.
- 46' Cerezo Osaka FC make a change. Yoshito Okubo trudges off to be replaced by Toshiyuki Takagi on 46 minutes.
- 51' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Nanasei Iino.
- 56' Eduardo does the damage! The net is bulging and Sagan Tosu FC surge ahead!
- 61' Hiroshi Kiyotake has been relatively quiet despite scoring 21 goals in his last 369 appearances.
- 65' A meaty challenge results in booking for Riku Matsuda on 65.
- 67' The whistle greets Tomoya Koyamatsu as he departs to be replaced by Taichi Fukui.
- 69' Kato Mutsuki doubles the advantage! 5-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 74' A quiet spell here at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. Sagan Tosu FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 79' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sagan Tosu FC and Cerezo Osaka FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 81' Another change for Cerezo Osaka FC made on 81 minute. Kato Mutsuki leaves to be changed by Hiroto Yamada.
- 82' The Cerezo Osaka FC manager makes a substitution. Tiago Pagnussat departs to be replaced by Koji Toriumi.
- 86' The supporters are chanting for Ismael Dunga. He replaces Noriyoshi Sakai on 86 minute.
- 87' The deadlock is broken! Tatsuhiro Sakamoto gets on the scoresheet on 87 minutes.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Riki Matsuda.
- 90' Sagan Tosu FC ring the changes. Keiya Sento has done his job and it is now time for Chico Ofoedu to step up.
- The final score is 3-3.
Lineups
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 3
- 41
- 10
- 40
- 4
- 31
-
22
Tomoya Koyamatsu ↓ Taichi Fukui 67'
-
44
Keiya Sento ↓ Chico Ofoedu 90'
-
15
Noriyoshi Sakai ↓ Ismael Dunga 86'
- 24
Bench
- 14
-
25
Chico Ofoedu ↑ 90'
-
33
Ismael Dunga ↑ 86'
- 1
- 6
- 30
-
43
Taichi Fukui ↑ 67'
Coach
Myung-Hwi Kim
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
6
Tiago Pagnussat ↓ Koji Toriumi 82'
- 25
- 21
- 4
- 20
- 2
-
14
Yusuke Maruhashi ↓ Hinata Kida 81'
-
10
Hiroshi Kiyotake ↓ Riki Matsuda 86'
- 17
- 33
-
29
Kato Mutsuki ↓ Hiroto Yamada 81'
Bench
- 5
-
13
Toshiyuki Takagi ↑ 46'
-
34
Hiroto Yamada ↑ 81'
-
30
Hinata Kida ↑ 81'
- 50
-
22
Riki Matsuda ↑ 86'
-
24
Koji Toriumi ↑ 82'
Coach
Levir Culpi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bruno Mendes | 3 |
| Kato Mutsuki | 3 |
| Noriyoshi Sakai | 2 |
| Hiroaki Okuno | 2 |
| Fuchi Honda | 2 |
| Tatsuhiro Sakamoto | 2 |
| Tokuma Suzuki | 2 |
| Yuta Higuchi | 2 |
Head to Head
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.75
Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.41
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.16
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
53%
Sagan Tosu FC or Cerezo Osaka FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–3 not predicted3 – 3Actual
1 – 1
11.4%
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
7.1%
1 – 0
6.7%
2 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
5.9%
0 – 1
5.2%
3 – 1
5.2%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 2
3.7%
Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC
| Handicap | Sagan Tosu FC covers | Push | Cerezo Osaka FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 14% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 20% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 16% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

