Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2021
Sat 24 Jul 2021 · 10:05 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Cerezo Osaka FCJ. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Hiroki Kasahara
  • Referee Masaaki Toma
  • Referee Takumi Takagi
  • Referee Naoya Okawa
  • Referee Tomokazu Tajiri
  • Referee Yusuke Shiotsu
7 games this season 🟨 1.7/game 7.9 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jul Cerezo Osaka FC H 3–3 D
17 Jul Nagoya Grampus H 3–1 W
03 Jul Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 1–1 D
23 Jun Yokohama F·Marinos A 0–2 L
30 May Vissel Kobe A 1–1 D
26 May Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jul Sagan Tosu FC A 3–3 D
21 Jul FC Tōkyō H 3–3 D
17 Jul Vissel Kobe H 1–1 D
30 May Vegalta Sendai A 1–1 D
26 May Kashima Antlers A 0–1 L
23 May Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 1–2 L

Key Stats

69% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Cerezo Osaka FC gets underway.
  • 1' The Japan Noriyoshi Sakai breaks the deadlock on 1 minutes. 1-0!
  • 2' What composure from Noriyoshi Sakai! The Japan international strokes it home. 2-0.
  • 7' Cerezo Osaka FC have won 396 goals from 369 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 8' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Tomoya Koyamatsu makes it 3-0.
  • 13' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 18' GOAL! Kato Mutsuki fires home to make it 3-1!
  • 19' Kato Mutsuki adds to his 0 season tally! Cerezo Osaka FC lead 3-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 24' Over 24 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 29' The travelling Cerezo Osaka FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 34' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 39' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 44' It looks surprising Sagan Tosu FC does not make any changes. Toshio Shimakawa has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 46' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Yuta Higuchi makes it 4-2.
  • 46' Cerezo Osaka FC make a change. Yoshito Okubo trudges off to be replaced by Toshiyuki Takagi on 46 minutes.
  • 51' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Nanasei Iino.
  • 56' Eduardo does the damage! The net is bulging and Sagan Tosu FC surge ahead!
  • 61' Hiroshi Kiyotake has been relatively quiet despite scoring 21 goals in his last 369 appearances.
  • 65' A meaty challenge results in booking for Riku Matsuda on 65.
  • 67' The whistle greets Tomoya Koyamatsu as he departs to be replaced by Taichi Fukui.
  • 69' Kato Mutsuki doubles the advantage! 5-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 74' A quiet spell here at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. Sagan Tosu FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 79' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sagan Tosu FC and Cerezo Osaka FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 81' Another change for Cerezo Osaka FC made on 81 minute. Kato Mutsuki leaves to be changed by Hiroto Yamada.
  • 82' The Cerezo Osaka FC manager makes a substitution. Tiago Pagnussat departs to be replaced by Koji Toriumi.
  • 86' The supporters are chanting for Ismael Dunga. He replaces Noriyoshi Sakai on 86 minute.
  • 87' The deadlock is broken! Tatsuhiro Sakamoto gets on the scoresheet on 87 minutes.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Riki Matsuda.
  • 90' Sagan Tosu FC ring the changes. Keiya Sento has done his job and it is now time for Chico Ofoedu to step up.
  • The final score is 3-3.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.75 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.41 Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC47% Draw25% Cerezo Osaka FC28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.16
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
53%
Sagan Tosu FC or Cerezo Osaka FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC33% Draw43% Cerezo Osaka FC24%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted
3 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
11.4%
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
7.1%
1 – 0
6.7%
2 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
5.9%
0 – 1
5.2%
3 – 1
5.2%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 2
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Cerezo Osaka FC covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 20% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 16% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
25%
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.