Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2020 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2020
Sun 26 Jul 2020 · 10:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45+5' · FT 45+7'
Eduardo 63' Y
Y 77' Yuta Koike

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Cerezo Osaka FCJ. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Akihiko Ikeuchi
  • Referee Isao Nishihashi
  • Referee Mitsuharu Taketa
  • Referee Hironori Tajima
11 games this season 🟨 1.0/game 5.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Jul Cerezo Osaka FC H 1–1 D
22 Jul Shimizu S-Pulse H 1–1 D
18 Jul Nagoya Grampus A 0–1 L
12 Jul Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 0–0 D
08 Jul Vissel Kobe H 0–1 L
04 Jul Oita FC Trinita A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Jul Sagan Tosu FC A 1–1 D
22 Jul Vissel Kobe H 0–0 D
18 Jul Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 2–1 W
12 Jul Nagoya Grampus H 0–2 L
08 Jul Shimizu S-Pulse H 2–0 W
04 Jul Gamba Osaka A 2–1 W

Key Stats

69% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium!
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 15' Sagan Tosu FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
  • 20' Sagan Tosu FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Cerezo Osaka FC backline.
  • 25' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 30' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 35' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 40' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sagan Tosu FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 45' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Cerezo Osaka FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Eiichi Katayama. He replaces Yoichiro Kakitani on 46 minute.
  • 51' Kaisei Ishii adds to his 0 season tally! Sagan Tosu FC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 56' Riki Harakawa has been relatively quiet despite scoring 15 goals in his last 279 appearances.
  • 61' With 0 assists to his name this season, Daiki Matsuoka is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 63' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Eduardo.
  • 64' Naoyuki Fujita was booked on 64.
  • 68' Another substitution for Sagan Tosu FC to replace Kaisei Ishii by Daichi Hayashi on 68 minute.
  • 72' The Cerezo Osaka FC bench stirs into life. Yusuke Maruhashi is withdrawn and Yuta Koike gets his opportunity.
  • 73' A tactical swap from Cerezo Osaka FCHiroaki Okuno on, Hiroshi Kiyotake off on 73 minutes.
  • 75' The deadlock is broken! Tatsuhiro Sakamoto gets on the scoresheet on 75 minutes.
  • 77' Yuta Koike has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 77.
  • 79' The whistle greets Tomoya Koyamatsu as he departs to be replaced by Ahn Yongwoo.
  • 84' Cerezo Osaka FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 86' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Yohei Toyoda is replaced by Renzo Lopez on 86 minute.
  • The points are shared — Sagan Tosu FC 1-1 Cerezo Osaka FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.15 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14 Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Cerezo Osaka FC 69% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC35% Draw31% Cerezo Osaka FC34%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.29
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
66%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
65%
Sagan Tosu FC or Cerezo Osaka FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC24% Draw51% Cerezo Osaka FC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
12.4%
1 – 0
10.4%
0 – 1
10.4%
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 0
6.4%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
2.8%
1 – 3
2.8%
3 – 0
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Cerezo Osaka FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 20% 66%
-0.5 34% 66%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 20% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
33%
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.