Wednesday , 30 September 2026

VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 23 Nov 2024 · 14:30 UTC Volkswagen Arena 23,861 HT 45' · FT 45'
Ridle Baku 71' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin — Bundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Stieler
  • Assistant 1 Christian Gittelmann
  • Assistant 2 Mark Borsch
3 games this season 🟨 5.7/game ⚽ 11.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Nov 1. FC Union Berlin H 1–0 W
10 Nov 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 3–1 W
02 Nov FC Augsburg H 1–1 D
29 Oct Borussia Dortmund H 1–0 W
26 Oct FC St. Pauli 1910 A 0–0 D
20 Oct SV Werder Bremen H 2–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Nov VfL Wolfsburg A 0–1 L
08 Nov SC Freiburg H 0–0 D
02 Nov FC Bayern München A 0–3 L
30 Oct Arminia Bielefeld A 0–2 L
27 Oct Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–1 D
20 Oct Holstein Kiel A 2–0 W

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
1. FC Union Berlin this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FC Union Berlin
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/3
31-45
–/2
46-60
–/3
61-75
–/4
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FC Union Berlin
Tim Skarke 2 G
Leopold Querfeld 1 G 1 A
Emmanuel Latte Lath 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Volkswagen Arena. Ninety minutes of football awaits between VfL Wolfsburg and 1. FC Union Berlin.
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Tom Rothe made 523 appearances and scored 10 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 9' 1. FC Union Berlin ring the changes. Diogo Leite has done his job and it is now time for Leopold Querfeld to step up.
  • 14' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 15' A moment of madness from Patrick Wimmer on 15 minutes earns him a card. VfL Wolfsburg will be frustrated.
  • 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 25' VfL Wolfsburg is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 30' Benedict Hollerbach is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for VfL Wolfsburg so far.
  • 35' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 40' It is a cagey affair so far. VfL Wolfsburg in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past 1. FC Union Berlin's compact 3-4-2-1.
  • 45' Poor challenge from Kevin Vogt. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Benedict Hollerbach. He replaces Yorbe Vertessen on 46 minute.
  • 51' Both keepers have barely been tested. VfL Wolfsburg and 1. FC Union Berlin are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 56' The energy levels are beginning to show. Ralph Hasenhuttl might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 61' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 63' VfL Wolfsburg make a change. Tiago Tomas trudges off to be replaced by Lukas Nmecha on 63 minutes.
  • 68' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kilian Fischer, as he is very good at scoring at Volkswagen Arena with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 70' Jeong Wooyeong has so much to prove this time. He replaces Janik Haberer on 70 minute.
  • 71' GOAL! Ridle Baku fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 76' With 2 assists to his name this season, Joakim Maehle is clearly more than just a goal scorer for VfL Wolfsburg.
  • 79' VfL Wolfsburg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Salih Ozcan is hanging Mohammed Amoura on the field on 79 minute.
  • 82' It is a substitution in 1. FC Union Berlin team. Rani Khedira is replaced by Laszlo Benes on 82 minute.
  • 87' 1. FC Union Berlin fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 90' 1. FC Union Berlin player sees a card in front of him.
  • 90' It is a substitution in VfL Wolfsburg team. Ridle Baku is replaced by Cedric Zesiger on 90 minute.
  • It finishes all square. VfL Wolfsburg and 1. FC Union Berlin share the spoils 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.29 VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93 1. FC Union Berlin xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfL Wolfsburg47% Draw29% 1. FC Union Berlin24%
Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.22
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
76%
Draw or 1. FC Union Berlin
53%
VfL Wolfsburg or 1. FC Union Berlin
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
VfL Wolfsburg30% Draw52% 1. FC Union Berlin18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
13.2%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
8.7%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 1
3.5%
1 – 3
1.8%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap VfL Wolfsburg covers Push 1. FC Union Berlin covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 23% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 16% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
40% ✗
1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.