Thursday , 2 July 2026

VfL Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2022-23
Sat 18 Feb 2023 · 14:30 UTC Volkswagen Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs RB LeipzigBundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Deniz Aytekin
  • Referee Eduard Beitinger
  • Referee Christian Dietz
  • Referee Michael Bacher
  • Referee Soren Storks
  • Referee Christian Fischer
16 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 5.3 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Feb RB Leipzig H 0–3 L
10 Feb FC Schalke 04 A 0–0 D
05 Feb FC Bayern München H 2–4 L
31 Jan 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–2 L
28 Jan SV Werder Bremen A 1–2 L
24 Jan Hertha BSC A 5–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Feb VfL Wolfsburg A 3–0 W
11 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin H 1–2 L
04 Feb 1. FC Koln A 0–0 D
01 Feb TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 3–1 W
27 Jan VfB Stuttgart H 2–1 W
24 Jan FC Schalke 04 A 6–1 W

Season Stats

VfL Wolfsburg RB Leipzig
#16 Position #3
29 Points 65
34 Played 34
7 / 8 / 19 W / D / L 20 / 5 / 9
45 Scored 66
69 Conceded 47
-24 GD +19
0.85 PPG 1.91
21% Win % 59%

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
6% Clean Sheets
VfL Wolfsburg this season
32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

VfL Wolfsburg are 16th (29 pts). RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfL Wolfsburg
0-15
1/
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
/3
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
1/
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.94 VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.5 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + RB Leipzig to win 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfL Wolfsburg17% Draw21% RB Leipzig62%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 3.44
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
38%
Draw or RB Leipzig
83%
VfL Wolfsburg or RB Leipzig
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
VfL Wolfsburg12% Draw37% RB Leipzig51%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 2
10%
1 – 2
9.1%
1 – 1
8.3%
0 – 3
Actual
0 – 1
7.7%
1 – 3
7.5%
0 – 4
5%
1 – 4
4.8%
0 – 0
4.5%
2 – 2
4.3%
2 – 3
3.6%
2 – 1
3.5%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap VfL Wolfsburg covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 3% 96%
-1.5 4% 96%
-1 4% 8% 88%
-0.5 12% 88%
+0.5 30% 70%
+1 30% 21% 49%
+1.5 51% 49%
+2 51% 20% 28%
+2.5 72% 28%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
9%
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
40%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.