Saturday , 14 November 2026

VfL Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2022-23
Sat 18 Feb 2023 · 14:30 UTC Volkswagen Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Deniz Aytekin
  • Referee Eduard Beitinger
  • Referee Christian Dietz
  • Referee Michael Bacher
  • Referee Soren Storks
  • Referee Christian Fischer

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Feb RB Leipzig H 0–3 L
10 Feb FC Schalke 04 A 0–0 D
05 Feb FC Bayern München H 2–4 L
31 Jan 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–2 L
28 Jan SV Werder Bremen A 1–2 L
24 Jan Hertha BSC A 5–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Feb VfL Wolfsburg A 3–0 W
11 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin H 1–2 L
04 Feb 1. FC Köln A 0–0 D
01 Feb TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 3–1 W
27 Jan VfB Stuttgart H 2–1 W
24 Jan FC Schalke 04 A 6–1 W

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
56% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
2/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
6/2
46-60
4/3
61-75
5/2
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

RB Leipzig
Christopher Nkunku 5 G 2 A
Romulo Cruz 5 G
Antonio Nusa 4 G 7 A
Tidiam Gomis 3 G 2 A
Ridle Baku 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Volkswagen Arena. VfL Wolfsburg are looking to make home advantage count against RB Leipzig.
  • 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Christopher Nkunku made 534 appearances and scored 95 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 14' Emil Forsberg does the damage! The net is bulging and RB Leipzig surge ahead!
  • 19' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 24' Dominik Szoboszlai, a Hungary , has 20 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 29' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 34' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 39' David Raum has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 12 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 44' Supporters expect more eagerness from Sebastiaan Bornauw, as he is very good at scoring at Volkswagen Arena with 2 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 46' Paulo Otavio makes way for Maxence Lacroix at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from VfL Wolfsburg.
  • 51' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 56' VfL Wolfsburg are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 59' VfL Wolfsburg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Mattias Svanberg is hanging Patrick Wimmer on the field on 59 minute.
  • 64' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 65' David Raum is having his name booked by the referee on 65.
  • 69' RB Leipzig ring the changes. Andre Silva has done his job and it is now time for Christopher Nkunku to step up.
  • 74' The VfL Wolfsburg manager makes a substitution. Felix Kalu Nmecha departs to be replaced by Lukas Ambros.
  • 75' Fresh legs for RB Leipzig! Konrad Laimer comes on to replace Emil Forsberg.
  • 80' Paulo Otavio has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 1 cards already picked up this season.
  • 85' Brilliant from the ! Konrad Laimer makes it 0-2 with a superb finish on 85.
  • 88' Kevin Kampl is replacing Amadou Haidara for the RB Leipzig side.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Sebastiaan Bornauw on 90.
  • The final score is 0-3.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.94 VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.86 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfL Wolfsburg21% Draw26% RB Leipzig53%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.8
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
47%
Draw or RB Leipzig
79%
VfL Wolfsburg or RB Leipzig
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfL Wolfsburg15% Draw44% RB Leipzig41%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.5%
0 – 1
10.6%
0 – 2
10.3%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 0
7.9%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
5.9%
1 – 0
4.9%
2 – 1
4.8%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 4
2.9%
2 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap VfL Wolfsburg covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 94%
-1.5 6% — 94%
-1 6% 11% 82%
-0.5 18% — 82%
+0.5 42% — 58%
+1 42% 24% 34%
+1.5 66% — 34%
+2 66% 18% 16%
+2.5 84% — 16%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
40% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.