Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Tue 27 Jan 2026 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs RB LeipzigBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Exner
17 games this season 🟨 1.2/game 6.8 goals/game 🟥 3 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jan RB Leipzig H 1–1 D
23 Jan Hamburger SV H 0–0 D
17 Jan Borussia Dortmund A 2–3 L
14 Jan VfL Wolfsburg A 1–2 L
21 Dec 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 0–0 D
13 Dec 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jan FC St. Pauli 1910 A 1–1 D
24 Jan 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 3–0 W
17 Jan FC Bayern München H 1–5 L
14 Jan SC Freiburg H 2–0 W
20 Dec Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–3 L
12 Dec 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–3 L

Season Stats

FC St. Pauli 1910 RB Leipzig
#18 Position #3
26 Points 65
34 Played 34
6 / 8 / 20 W / D / L 20 / 5 / 9
29 Scored 66
60 Conceded 47
-31 GD +19
0.76 PPG 1.91
18% Win % 59%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season
32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

FC St. Pauli 1910 are 18th (26 pts). RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC St. Pauli 1910
0-15
/3
16-30
1/
31-45
/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/1
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
1/
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.87 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.75 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC St. Pauli 191024% Draw27% RB Leipzig49%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.62
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
51%
Draw or RB Leipzig
76%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or RB Leipzig
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC St. Pauli 191014% Draw46% RB Leipzig40%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
12%
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
10.9%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 0
9.3%
0 – 3
6.2%
1 – 3
5.5%
1 – 0
5.4%
2 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 4
2.7%
2 – 0
2.7%

Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910

Handicap FC St. Pauli 1910 covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 11% 83%
-0.5 17% 83%
+0.5 43% 57%
+1 43% 24% 32%
+1.5 68% 32%
+2 68% 18% 15%
+2.5 85% 15%

Clean Sheet

FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
18%
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
42%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.