Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
FC St. Pauli 1910
1 – 1
Full Time
RB Leipzig
Tue 27 Jan 2026 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Exner
5 games this season 🟨 3.6/game ⚽ 8.8 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Borussia Dortmund 4 12
2 FC Bayern München 4 10
3 SC Freiburg 4 10
4 FC Augsburg 4 7
5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4 7
6 1. FSV Mainz 05 4 7
7 SV 07 Elversberg 4 7
8 SV Werder Bremen 4 7
9 RB Leipzig 4 6
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 4 5
11 FC Schalke 04 4 5
12 SC Paderborn 07 4 4
13 1. FC Köln 4 4
14 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4 3
15 VfB Stuttgart 4 3
16 Hamburger SV 4 3
17 1. FC Union Berlin 4 1
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 4 0

Head-to-Head

2
3
FC St. Pauli 1910 5 games · Avg 2.6 goals RB Leipzig
Last 5 meetings
2026-01-27 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–1 RB Leipzig 2025-02-09 RB Leipzig 2–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 2024-10-29 RB Leipzig 4–2 FC St. Pauli 1910 2024-09-22 FC St. Pauli 1910 0–0 RB Leipzig

Recent Form

FC St. Pauli 1910
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jan RB Leipzig H 1–1 D
23 Jan Hamburger SV H 0–0 D
17 Jan Borussia Dortmund A 2–3 L
14 Jan VfL Wolfsburg A 1–2 L
21 Dec 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 0–0 D
13 Dec 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–1 W
RB Leipzig
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jan FC St. Pauli 1910 A 1–1 D
24 Jan 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 3–0 W
17 Jan FC Bayern München H 1–5 L
14 Jan SC Freiburg H 2–0 W
20 Dec Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–3 L
12 Dec 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–3 L

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

RB Leipzig
Antonio Nusa 2 G 2 A
Ridle Baku 2 G
Rocco Reitz 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Yussuf Poulsen 2
Willi Orban 1
Xaver Schlager 1
Eric Smith 1
Morgan Guilavogui 1
Christoph Baumgartner 1
Antonio Nusa 1
Xavi Simons 1

Head to Head

2026-01-27 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–1 RB Leipzig 2025-02-09 RB Leipzig 2–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 2024-10-29 RB Leipzig 4–2 FC St. Pauli 1910 2024-09-22 FC St. Pauli 1910 0–0 RB Leipzig

FC St. Pauli 1910 Form

2026-01-27 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–1 RB Leipzig D 2026-01-23 FC St. Pauli 1910 0–0 Hamburger SV D 2026-01-17 Borussia Dortmund 3–2 FC St. Pauli 1910 L 2026-01-14 VfL Wolfsburg 2–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 L 2025-12-21 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 D 2025-12-13 FC St. Pauli 1910 2–1 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 W

RB Leipzig Form

2026-01-27 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–1 RB Leipzig D 2026-01-24 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 0–3 RB Leipzig W 2026-01-17 RB Leipzig 1–5 FC Bayern München L 2026-01-14 RB Leipzig 2–0 SC Freiburg W 2025-12-20 RB Leipzig 1–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L 2025-12-12 1. FC Union Berlin 3–1 RB Leipzig L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.1 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.26 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: FC St. Pauli 1910 or RB Leipzig 70% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC St. Pauli 191034% Draw30% RB Leipzig36%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
64%
Draw or RB Leipzig
66%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or RB Leipzig
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC St. Pauli 191022% Draw50% RB Leipzig28%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.7%
0 – 1
10.8%
1 – 0
9.2%
1 – 2
7.9%
0 – 2
7.3%
2 – 1
6.9%
2 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
4.5%
1 – 3
3.4%
0 – 3
3%
3 – 1
2.6%

Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910

Handicap FC St. Pauli 1910 covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 18% 69%
-0.5 31% — 69%
+0.5 62% — 38%
+1 62% 21% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
29% ✓
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.