1. FC Köln vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FC Köln vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga at RheinEnergieSTADION.
- 1. FC Köln 34 games · 32 pts (2026/27)
- RB Leipzig 34 games · 65 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Florian Badstubner
- Assistant 1 Markus Schuller
- Assistant 2 Thomas Stein
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Köln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar | RB Leipzig | H | 1–5 | L |
| 09 Mar | Borussia Mönchengladbach | A | 3–3 | D |
| 03 Mar | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Feb | VfB Stuttgart | A | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Feb | SV Werder Bremen | H | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Feb | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar | 1. FC Köln | A | 5–1 | W |
| 09 Mar | SV Darmstadt 98 | H | 2–0 | W |
| 06 Mar | Real Madrid CF | A | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Mar | VfL Bochum 1848 | A | 4–1 | W |
| 24 Feb | FC Bayern München | A | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Feb | Borussia Mönchengladbach | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| 1. FC Köln | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|
| #14 | Position | #3 |
| 32 | Points | 65 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 7 / 11 / 16 | W / D / L | 20 / 5 / 9 |
| 49 | Scored | 66 |
| 63 | Conceded | 47 |
| -14 | GD | +19 |
| 0.94 | PPG | 1.91 |
| 21% | Win % | 59% |
Key Stats
70%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
1. FC Köln are 14th (32 pts). RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. 1. FC Koln is hosting RB Leipzig for another epic battle.
- 5' Max Finkgrafe is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for RB Leipzig so far.
- 10' RB Leipzig come into this ranked 5 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 15' Against the run of play, Xavi Simons has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 18' Magnificent from Sargis Adamyan! That is 22 goals in 189 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 23' Both keepers have barely been tested. 1. FC Koln and RB Leipzig are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 28' Supporters expect more eagerness from Eric Martel, as he is very good at scoring at RheinEnergieSTADION with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 33' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 38' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 43' 1. FC Koln is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 48' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Leart Paqarada suffering a number of foals already.
- 49' That looks like a foul for a card for Max Finkgrafe.
- 54' The home supporters are growing impatient. 1. FC Koln must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 59' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with RB Leipzig winning 100% of all matches.
- 62' Xavi Simons was booked on 62.
- 63' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Lois Openda makes it 1-2.
- 66' That looks like a foul for a card for Faride Alidou.
- 67' What composure from Lois Openda! The Belgium international strokes it home. 1-3.
- 70' What a moment for Amadou Haidara! That strike on 70 puts his side firmly in control.
- 72' A moment of madness from Amadou Haidara on 72 minutes earns him a card. RB Leipzig will be frustrated.
- 73' A change in the 1. FC Koln ranks — Florian Kainz exits the field as Davie Selke enters on 73.
- 75' Christoph Baumgartner has so much to prove this time. He replaces Benjamin Sesko on 75 minute.
- 80' Jacob Christensen gets the nod from 1. FC Koln. He replaces Denis Huseinbasic and will look to change the dynamic.
- 82' A goal from the Denmark international Yussuf Poulsen! He fires home on 82 to make it 1-5!
- 83' Another change for RB Leipzig made on 83 minute. Amadou Haidara leaves to be changed by Kevin Kampl.
- 85' Another substitution for RB Leipzig to replace Castello Lukeba by El Chadaille Bitshiabu on 85 minute.
- 88' A tactical swap from 1. FC Koln — Benno Schmitz on, Max Finkgrafe off on 88 minutes.
- With this win, RB Leipzig is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
1. FC Köln Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 11
- 24
- 23
- 17
- 15
- 1
- 6
- 40
- 8
- 18
- 35
Bench
- 27
- 3
- 2
- 20
- 22
- 21
- 33
- 38
- 42
Coach
Timo Schultz
RB Leipzig Lineups
4-2-2-2Starting XI
-
17
Lois Openda ↓ Yussuf Poulsen 75'
- 39
- 1
- 4
- 22
- 7
-
8
Amadou Haidara ↓ Kevin Kampl 83'
- 24
- 20
- 23
- 30
Bench
- 6
- 21
-
14
Christoph Baumgartner ↑ 75'
-
9
Yussuf Poulsen ↑ 75'
-
44
Kevin Kampl ↑ 83'
- 3
-
2
Mohamed Simakan ↑ 83'
- 13
-
5
El Chadaille Bitshiabu ↑ 85'
Coach
Marco Rose
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Timo Werner | 5 |
| Lois Openda | 4 |
| Amadou Haidara | 3 |
| Emil Forsberg | 3 |
| Anthony Modeste | 3 |
| Christopher Nkunku | 3 |
| Dani Olmo | 3 |
| Jonas Hector | 2 |
Head to Head
1. FC Köln Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.13
1. FC Köln xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.68
RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: RB Leipzig win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.81
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 3.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 4.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
Double Chance
1. FC Köln or Draw
38%
Draw or RB Leipzig
82%
1. FC Köln or RB Leipzig
80%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 1–5 not predicted1 – 5Actual
1 – 2
8.8%
0 – 2
8.1%
1 – 3
7.7%
1 – 1
7.5%
0 – 3
7%
0 – 1
5.7%
1 – 4
5.2%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 4
4.6%
2 – 3
4.4%
2 – 1
3.7%
0 – 0
3.3%
Asian Handicap — 1. FC Köln
| Handicap | 1. FC Köln covers | Push | RB Leipzig covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 4% | 95% |
| -1.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -1 | 5% | 8% | 87% |
| -0.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| +0.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| +1 | 31% | 20% | 49% |
| +1.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +2 | 51% | 20% | 29% |
| +2.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
Clean Sheet
1. FC Köln keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

