Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Bochum 1848, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 16 Mar 2024 · 14:30 UTC MEWA Arena HT 45' · FT 45'
Jonathan Burkardt pen 45+3' 1–0
Jonathan Burkardt 71' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Bochum 1848Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Matthias Jollenbeck
  • Assistant 1 Sven Waschitzki
  • Assistant 2 Jonas Weickenmeier
20 games this season 🟨 1.0/game 5.6 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar VfL Bochum 1848 H 2–0 W
09 Mar FC Bayern München A 1–8 L
02 Mar Borussia Monchengladbach H 1–1 D
23 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–2 L
17 Feb FC Augsburg H 1–0 W
11 Feb VfB Stuttgart A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 0–2 L
10 Mar SC Freiburg H 1–2 L
02 Mar RB Leipzig H 1–4 L
24 Feb Borussia Monchengladbach A 2–5 L
18 Feb FC Bayern München H 3–2 W
10 Feb Eintracht Frankfurt A 1–1 D

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.79 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91 VfL Bochum 1848 xG
I would bet for: 1. FSV Mainz 05 to win 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0558% Draw24% VfL Bochum 184818%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.7
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
82%
Draw or VfL Bochum 1848
42%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or VfL Bochum 1848
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0540% Draw45% VfL Bochum 184815%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
1 – 0
11.2%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
8.6%
3 – 0
6.1%
3 – 1
5.7%
0 – 1
5.2%
1 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
4.3%
4 – 0
2.8%
0 – 2
2.7%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push VfL Bochum 1848 covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 18% 67%
-1.5 33% 67%
-1 33% 24% 43%
-0.5 57% 43%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 12% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
41%
VfL Bochum 1848 keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.