Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC Bayern München vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 9 Mar 2024 · 14:30 UTC Allianz Arena 75,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Harry Kane 13' 1–0
Leon Goretzka 19' 2–0
2–1 31' Nadiem Amiri
Harry Kane 45+7' 3–1
Thomas Muller 47' 4–1
Jamal Musiala 61' 5–1
Serge Gnabry 66' 6–1
Harry Kane 70' 7–1
Leon Goretzka 90+2' 8–1

Overview

Match Preview

FC Bayern München vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Allianz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Patrick Ittrich
  • Assistant 1 Sascha Thielert
  • Assistant 2 Thomas Gorniak

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 8–1 W
05 Mar SS Lazio H 3–0 W
01 Mar SC Freiburg A 2–2 D
24 Feb RB Leipzig H 2–1 W
18 Feb VfL Bochum 1848 A 2–3 L
14 Feb SS Lazio A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar FC Bayern München A 1–8 L
02 Mar Borussia Mönchengladbach H 1–1 D
23 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–2 L
17 Feb FC Augsburg H 1–0 W
11 Feb VfB Stuttgart A 1–3 L
07 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin H 1–1 D

Season Stats

FC Bayern München 1. FSV Mainz 05
#2 Position #6
10 Points 7
4 Played 4
3 / 1 / 0 W / D / L 2 / 1 / 1
14 Scored 10
2 Conceded 6
+12 GD +4
2.50 PPG 1.75
75% Win % 50%

Key Stats

78% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

FC Bayern München are 2nd (10 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern München
0-15
–/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Bayern München
Michael Olise 4 G 1 A
Harry Kane 3 G
Aleksandar Pavlovic 1 G 1 A
Dayot Upamecano 1 G
Luis Diaz 1 G
1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 4 G
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 3 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and FC Bayern Munchen launch into their encounter with 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 5' The referee has no hesitation. Konrad Laimer is booked for FC Bayern Munchen — card on 5.
  • 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Bo Henriksen will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 13' The deadlock is broken! Harry Kane gets on the scoresheet on 13 minutes.
  • 18' Raphael Guerreiro gets the nod from FC Bayern Munchen. He replaces Alphonso Davies and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 19' Leon Goretzka makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and FC Bayern Munchen are in front.
  • 24' Matthijs de Ligt has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 29' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 31' What composure from Nadiem Amiri! The Germany international strokes it home. 2-1.
  • 35' A change in the 1. FSV Mainz 05 ranks — Josuha Guilavogui exits the field as Edimilson Fernandes enters on 35.
  • 40' Danny da Costa is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for 1. FSV Mainz 05 so far.
  • 45' With 0 assists to his name this season, Brajan Gruda is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Bayern Munchen.
  • 47' Magnificent from Thomas Muller! That is 91 goals in 542 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 52' Harry Kane does the damage! The net is bulging and FC Bayern Munchen surge ahead!
  • 57' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Bayern Munchen must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 61' Jamal Musiala makes no mistake. The score reads 5-1 and FC Bayern Munchen are in front.
  • 62' Another substitution for FC Bayern Munchen to replace Leroy Sane by Serge Gnabry on 62 minute.
  • 65' A change in the 1. FSV Mainz 05 ranks — Jae-sung Lee exits the field as Marco Richter enters on 65.
  • 66' What a moment for Serge Gnabry! That strike on 66 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 70' Harry Kane makes a hat-trick on 70.
  • 75' Min-Jae Kim is replacing Eric Dier for the FC Bayern Munchen side.
  • 76' Another substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05 to replace Tom Krauss by Danny da Costa on 76 minute.
  • 81' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 84' The referee calls foul for Silvan Widmer. He receives a card.
  • 89' FC Bayern Munchen are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against 1. FSV Mainz 05's 3-4-2-1 shape.
  • 8-1 the final result. 1. FSV Mainz 05 will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
4.01 FC Bayern München xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.86 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 84% + FC Bayern München to win 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern München80% Draw12% 1. FSV Mainz 058%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 4.87
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 95%
5%
± 2.5 84%
16%
± 3.5 68%
32%
± 4.5 50%
50%

Double Chance

FC Bayern München or Draw
92%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
20%
FC Bayern München or 1. FSV Mainz 05
88%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern München71% Draw24% 1. FSV Mainz 055%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 8–1 not predicted
8 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
8.7%
4 – 0
8.5%
3 – 1
7.2%
4 – 1
7.1%
2 – 0
6.9%
5 – 0
6.7%
5 – 1
5.7%
2 – 1
5.6%
6 – 0
4.5%
6 – 1
3.9%
1 – 0
3.5%
1 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München

Handicap FC Bayern München covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 56% — 44%
-2 56% 18% 26%
-1.5 74% — 26%
-1 74% 13% 12%
-0.5 88% — 12%
+0.5 96% — 4%
+1 96% 3% 1%
+1.5 99% — 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
43% ✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
2% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.