FC Bayern München vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Bayern München vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Allianz Arena.
- FC Bayern München 9 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 9 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Patrick Ittrich
- Assistant 1 Sascha Thielert
- Assistant 2 Thomas Gorniak
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | SV Werder Bremen | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 8–1 | W |
| 05 Mar | SS Lazio | H | 3–0 | W |
| 01 Mar | SC Freiburg | A | 2–2 | D |
| 24 Feb | RB Leipzig | H | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Feb | VfL Bochum 1848 | A | 2–3 | L |
| 14 Feb | SS Lazio | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar | FC Bayern München | A | 1–8 | L |
| 02 Mar | Borussia Mönchengladbach | H | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Feb | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Feb | FC Augsburg | H | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Feb | VfB Stuttgart | A | 1–3 | L |
| 07 Feb | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| FC Bayern München | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #12 |
| 21 | Points | 10 |
| 9 | Played | 9 |
| 6 / 3 / 0 | W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 5 |
| 29 | Scored | 18 |
| 9 | Conceded | 19 |
| +20 | GD | -1 |
| 2.33 | PPG | 1.11 |
| 67% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
79%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
FC Bayern München this season
33%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
FC Bayern München are 1st (21 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (10 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Bayern München
0-15
2/1
16-30
5/–
31-45
5/–
46-60
6/2
61-75
5/2
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Bayern München
| Michael Olise | 6 G | 3 A |
| Harry Kane | 4 G | 7 A |
| Luis Diaz | 4 G | 1 A |
| Dayot Upamecano | 3 G | |
| Ismael Saibari | 2 G | 3 A |
1. FSV Mainz 05
| Phillip Tietz | 6 G | |
| Anthony Caci | 3 G | 3 A |
| Sheraldo Becker | 2 G | 4 A |
| Philipp Mwene | 1 G | 1 A |
| Ransford Konigsdorffer | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Allianz Arena will turn into a battlefield for FC Bayern München and 1. FSV Mainz 05.
- 5' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Konrad Laimer on 5 minutes.
- 10' It looks like no one’s ball. 1. FSV Mainz 05 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 13' Harry Kane doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 18' Raphael Guerreiro is ready to make an impact after coming on for Alphonso Davies at the 18 minute mark.
- 19' What a moment for Leon Goretzka! That strike on 19 puts his side firmly in control.
- 24' Anthony Caci has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 3 goals to his name this season.
- 29' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 31' Nadiem Amiri adds to his 2 season tally! 1. FSV Mainz 05 lead 0-3 — and this changes everything.
- 35' Josuha Guilavogui makes way for Edimilson Fernandes at the 35 minute mark. A tactical switch from 1. FSV Mainz 05.
- 40' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Bayern München and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 45' The energy levels are beginning to show. Bo Henriksen might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 47' Thomas Muller adds to his 9 season tally! FC Bayern Munchen lead 0-4 — and this changes everything.
- 52' The England Harry Kane breaks the deadlock on 45 minutes. 0-5!
- 57' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 61' What a strike from Jamal Musiala! The score is 0-6.
- 62' A change in the FC Bayern Munchen ranks — Leroy Sane exits the field as Serge Gnabry enters on 62.
- 65' Time for substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Jae-sung Lee is replaced by Marco Richter.
- 66' The Germany forward Serge Gnabry breaks the deadlock on 66 minutes. 0-7!
- 70' Magnificent from Harry Kane! That is 284 goals in 394 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 75' Another change for FC Bayern Munchen made on 75 minute. Eric Dier leaves to be changed by Min-Jae Kim.
- 76' A tactical swap from 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Danny da Costa on, Tom Krauss off on 76 minutes.
- 81' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Bayern München in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past 1. FSV Mainz 05's compact 3-4-2-1.
- 84' Silvan Widmer catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 84.
- 89' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Bayern München side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 8-1.
Lineups
FC Bayern München Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 10
- 15
- 9
- 4
- 1
- 6
- 25
- 8
- 27
- 19
- 42
Bench
- 13
- 7
- 26
- 22
- 2
- 23
- 39
- 3
- 17
Coach
Thomas Tuchel
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 3
- 19
- 23
- 2
- 27
- 29
- 18
- 30
-
14
Tom Krauss ↓ Danny da Costa 76'
- 43
-
7
Jae-sung Lee ↓ Marco Richter 65'
Bench
-
17
Ludovic Ajorque ↑ 65'
-
10
Marco Richter ↑ 65'
- 9
-
21
Danny da Costa ↑ 76'
-
20
Edimilson Fernandes ↑ 35'
- 33
-
25
Andreas Hanche-Olsen ↑ 76'
- 24
Coach
Bo Henriksen
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jamal Musiala | 9 |
| Robert Lewandowski | 7 |
| Harry Kane | 5 |
| Leon Goretzka | 5 |
| Leroy Sane | 5 |
| Kingsley Coman | 5 |
| Maxim Choupo-Moting | 3 |
| James Rodriguez | 3 |
Head to Head
FC Bayern München Form
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
2024-03-09
FC Bayern München
8–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
2024-03-02
1. FSV Mainz 05
1–1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
D
2024-02-23
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
2024-02-17
1. FSV Mainz 05
1–0
FC Augsburg
W
2024-02-11
VfB Stuttgart
3–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
2024-02-07
1. FSV Mainz 05
1–1
1. FC Union Berlin
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
4.67
FC Bayern München xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 90% + FC Bayern München to win 81%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 5.77
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 2.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 3.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 4.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
Double Chance
FC Bayern München or Draw
92%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
19%
FC Bayern München or 1. FSV Mainz 05
89%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 8–1 not predicted8 – 1Actual
4 – 1
7.3%
4 – 0
6.8%
5 – 1
6.7%
3 – 1
6.4%
5 – 0
6.3%
3 – 0
6.1%
6 – 1
5.2%
6 – 0
4.8%
2 – 1
4.4%
2 – 0
4.2%
4 – 2
4%
5 – 2
3.7%
Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München
| Handicap | FC Bayern München covers | Push | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| -2 | 61% | 16% | 23% |
| -1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| -1 | 77% | 12% | 11% |
| -0.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +0.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +1 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +1.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
| +2 | 99% | 1% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
1%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

