FC Bayern München vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Bayern München vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Allianz Arena.
- FC Bayern München 4 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 4 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Patrick Ittrich
- Assistant 1 Sascha Thielert
- Assistant 2 Thomas Gorniak
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | FC Augsburg | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | SV Werder Bremen | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 8–1 | W |
| 05 Mar | SS Lazio | H | 3–0 | W |
| 01 Mar | SC Freiburg | A | 2–2 | D |
| 24 Feb | RB Leipzig | H | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Feb | VfL Bochum 1848 | A | 2–3 | L |
| 14 Feb | SS Lazio | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar | FC Bayern München | A | 1–8 | L |
| 02 Mar | Borussia Mönchengladbach | H | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Feb | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Feb | FC Augsburg | H | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Feb | VfB Stuttgart | A | 1–3 | L |
| 07 Feb | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| FC Bayern München | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #6 |
| 10 | Points | 7 |
| 4 | Played | 4 |
| 3 / 1 / 0 | W / D / L | 2 / 1 / 1 |
| 14 | Scored | 10 |
| 2 | Conceded | 6 |
| +12 | GD | +4 |
| 2.50 | PPG | 1.75 |
| 75% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
78%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
FC Bayern München this season
50%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
FC Bayern München are 2nd (10 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Bayern München
0-15
–/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Bayern München
| Michael Olise | 4 G | 1 A |
| Harry Kane | 3 G | |
| Aleksandar Pavlovic | 1 G | 1 A |
| Dayot Upamecano | 1 G | |
| Luis Diaz | 1 G |
1. FSV Mainz 05
| Phillip Tietz | 4 G | |
| Sheraldo Becker | 2 G | 3 A |
| Philipp Mwene | 1 G | 1 A |
| Ransford Konigsdorffer | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and FC Bayern Munchen launch into their encounter with 1. FSV Mainz 05.
- 5' The referee has no hesitation. Konrad Laimer is booked for FC Bayern Munchen — card on 5.
- 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Bo Henriksen will be considering his options from the bench.
- 13' The deadlock is broken! Harry Kane gets on the scoresheet on 13 minutes.
- 18' Raphael Guerreiro gets the nod from FC Bayern Munchen. He replaces Alphonso Davies and will look to change the dynamic.
- 19' Leon Goretzka makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and FC Bayern Munchen are in front.
- 24' Matthijs de Ligt has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 29' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 31' What composure from Nadiem Amiri! The Germany international strokes it home. 2-1.
- 35' A change in the 1. FSV Mainz 05 ranks — Josuha Guilavogui exits the field as Edimilson Fernandes enters on 35.
- 40' Danny da Costa is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for 1. FSV Mainz 05 so far.
- 45' With 0 assists to his name this season, Brajan Gruda is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Bayern Munchen.
- 47' Magnificent from Thomas Muller! That is 91 goals in 542 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 52' Harry Kane does the damage! The net is bulging and FC Bayern Munchen surge ahead!
- 57' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Bayern Munchen must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 61' Jamal Musiala makes no mistake. The score reads 5-1 and FC Bayern Munchen are in front.
- 62' Another substitution for FC Bayern Munchen to replace Leroy Sane by Serge Gnabry on 62 minute.
- 65' A change in the 1. FSV Mainz 05 ranks — Jae-sung Lee exits the field as Marco Richter enters on 65.
- 66' What a moment for Serge Gnabry! That strike on 66 puts his side firmly in control.
- 70' Harry Kane makes a hat-trick on 70.
- 75' Min-Jae Kim is replacing Eric Dier for the FC Bayern Munchen side.
- 76' Another substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05 to replace Tom Krauss by Danny da Costa on 76 minute.
- 81' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 84' The referee calls foul for Silvan Widmer. He receives a card.
- 89' FC Bayern Munchen are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against 1. FSV Mainz 05's 3-4-2-1 shape.
- 8-1 the final result. 1. FSV Mainz 05 will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
FC Bayern München Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 10
- 15
- 9
- 4
- 1
- 6
- 25
- 8
- 27
- 19
- 42
Bench
- 13
- 7
- 26
- 22
- 2
- 23
- 39
- 3
- 17
Coach
Thomas Tuchel
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 3
- 19
- 23
- 2
- 27
- 29
- 18
- 30
-
14
Tom Krauss ↓ Danny da Costa 76'
- 43
-
7
Jae-sung Lee ↓ Marco Richter 65'
Bench
-
17
Ludovic Ajorque ↑ 65'
-
10
Marco Richter ↑ 65'
- 9
-
21
Danny da Costa ↑ 76'
-
20
Edimilson Fernandes ↑ 35'
- 33
-
25
Andreas Hanche-Olsen ↑ 76'
- 24
Coach
Bo Henriksen
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jamal Musiala | 9 |
| Robert Lewandowski | 7 |
| Leon Goretzka | 5 |
| Leroy Sane | 5 |
| Kingsley Coman | 5 |
| Harry Kane | 5 |
| Maxim Choupo-Moting | 3 |
| James Rodriguez | 3 |
Head to Head
FC Bayern München Form
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
2024-03-09
FC Bayern München
8–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
2024-03-02
1. FSV Mainz 05
1–1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
D
2024-02-23
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
2024-02-17
1. FSV Mainz 05
1–0
FC Augsburg
W
2024-02-11
VfB Stuttgart
3–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
2024-02-07
1. FSV Mainz 05
1–1
1. FC Union Berlin
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
4.01
FC Bayern München xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.86
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 84% + FC Bayern München to win 80%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.87
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 2.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 3.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 4.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
Double Chance
FC Bayern München or Draw
92%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
20%
FC Bayern München or 1. FSV Mainz 05
88%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 8–1 not predicted8 – 1Actual
3 – 0
8.7%
4 – 0
8.5%
3 – 1
7.2%
4 – 1
7.1%
2 – 0
6.9%
5 – 0
6.7%
5 – 1
5.7%
2 – 1
5.6%
6 – 0
4.5%
6 – 1
3.9%
1 – 0
3.5%
1 – 1
3.3%
Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München
| Handicap | FC Bayern München covers | Push | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| -2 | 56% | 18% | 26% |
| -1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| -1 | 74% | 13% | 12% |
| -0.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +0.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +1 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +1.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
| +2 | 99% | 1% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
43%
✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
2%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

