FC Bayern München vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2023-24

FC Bayern München

8 – 1

Full Time

1. FSV Mainz 05

Sat 9 Mar 2024 · 14:30 UTC Allianz Arena 75,000 HT 45' · FT 45'

Harry Kane 13' 1–0

Leon Goretzka 19' 2–0

2–1 31' Nadiem Amiri

Harry Kane 45+7' 3–1

Thomas Muller 47' 4–1

Jamal Musiala 61' 5–1

Serge Gnabry 66' 6–1

Harry Kane 70' 7–1

Leon Goretzka 90+2' 8–1

Konrad Laimer 5' Y

Y 84' Silvan Widmer

Overview

Match Preview

FC Bayern München vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Allianz Arena.

FC Bayern München 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
1. FSV Mainz 05 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Patrick Ittrich
Assistant 1 Sascha Thielert
Assistant 2 Thomas Gorniak

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
2	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
3	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26
4	FC Schalke 04	0	0
5	SC Paderborn 07	0	0
6	SV 07 Elversberg	0	0
7	FC Bayern München	0	0
8	Borussia Dortmund	0	0
9	RB Leipzig	0	0
10	VfB Stuttgart	0	0
11	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	0	0
12	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	0	0
13	SC Freiburg	0	0
14	Eintracht Frankfurt	0	0
15	FC Augsburg	0	0
16	1. FSV Mainz 05	0	0
17	1. FC Union Berlin	0	0
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0	0
19	Hamburger SV	0	0
20	1. FC Köln	0	0
21	SV Werder Bremen	0	0

Head-to-Head

FC Bayern München 18 games · Avg 4.8 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 meetings

2024-03-09 FC Bayern München 8–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2023-10-21 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–3 FC Bayern München 2023-04-22 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–1 FC Bayern München 2023-02-01 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–4 FC Bayern München 2022-10-29 FC Bayern München 6–2 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

FC Bayern München

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 Mar	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	8–1	W
05 Mar	SS Lazio	H	3–0	W
01 Mar	SC Freiburg	A	2–2	D
24 Feb	RB Leipzig	H	2–1	W
18 Feb	VfL Bochum 1848	A	2–3	L
14 Feb	SS Lazio	A	0–1	L

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 Mar	FC Bayern München	A	1–8	L
02 Mar	Borussia Mönchengladbach	H	1–1	D
23 Feb	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	A	1–2	L
17 Feb	FC Augsburg	H	1–0	W
11 Feb	VfB Stuttgart	A	1–3	L
07 Feb	1. FC Union Berlin	H	1–1	D

Season Stats

FC Bayern München		1. FSV Mainz 05
#7	Position	#16
0	Points	0
0	Played	0
0 / 0 / 0	W / D / L	0 / 0 / 0
0	Scored	0
0	Conceded	0
+0	GD	+0
–	PPG	–
–	Win %	–

Key Stats

78% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FC Bayern München are 7th (0 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' Temperatures are rising at Allianz Arena as FC Bayern Munchen face off against 1. FSV Mainz 05 in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
5' Konrad Laimer was booked on 5.
10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC Bayern Munchen and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
13' The England Harry Kane breaks the deadlock on 13 minutes. 1-0!
18' The whistle greets Alphonso Davies as he departs to be replaced by Raphael Guerreiro.
19' Leon Goretzka has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 19 minutes.
24' Silvan Widmer needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 17 Yellow cards this season.
29' It looks surprising FC Bayern Munchen does not make any changes. Sepp van den Berg has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
31' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Nadiem Amiri makes it 2-1.
35' Edimilson Fernandes is ready to make an impact after coming on for Josuha Guilavogui at the 35 minute mark.
40' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Bayern Munchen in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past 1. FSV Mainz 05's compact 3-4-2-1.
45' Jonathan Burkardt is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Bayern Munchen tonight.
47' A stunning finish from Thomas Muller — that came from absolutely nowhere!
52' Against the run of play, Harry Kane has scored! This game has turned on its head.
57' FC Bayern Munchen are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
61' What a moment for Jamal Musiala! That strike on 61 puts his side firmly in control.
62' It is a substitution in FC Bayern Munchen team. Leroy Sane is replaced by Serge Gnabry on 62 minute.
65' Marco Richter gets the nod from 1. FSV Mainz 05. He replaces Jae-sung Lee and will look to change the dynamic.
66' What a moment for Serge Gnabry! That strike on 66 puts his side firmly in control.
70' Magnificent from Harry Kane! That is 274 goals in 385 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
75' The FC Bayern Munchen bench stirs into life. Eric Dier is withdrawn and Min-Jae Kim gets his opportunity.
76' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Danny da Costa comes on to replace Tom Krauss.
81' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
84' 1. FSV Mainz 05 player sees a card in front of him.
89' Danny da Costa is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for 1. FSV Mainz 05 so far.
The final score is 8-1.

Lineups

FC Bayern München Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Thomas Tuchel

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

3
Sepp van den Berg
19
Anthony Caci
23
Josuha Guilavogui ↓ Edimilson Fernandes 35'
2
Philipp Mwene
27
Robin Zentner
29
Jonathan Burkardt ↓ Ludovic Ajorque 65'
18
Nadiem Amiri
30
Silvan Widmer
14
Tom Krauss ↓ Danny da Costa 76'
43
Brajan Gruda ↓ Andreas Hanche-Olsen 76'
7
Jae-sung Lee ↓ Marco Richter 65'

Bench

Coach Bo Henriksen

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jamal Musiala	9
Robert Lewandowski	7
Harry Kane	5
Leon Goretzka	5
Leroy Sane	5
Kingsley Coman	5
James Rodriguez	3
Leandro Barreiro Martins	3

Head to Head

FC Bayern München Form

2024-03-09 FC Bayern München 8–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2024-03-05 FC Bayern München 3–0 SS Lazio W 2024-03-01 SC Freiburg 2–2 FC Bayern München D 2024-02-24 FC Bayern München 2–1 RB Leipzig W 2024-02-18 VfL Bochum 1848 3–2 FC Bayern München L 2024-02-14 SS Lazio 1–0 FC Bayern München L

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2024-03-09 FC Bayern München 8–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2024-03-02 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach D 2024-02-23 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2024-02-17 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–0 FC Augsburg W 2024-02-11 VfB Stuttgart 3–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2024-02-07 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 1. FC Union Berlin D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.42 FC Bayern München xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.54 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

I would bet for: FC Bayern München to win 73% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Bayern München73% Draw18% 1. FSV Mainz 059%

Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes39% 0% No61%

Avg goals/match: 2.96

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	79%	21%
± 2.5	56%	44%
± 3.5	34%	66%
± 4.5	18%	82%

Double Chance

FC Bayern München or Draw

91%

Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05

27%

FC Bayern München or 1. FSV Mainz 05

82%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FC Bayern München56% Draw38% 1. FSV Mainz 056%

Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 8–1 not predicted

8 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

15%

1 – 0

12.4%

3 – 0

11.7%

2 – 1

7.9%

1 – 1

7.3%

4 – 0

0 – 0

6.6%

3 – 1

6.5%

4 – 1

5 – 0

3.5%

0 – 1

2.3%

2 – 2

2.2%

Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München

Handicap	FC Bayern München covers	Push	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5	33%	—	67%
-2	33%	23%	45%
-1.5	55%	—	45%
-1	55%	22%	22%
-0.5	78%	—	22%
+0.5	94%	—	6%
+1	94%	4%	1%
+1.5	99%	—	1%
+2	99%	1%	0%
+2.5	100%	—	0%

Clean Sheet

FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet

58% ✗

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.