FC Bayern München vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Bayern München vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Allianz Arena.
- FC Bayern München 34 games · 89 pts (2025/26)
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Patrick Ittrich
- Assistant 1 Sascha Thielert
- Assistant 2 Thomas Gorniak
16 games this season
🟨 0.8/game
⚽ 5.2 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 8–1 | W |
| 05 Mar | SS Lazio | H | 3–0 | W |
| 01 Mar | SC Freiburg | A | 2–2 | D |
| 24 Feb | RB Leipzig | H | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Feb | VfL Bochum 1848 | A | 2–3 | L |
| 14 Feb | SS Lazio | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar | FC Bayern München | A | 1–8 | L |
| 02 Mar | Borussia Monchengladbach | H | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Feb | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Feb | FC Augsburg | H | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Feb | VfB Stuttgart | A | 1–3 | L |
| 07 Feb | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| FC Bayern München | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #10 |
| 89 | Points | 40 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 28 / 5 / 1 | W / D / L | 10 / 10 / 14 |
| 122 | Scored | 44 |
| 36 | Conceded | 53 |
| +86 | GD | -9 |
| 2.62 | PPG | 1.18 |
| 82% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
78%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
35%
Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
FC Bayern München this season
12%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Bayern München
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/1
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against FC Bayern München and 1. FSV Mainz 05 has kicked off!
- 5' That is a card for FC Bayern Munchen. Konrad Laimer will be fuming at that decision.
- 10' Alphonso Davies has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 13' Harry Kane does the damage! The net is bulging and FC Bayern Munchen surge ahead!
- 18' FC Bayern Munchen make a change. Alphonso Davies trudges off to be replaced by Raphael Guerreiro on 18 minutes.
- 19' Magnificent from Leon Goretzka! That is 51 goals in 540 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 24' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 29' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 31' Goal! Nadiem Amiri scores his 27 goal in 407 matches.
- 35' Edimilson Fernandes is replacing Josuha Guilavogui for the 1. FSV Mainz 05 side.
- 40' FC Bayern München started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 40.
- 45' FC Bayern München are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 47' A stunning finish from Thomas Muller — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 52' GOAL! Harry Kane scores on 45. Assisted by Leon Goretzka
- 57' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Bayern München and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 61' Assisted by Harry Kane with the perfectly-timed delivery and Jamal Musiala makes no mistake. 0-6!
- 62' FC Bayern Munchen ring the changes. Leroy Sane has done his job and it is now time for Serge Gnabry to step up.
- 65' Jae-sung Lee makes way for Marco Richter at the 65 minute mark. A tactical switch from 1. FSV Mainz 05.
- 66' Brilliant from the right winger! Serge Gnabry makes it 0-7 with a superb finish on 66.
- 70' Harry Kane makes a hat-trick on 70.
- 75' The FC Bayern Munchen bench stirs into life. Eric Dier is withdrawn and Min-Jae Kim gets his opportunity.
- 76' Danny da Costa is ready to make an impact after coming on for Tom Krauss at the 76 minute mark.
- 81' The 35-year-old Josuha Guilavogui has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 84' Controversy at the stadium! Silvan Widmer argues furiously but the card stands.
- 89' A quiet spell here at Allianz Arena. 1. FSV Mainz 05 seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for FC Bayern München players.
Lineups
FC Bayern München Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 10
- 15
- 9
- 4
- 1
- 6
- 25
- 8
- 27
- 19
- 42
Bench
- 13
- 7
- 26
- 22
- 2
- 23
- 39
- 3
- 17
Coach
Thomas Tuchel
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 3
- 19
- 23
- 2
- 27
- 29
- 18
- 30
-
14
Tom Krauss ↓ Danny da Costa 76'
- 43
-
7
Jae-sung Lee ↓ Marco Richter 65'
Bench
-
17
Ludovic Ajorque ↑ 65'
-
10
Marco Richter ↑ 65'
- 9
-
21
Danny da Costa ↑ 76'
-
20
Edimilson Fernandes ↑ 35'
- 33
-
25
Andreas Hanche-Olsen ↑ 76'
- 24
Coach
Bo Henriksen
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jamal Musiala | 9 |
| Robert Lewandowski | 7 |
| Harry Kane | 5 |
| Leon Goretzka | 5 |
| Leroy Sane | 5 |
| Kingsley Coman | 5 |
| Maxim Choupo-Moting | 3 |
| James Rodriguez | 3 |
Head to Head
FC Bayern München Form
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
2024-03-09
FC Bayern München
8–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
2024-03-02
1. FSV Mainz 05
1–1
Borussia Monchengladbach
D
2024-02-23
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
2024-02-17
1. FSV Mainz 05
1–0
FC Augsburg
W
2024-02-11
VfB Stuttgart
3–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
2024-02-07
1. FSV Mainz 05
1–1
1. FC Union Berlin
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
4.41
FC Bayern München xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 88% + FC Bayern München to win 81%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 5.36
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 2.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 3.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 4.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
Double Chance
FC Bayern München or Draw
92%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
19%
FC Bayern München or 1. FSV Mainz 05
89%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 8–1 not predicted8 – 1Actual
4 – 0
7.9%
3 – 0
7.4%
4 – 1
7.3%
5 – 0
6.8%
3 – 1
6.8%
5 – 1
6.4%
2 – 0
5.4%
6 – 0
5%
2 – 1
4.9%
6 – 1
4.8%
4 – 2
3.5%
7 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München
| Handicap | FC Bayern München covers | Push | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| -2 | 60% | 17% | 23% |
| -1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| -1 | 77% | 12% | 11% |
| -0.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +0.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +1 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +1.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
| +2 | 99% | 1% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
2%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

