Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Bayern München vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 9 Mar 2024 · 14:30 UTC Allianz Arena 75,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Harry Kane 13' 1–0
Leon Goretzka 19' 2–0
2–1 31' Nadiem Amiri
Harry Kane 45+7' 3–1
Thomas Muller 47' 4–1
Jamal Musiala 61' 5–1
Serge Gnabry 66' 6–1
Harry Kane 70' 7–1
Leon Goretzka 90+2' 8–1

Overview

Match Preview

FC Bayern München vs 1. FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga at Allianz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Patrick Ittrich
  • Assistant 1 Sascha Thielert
  • Assistant 2 Thomas Gorniak
16 games this season 🟨 0.8/game 5.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 8–1 W
05 Mar SS Lazio H 3–0 W
01 Mar SC Freiburg A 2–2 D
24 Feb RB Leipzig H 2–1 W
18 Feb VfL Bochum 1848 A 2–3 L
14 Feb SS Lazio A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar FC Bayern München A 1–8 L
02 Mar Borussia Monchengladbach H 1–1 D
23 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–2 L
17 Feb FC Augsburg H 1–0 W
11 Feb VfB Stuttgart A 1–3 L
07 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin H 1–1 D

Season Stats

FC Bayern München 1. FSV Mainz 05
#1 Position #10
89 Points 40
34 Played 34
28 / 5 / 1 W / D / L 10 / 10 / 14
122 Scored 44
36 Conceded 53
+86 GD -9
2.62 PPG 1.18
82% Win % 29%

Key Stats

78% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
35% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern München
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/1
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against FC Bayern München and 1. FSV Mainz 05 has kicked off!
  • 5' That is a card for FC Bayern Munchen. Konrad Laimer will be fuming at that decision.
  • 10' Alphonso Davies has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 13' Harry Kane does the damage! The net is bulging and FC Bayern Munchen surge ahead!
  • 18' FC Bayern Munchen make a change. Alphonso Davies trudges off to be replaced by Raphael Guerreiro on 18 minutes.
  • 19' Magnificent from Leon Goretzka! That is 51 goals in 540 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 24' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 29' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 31' Goal! Nadiem Amiri scores his 27 goal in 407 matches.
  • 35' Edimilson Fernandes is replacing Josuha Guilavogui for the 1. FSV Mainz 05 side.
  • 40' FC Bayern München started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 40.
  • 45' FC Bayern München are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 47' A stunning finish from Thomas Muller — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 52' GOAL! Harry Kane scores on 45. Assisted by Leon Goretzka
  • 57' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Bayern München and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 61' Assisted by Harry Kane with the perfectly-timed delivery and Jamal Musiala makes no mistake. 0-6!
  • 62' FC Bayern Munchen ring the changes. Leroy Sane has done his job and it is now time for Serge Gnabry to step up.
  • 65' Jae-sung Lee makes way for Marco Richter at the 65 minute mark. A tactical switch from 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 66' Brilliant from the right winger! Serge Gnabry makes it 0-7 with a superb finish on 66.
  • 70' Harry Kane makes a hat-trick on 70.
  • 75' The FC Bayern Munchen bench stirs into life. Eric Dier is withdrawn and Min-Jae Kim gets his opportunity.
  • 76' Danny da Costa is ready to make an impact after coming on for Tom Krauss at the 76 minute mark.
  • 81' The 35-year-old Josuha Guilavogui has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 84' Controversy at the stadium! Silvan Widmer argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 89' A quiet spell here at Allianz Arena. 1. FSV Mainz 05 seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for FC Bayern München players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
4.41 FC Bayern München xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 88% + FC Bayern München to win 81%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern München81% Draw11% 1. FSV Mainz 058%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 5.36
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 96%
4%
± 2.5 88%
12%
± 3.5 74%
26%
± 4.5 57%
43%

Double Chance

FC Bayern München or Draw
92%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
19%
FC Bayern München or 1. FSV Mainz 05
89%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern München73% Draw21% 1. FSV Mainz 056%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 8–1 not predicted
8 – 1
Actual
4 – 0
7.9%
3 – 0
7.4%
4 – 1
7.3%
5 – 0
6.8%
3 – 1
6.8%
5 – 1
6.4%
2 – 0
5.4%
6 – 0
5%
2 – 1
4.9%
6 – 1
4.8%
4 – 2
3.5%
7 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München

Handicap FC Bayern München covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 60% 40%
-2 60% 17% 23%
-1.5 77% 23%
-1 77% 12% 11%
-0.5 89% 11%
+0.5 96% 4%
+1 96% 3% 1%
+1.5 99% 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
39%
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
2%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.