Thursday , 2 July 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sun 15 Mar 2026 · 18:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs RB LeipzigBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Deniz Aytekin
16 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 5.3 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar RB Leipzig H 1–0 W
12 Mar FC Porto H 1–2 L
07 Mar 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 2–2 D
01 Mar VfL Wolfsburg H 4–0 W
26 Feb Celtic FC H 0–1 L
22 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar VfB Stuttgart A 0–1 L
07 Mar FC Augsburg H 2–1 W
01 Mar Hamburger SV A 2–1 W
21 Feb Borussia Dortmund H 2–2 D
15 Feb VfL Wolfsburg H 2–2 D
11 Feb FC Bayern München A 0–2 L

Season Stats

VfB Stuttgart RB Leipzig
#4 Position #3
62 Points 65
34 Played 34
18 / 8 / 8 W / D / L 20 / 5 / 9
71 Scored 66
49 Conceded 47
+22 GD +19
1.82 PPG 1.91
53% Win % 59%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
32% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

VfB Stuttgart are 4th (62 pts). RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfB Stuttgart
0-15
2/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
1/
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

VfB Stuttgart Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.85 VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart51% Draw24% RB Leipzig25%
Actual: VfB Stuttgart win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.19
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw
75%
Draw or RB Leipzig
49%
VfB Stuttgart or RB Leipzig
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart36% Draw42% RB Leipzig22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
7%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
6.6%
2 – 2
6.1%
0 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
5.6%
0 – 1
4.7%
3 – 0
4.3%
3 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.7%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap VfB Stuttgart covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 21% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 15% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
27%
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.