Thursday , 2 July 2026

RB Leipzig vs 1. FC Union Berlin, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 14 Sep 2024 · 13:30 UTC Red Bull Arena 47,800 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs 1. FC Union BerlinBundesliga at Red Bull Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Sven Jablonski
  • Assistant 1 Sascha Thielert
  • Assistant 2 Eduard Beitinger
25 games this season 🟨 0.6/game 4.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep 1. FC Union Berlin H 0–0 D
31 Aug Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 3–2 W
24 Aug VfL Bochum 1848 H 1–0 W
17 Aug Rot-Weiss Essen A 4–1 W
18 May Eintracht Frankfurt A 2–2 D
11 May SV Werder Bremen H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep RB Leipzig A 0–0 D
30 Aug FC St. Pauli 1910 H 1–0 W
24 Aug 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
17 Aug Greifswalder FC A 1–0 W
18 May SC Freiburg H 2–1 W
11 May 1. FC Koln A 2–3 L

Season Stats

RB Leipzig 1. FC Union Berlin
#3 Position #11
65 Points 39
34 Played 34
20 / 5 / 9 W / D / L 10 / 9 / 15
66 Scored 44
47 Conceded 58
+19 GD -14
1.91 PPG 1.15
59% Win % 29%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
21% Clean Sheets
1. FC Union Berlin this season

RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts). 1. FC Union Berlin are 11th (39 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
1/
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FC Union Berlin
0-15
1/2
16-30
/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. RB Leipzig kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Rani Khedira, a Tunisia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Xavi Simons made 520 appearances and scored 45 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 25' It is a cagey affair so far. RB Leipzig in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past 1. FC Union Berlin's compact 3-4-2-1.
  • 26' The referee shows 1. FC Union Berlin player a card on 26.
  • 31' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 36' The 29-year-old Tim Skarke has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 41' 1. FC Union Berlin has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 46' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. RB Leipzig needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 51' Lukas Klostermann has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 53' Amadou Haidara is having his name booked by the referee on 53.
  • 56' Jordan Siebatcheu is replacing Tim Skarke for the 1. FC Union Berlin side.
  • 61' Rani Khedira catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 61.
  • 66' Arthur Vermeeren is ready to make an impact after coming on for Amadou Haidara at the 66 minute mark.
  • 69' Jeong Wooyeong is ready to make an impact after coming on for Benedict Hollerbach at the 69 minute mark.
  • 74' Poor challenge from Kevin Kampl. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 79' RB Leipzig ring the changes. Benjamin Henrichs has done his job and it is now time for Christoph Baumgartner to step up.
  • 81' 1. FC Union Berlin manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Aljoscha Kemlein is hanging Andras Schafer on the field on 81 minute.
  • 85' Danilho Doekhi is having his name booked by the referee on 85.
  • 88' The RB Leipzig bench stirs into life. Lutsharel Geertruida is withdrawn and El Chadaille Bitshiabu gets his opportunity.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — RB Leipzig 0-0 1. FC Union Berlin.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.67 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.86 1. FC Union Berlin xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig53% Draw27% 1. FC Union Berlin20%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.53
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
79%
Draw or 1. FC Union Berlin
47%
RB Leipzig or 1. FC Union Berlin
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig38% Draw47% 1. FC Union Berlin15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
12.5%
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 0
10.9%
0 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9.2%
3 – 0
5.9%
0 – 1
5.9%
3 – 1
5.2%
1 – 2
4.7%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2.5%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push 1. FC Union Berlin covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 17% 69%
-1.5 31% 69%
-1 31% 24% 45%
-0.5 55% 45%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 12% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
43%
1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.