Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Fri 12 Dec 2025 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FC Union Berlin vs RB LeipzigBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Schlager
20 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 8.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Dec RB Leipzig H 3–1 W
06 Dec VfL Wolfsburg A 1–3 L
03 Dec FC Bayern München H 2–3 L
29 Nov 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 1–2 L
23 Nov FC St. Pauli 1910 A 1–0 W
08 Nov FC Bayern München H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Dec 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–3 L
06 Dec Eintracht Frankfurt H 6–0 W
02 Dec 1. FC Magdeburg H 3–1 W
28 Nov Borussia Monchengladbach A 0–0 D
23 Nov SV Werder Bremen H 2–0 W
08 Nov TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–3 L

Season Stats

1. FC Union Berlin RB Leipzig
#11 Position #3
39 Points 65
34 Played 34
10 / 9 / 15 W / D / L 20 / 5 / 9
44 Scored 66
58 Conceded 47
-14 GD +19
1.15 PPG 1.91
29% Win % 59%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
1. FC Union Berlin this season
32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

1. FC Union Berlin are 11th (39 pts). RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FC Union Berlin
0-15
1/2
16-30
/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
1/
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

1. FC Union Berlin Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.43 1. FC Union Berlin xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.64 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: 1. FC Union Berlin or RB Leipzig 74% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FC Union Berlin36% Draw26% RB Leipzig38%
Actual: 1. FC Union Berlin win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.07
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

1. FC Union Berlin or Draw
63%
Draw or RB Leipzig
64%
1. FC Union Berlin or RB Leipzig
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
1. FC Union Berlin25% Draw44% RB Leipzig31%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
1 – 2
8.6%
2 – 1
7.5%
0 – 1
6.8%
0 – 0
6.3%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
6.1%
1 – 0
5.8%
2 – 0
4.7%
1 – 3
4.7%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin

Handicap 1. FC Union Berlin covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 17% 68%
-0.5 32% 68%
+0.5 59% 41%
+1 59% 20% 22%
+1.5 78% 22%
+2 78% 13% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
20%
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.