RB Leipzig vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2025-26

RB Leipzig

5 – 0

Full Time

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Fri 20 Mar 2026 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Bundesliga .

RB Leipzig 9 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 9 games · 12 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Sven Jablonski

9 games this season 🟨 2.6/game ⚽ 11.1 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	9	21
2	Borussia Dortmund	9	21
3	SC Freiburg	9	19
4	RB Leipzig	9	18
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	9	16
6	SV Werder Bremen	9	15
7	SV 07 Elversberg	9	13
8	VfB Stuttgart	9	12
9	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	9	12
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	9	12
11	Hamburger SV	9	12
12	1. FSV Mainz 05	9	10
13	SC Paderborn 07	9	10
14	FC Augsburg	9	9
15	1. FC Köln	9	9
16	1. FC Union Berlin	9	7
17	FC Schalke 04	9	6
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	9	4

Head-to-Head

RB Leipzig 18 games · Avg 3.0 goals TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-20 RB Leipzig 5–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2025-11-08 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3–1 RB Leipzig 2025-04-05 RB Leipzig 3–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2024-11-23 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4–3 RB Leipzig 2024-05-03 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–1 RB Leipzig

Recent Form

RB Leipzig

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Mar	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	H	5–0	W
15 Mar	VfB Stuttgart	A	0–1	L
07 Mar	FC Augsburg	H	2–1	W
01 Mar	Hamburger SV	A	2–1	W
21 Feb	Borussia Dortmund	H	2–2	D
15 Feb	VfL Wolfsburg	H	2–2	D

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Mar	RB Leipzig	A	0–5	L
14 Mar	VfL Wolfsburg	H	1–1	D
07 Mar	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	A	4–2	W
28 Feb	FC St. Pauli 1910	H	0–1	L
21 Feb	1. FC Köln	A	2–2	D
14 Feb	SC Freiburg	H	3–0	W

Season Stats

RB Leipzig		TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
#4	Position	#9
18	Points	12
9	Played	9
6 / 0 / 3	W / D / L	4 / 0 / 5
27	Scored	16
13	Conceded	17
+14	GD	-1
2.00	PPG	1.33
67%	Win %	44%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

56% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

11% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

RB Leipzig are 4th (18 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 9th (12 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig

0-15

2/3

16-30

3/1

31-45

6/2

46-60

4/3

61-75

5/2

76+

7/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

0-15

3/1

16-30

2/1

31-45

1/1

46-60

4/4

61-75

2/4

76+

3/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

RB Leipzig

Christopher Nkunku	5 G	2 A
Romulo Cruz	5 G
Antonio Nusa	4 G	7 A
Tidiam Gomis	3 G	2 A
Ridle Baku	2 G

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Adam Daghim	2 G	2 A
Bambase Conte	2 G	2 A
Adam Hlozek	2 G	1 A
Tim Lemperle	2 G
Ozan Kabak	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim gets underway.
The points are shared — RB Leipzig 5-0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim. Honours even.

Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Timo Werner	8
Christopher Nkunku	5
Yussuf Poulsen	5
Dani Olmo	4
Andrej Kramaric	3
Benjamin Sesko	2
Adam Hlozek	2
Yussuf Poulsen	2

Head to Head

RB Leipzig Form

2026-03-20 RB Leipzig 5–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2026-03-15 VfB Stuttgart 1–0 RB Leipzig L 2026-03-07 RB Leipzig 2–1 FC Augsburg W 2026-03-01 Hamburger SV 1–2 RB Leipzig W 2026-02-21 RB Leipzig 2–2 Borussia Dortmund D 2026-02-15 RB Leipzig 2–2 VfL Wolfsburg D

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form

2026-03-20 RB Leipzig 5–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim L 2026-03-14 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg D 2026-03-07 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 2–4 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2026-02-28 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 0–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 L 2026-02-21 1. FC Köln 2–2 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim D 2026-02-14 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3–0 SC Freiburg W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

3.42 RB Leipzig xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.51 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 85% + Both teams to score 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct

RB Leipzig67% Draw17% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim16%

Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes75% 0% No25%

Avg goals/match: 4.93

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	99%	1%
± 1.5	95%	5%
± 2.5	85%	15%
± 3.5	70%	30%
± 4.5	53%	47%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw

84%

Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

33%

RB Leipzig or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

83%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

RB Leipzig56% Draw30% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim14%

Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–0 not predicted

5 – 0

Actual

3 – 1

7.2%

2 – 1

6.5%

4 – 1

6.1%

3 – 2

5.3%

3 – 0

4.9%

2 – 2

4.8%

4 – 2

4.6%

2 – 0

4.5%

1 – 1

4.4%

5 – 1

4.2%

4 – 0

4.1%

5 – 2

3.2%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap	RB Leipzig covers	Push	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5	36%	—	64%
-2	36%	18%	46%
-1.5	54%	—	46%
-1	54%	17%	28%
-0.5	72%	—	28%
+0.5	86%	—	14%
+1	86%	8%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	4%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet

23% ✗

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet

4% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.