RB Leipzig vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2025-26

RB Leipzig

5 – 0

Full Time

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Fri 20 Mar 2026 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Bundesliga .

RB Leipzig 34 games · 65 pts (2025/26)
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 games · 61 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Sven Jablonski

25 games this season 🟨 0.6/game ⚽ 4.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	34	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	62
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	34	61
6	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	34	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	43
10	1. FSV Mainz 05	34	40
11	1. FC Union Berlin	34	39
12	Borussia Monchengladbach	34	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	38
14	1. FC Koln	34	32
15	SV Werder Bremen	34	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
18	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26

Head-to-Head

RB Leipzig 18 games · Avg 3.0 goals TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-20 RB Leipzig 5–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2025-11-08 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3–1 RB Leipzig 2025-04-05 RB Leipzig 3–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2024-11-23 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4–3 RB Leipzig 2024-05-03 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–1 RB Leipzig

Recent Form

RB Leipzig

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Mar	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	H	5–0	W
15 Mar	VfB Stuttgart	A	0–1	L
07 Mar	FC Augsburg	H	2–1	W
01 Mar	Hamburger SV	A	2–1	W
21 Feb	Borussia Dortmund	H	2–2	D
15 Feb	VfL Wolfsburg	H	2–2	D

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Mar	RB Leipzig	A	0–5	L
14 Mar	VfL Wolfsburg	H	1–1	D
07 Mar	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	A	4–2	W
28 Feb	FC St. Pauli 1910	H	0–1	L
21 Feb	1. FC Koln	A	2–2	D
14 Feb	SC Freiburg	H	3–0	W

Season Stats

RB Leipzig		TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
#3	Position	#5
65	Points	61
34	Played	34
20 / 5 / 9	W / D / L	18 / 7 / 9
66	Scored	65
47	Conceded	52
+19	GD	+13
1.91	PPG	1.79
59%	Win %	53%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

21% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig

0-15

1/–

16-30

3/3

31-45

2/2

46-60

2/1

61-75

2/1

76+

3/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

0-15

1/4

16-30

4/2

31-45

4/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

–/1

76+

1/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. RB Leipzig is hosting TSG 1899 Hoffenheim for another epic battle.
Full Time. RB Leipzig beats TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Timo Werner	8
Christopher Nkunku	5
Yussuf Poulsen	5
Dani Olmo	4
Andrej Kramaric	3
Benjamin Sesko	2
Adam Hlozek	2
Yussuf Poulsen	2

Head to Head

RB Leipzig Form

2026-03-20 RB Leipzig 5–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2026-03-15 VfB Stuttgart 1–0 RB Leipzig L 2026-03-07 RB Leipzig 2–1 FC Augsburg W 2026-03-01 Hamburger SV 1–2 RB Leipzig W 2026-02-21 RB Leipzig 2–2 Borussia Dortmund D 2026-02-15 RB Leipzig 2–2 VfL Wolfsburg D

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form

2026-03-20 RB Leipzig 5–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim L 2026-03-14 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg D 2026-03-07 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 2–4 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2026-02-28 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 0–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 L 2026-02-21 1. FC Koln 2–2 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim D 2026-02-14 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3–0 SC Freiburg W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.6 RB Leipzig xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.59 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 77% + Both teams to score 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct

RB Leipzig57% Draw21% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim22%

Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes73% 0% No27%

Avg goals/match: 4.19

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	92%	8%
± 2.5	77%	23%
± 3.5	59%	41%
± 4.5	40%	60%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw

78%

Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

43%

RB Leipzig or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

RB Leipzig44% Draw36% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim20%

Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–0 not predicted

5 – 0

Actual

2 – 1

1 – 1

3 – 1

6.8%

2 – 2

6.2%

3 – 2

5.3%

2 – 0

5.3%

1 – 2

4.9%

3 – 0

4.4%

4 – 1

4.4%

1 – 0

3.7%

4 – 2

3.5%

2 – 3

3.3%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap	RB Leipzig covers	Push	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5	22%	—	78%
-2	22%	17%	61%
-1.5	39%	—	61%
-1	39%	19%	42%
-0.5	58%	—	42%
+0.5	78%	—	22%
+1	78%	12%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	6%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet

21% ✗

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet

8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.