Saturday , 5 September 2026

Pau FC vs AS Saint-Étienne, Ligue 2 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2025-26
Sat 28 Feb 2026 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Pau FC vs AS Saint-EtienneLigue 2 .

Match Details

  • Referee Azzedine Souifi
3 games this season 🟨 3.7/game 8.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb AS Saint-Étienne H 0–3 L
21 Feb ES Troyes AC A 3–4 L
13 Feb US Boulogne Cote d'Opale H 1–2 L
06 Feb Red Star FC A 3–0 W
30 Jan Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC A 1–0 W
23 Jan Grenoble Foot 38 H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb Pau FC A 3–0 W
21 Feb Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC H 2–1 W
14 Feb En Avant Guingamp A 2–1 W
07 Feb Montpellier HSC H 1–0 W
31 Jan US Boulogne Cote d'Opale H 0–1 L
24 Jan Stade de Reims A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Pau FC AS Saint-Étienne
#11 Position #1
5 Points 12
5 Played 4
1 / 2 / 2 W / D / L 4 / 0 / 0
4 Scored 13
5 Conceded 3
-1 GD +10
1.00 PPG 3.00
20% Win % 100%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Pau FC this season
50% Clean Sheets
AS Saint-Étienne this season

Pau FC are 11th (5 pts). AS Saint-Étienne are 1st (12 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Pau FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/
46-60
/
61-75
1/1
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AS Saint-Étienne
0-15
1/
16-30
5/
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
2/
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Pau FC
Babacar Leye 3 G
AS Saint-Étienne
Irvin Cardona 4 G 2 A
Thierno Ballo 4 G 2 A
Jakob Breum 2 G 2 A
Zuriko Davitashvili 1 G 1 A
Aron Csongvai 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Pau FC Lineups

AS Saint-Etienne Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.57 Pau FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.5 AS Saint-Etienne xG
I would bet for: AS Saint-Etienne to win 67% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Pau FC13% Draw19% AS Saint-Etienne68%
Actual: AS Saint-Etienne win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 3.07
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Pau FC or Draw
33%
Draw or AS Saint-Etienne
87%
Pau FC or AS Saint-Etienne
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Pau FC6% Draw37% AS Saint-Etienne57%
Actual: AS Saint-Etienne win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 2
14.4%
0 – 3
Actual
0 – 1
11.5%
1 – 2
8%
0 – 4
7.2%
1 – 1
7.1%
1 – 3
6.7%
0 – 0
6%
1 – 4
4.3%
0 – 5
3.7%
2 – 2
2.3%
1 – 5
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Pau FC

Handicap Pau FC covers Push AS Saint-Etienne covers
-2.5 0% 100%
-2 0% 1% 99%
-1.5 1% 99%
-1 1% 4% 94%
-0.5 6% 94%
+0.5 22% 78%
+1 22% 22% 57%
+1.5 43% 57%
+2 43% 23% 34%
+2.5 66% 34%

Clean Sheet

Pau FC keeps clean sheet
9%
AS Saint-Etienne keeps clean sheet
57%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.