Saturday , 14 November 2026

ES Troyes AC vs Pau FC, Ligue 2 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2025-26
ES Troyes AC
4 – 3
Full Time
Pau FC
Sat 21 Feb 2026 · 13:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

ES Troyes AC vs Pau FC — Ligue 2 .

Match Details

  • Referee Alexandre Perreau Niel

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 AS Saint-Étienne 12 28
2 AS Nancy-Lorraine 12 25
3 Montpellier HSC 12 24
4 Stade de Reims 12 21
5 Pau FC 12 20
6 Dijon Football Cote d'Or 12 18
7 FC Metz 12 17
8 Red Star FC 12 17
9 FC Annecy 12 16
10 USL Dunkerque 12 15
11 En Avant Guingamp 12 14
12 US Boulogne Côte d'Opale 12 13
13 Rodez Aveyron Football 12 13
14 FC Nantes 12 12
15 Clermont Foot 63 12 11
16 FC Sochaux-Montbeliard 12 11
17 Grenoble Foot 38 12 11
18 Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC 12 9

Head-to-Head

5
3
ES Troyes AC 8 games · Avg 2.9 goals Pau FC
Last 5 meetings
2026-02-21 ES Troyes AC 4–3 Pau FC 2025-11-03 Pau FC 1–1 ES Troyes AC 2025-03-07 Pau FC 0–2 ES Troyes AC 2024-10-29 ES Troyes AC 3–0 Pau FC 2024-04-23 ES Troyes AC 2–2 Pau FC

Recent Form

ES Troyes AC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb Pau FC H 4–3 W
16 Feb SC Bastia A 0–0 D
07 Feb AS Nancy-Lorraine A 1–2 L
31 Jan Le Mans FC H 0–2 L
24 Jan En Avant Guingamp A 0–1 L
17 Jan Stade de Reims H 2–1 W
Pau FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb ES Troyes AC A 3–4 L
13 Feb US Boulogne Côte d'Opale H 1–2 L
06 Feb Red Star FC A 3–0 W
30 Jan Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC A 1–0 W
23 Jan Grenoble Foot 38 H 2–2 D
16 Jan USL Dunkerque A 1–3 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
Pau FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Pau FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/4
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Pau FC
Babacar Leye 4 G 2 A
Cheikh Fall 3 G
Hacene Benali 3 G
Lorenzo Rajot 2 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Pau FC gets underway.
  • Pau FC will have plenty to reflect on. ES Troyes AC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

ES Troyes AC Lineups

Pau FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Mouhamed Diop 2
Youssouf M'Changama 1
Pape Ibnou Ba 1
Lenny Pintor 1
Cyriaque Irie 1
Suk Hyunjun 1
Nicolas de Preville 1
Brandon Domingues 1

Head to Head

2026-02-21 ES Troyes AC 4–3 Pau FC 2025-11-03 Pau FC 1–1 ES Troyes AC 2025-03-07 Pau FC 0–2 ES Troyes AC 2024-10-29 ES Troyes AC 3–0 Pau FC 2024-04-23 ES Troyes AC 2–2 Pau FC

ES Troyes AC Form

2026-02-21 ES Troyes AC 4–3 Pau FC W 2026-02-16 SC Bastia 0–0 ES Troyes AC D 2026-02-07 AS Nancy-Lorraine 2–1 ES Troyes AC L 2026-01-31 ES Troyes AC 0–2 Le Mans FC L 2026-01-24 En Avant Guingamp 1–0 ES Troyes AC L 2026-01-17 ES Troyes AC 2–1 Stade de Reims W

Pau FC Form

2026-02-21 ES Troyes AC 4–3 Pau FC L 2026-02-13 Pau FC 1–2 US Boulogne Côte d'Opale L 2026-02-06 Red Star FC 0–3 Pau FC W 2026-01-30 Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC 0–1 Pau FC W 2026-01-23 Pau FC 2–2 Grenoble Foot 38 D 2026-01-16 USL Dunkerque 3–1 Pau FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.81 ES Troyes AC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48 Pau FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 65% + Over 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
ES Troyes AC48% Draw24% Pau FC28%
Actual: ES Troyes AC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.29
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

ES Troyes AC or Draw
72%
Draw or Pau FC
52%
ES Troyes AC or Pau FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
ES Troyes AC33% Draw42% Pau FC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–3 not predicted
4 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
10.9%
2 – 1
8.7%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
6.1%
1 – 0
6%
0 – 0
5.3%
3 – 1
5.2%
0 – 1
4.8%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
3.9%
3 – 0
3.6%

Asian Handicap — ES Troyes AC

Handicap ES Troyes AC covers Push Pau FC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 20% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 16% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 9% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

ES Troyes AC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓
Pau FC keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.