Sunday , 16 August 2026

ES Troyes AC vs Pau FC, Ligue 2 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2025-26
ES Troyes AC
4 – 3
Full Time
Pau FC
Sat 21 Feb 2026 · 13:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

ES Troyes AC vs Pau FC — Ligue 2 .

Match Details

  • Referee Alexandre Perreau Niel

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 AS Saint-Étienne 2 6
2 FC Annecy 2 6
3 USL Dunkerque 2 4
4 FC Metz 2 4
5 Montpellier HSC 2 4
6 Red Star FC 2 4
7 Rodez Aveyron Football 2 3
8 En Avant Guingamp 2 3
9 Pau FC 2 3
10 Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC 2 3
11 Stade de Reims 2 2
12 Dijon Football Cote d'Or 2 1
13 AS Nancy-Lorraine 2 1
14 US Boulogne Côte d'Opale 2 1
15 Grenoble Foot 38 2 1
16 Clermont Foot 63 2 1
17 FC Sochaux-Montbéliard 2 1
18 FC Nantes 2 0

Head-to-Head

5
3
ES Troyes AC 8 games · Avg 2.9 goals Pau FC
Last 5 meetings
2026-02-21 ES Troyes AC 4–3 Pau FC 2025-11-03 Pau FC 1–1 ES Troyes AC 2025-03-07 Pau FC 0–2 ES Troyes AC 2024-10-29 ES Troyes AC 3–0 Pau FC 2024-04-23 ES Troyes AC 2–2 Pau FC

Recent Form

ES Troyes AC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb Pau FC H 4–3 W
16 Feb SC Bastia A 0–0 D
07 Feb AS Nancy-Lorraine A 1–2 L
31 Jan Le Mans FC H 0–2 L
24 Jan En Avant Guingamp A 0–1 L
17 Jan Stade de Reims H 2–1 W
Pau FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb ES Troyes AC A 3–4 L
13 Feb US Boulogne Côte d'Opale H 1–2 L
06 Feb Red Star FC A 3–0 W
30 Jan Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC A 1–0 W
23 Jan Grenoble Foot 38 H 2–2 D
16 Jan USL Dunkerque A 1–3 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Pau FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Pau FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at . Ninety minutes of football awaits between ES Troyes AC and Pau FC.
  • 4-3 the final result. Pau FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

ES Troyes AC Lineups

Pau FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Mouhamed Diop 2
Charles Boli 1
Youssouf M'Changama 1
Pape Ibnou Ba 1
Lenny Pintor 1
Cyriaque Irie 1
Suk Hyunjun 1
Nicolas de Preville 1

Head to Head

2026-02-21 ES Troyes AC 4–3 Pau FC 2025-11-03 Pau FC 1–1 ES Troyes AC 2025-03-07 Pau FC 0–2 ES Troyes AC 2024-10-29 ES Troyes AC 3–0 Pau FC 2024-04-23 ES Troyes AC 2–2 Pau FC

ES Troyes AC Form

2026-02-21 ES Troyes AC 4–3 Pau FC W 2026-02-16 SC Bastia 0–0 ES Troyes AC D 2026-02-07 AS Nancy-Lorraine 2–1 ES Troyes AC L 2026-01-31 ES Troyes AC 0–2 Le Mans FC L 2026-01-24 En Avant Guingamp 1–0 ES Troyes AC L 2026-01-17 ES Troyes AC 2–1 Stade de Reims W

Pau FC Form

2026-02-21 ES Troyes AC 4–3 Pau FC L 2026-02-13 Pau FC 1–2 US Boulogne Côte d'Opale L 2026-02-06 Red Star FC 0–3 Pau FC W 2026-01-30 Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC 0–1 Pau FC W 2026-01-23 Pau FC 2–2 Grenoble Foot 38 D 2026-01-16 USL Dunkerque 3–1 Pau FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.81 ES Troyes AC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48 Pau FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 65% + Over 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
ES Troyes AC48% Draw24% Pau FC28%
Actual: ES Troyes AC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.29
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

ES Troyes AC or Draw
72%
Draw or Pau FC
52%
ES Troyes AC or Pau FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
ES Troyes AC33% Draw42% Pau FC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–3 not predicted
4 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
10.9%
2 – 1
8.7%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
6.1%
1 – 0
6%
0 – 0
5.3%
3 – 1
5.2%
0 – 1
4.8%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
3.9%
3 – 0
3.6%

Asian Handicap — ES Troyes AC

Handicap ES Troyes AC covers Push Pau FC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 20% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 16% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 9% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

ES Troyes AC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓
Pau FC keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.