ES Troyes AC vs Pau FC, Ligue 2 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Ligue 2 · 2025-26

ES Troyes AC

4 – 3

Full Time

Pau FC

Sat 21 Feb 2026 · 13:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

ES Troyes AC vs Pau FC — Ligue 2 .

ES Troyes AC 34 games · 67 pts (2026/27)
Pau FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Alexandre Perreau Niel

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	ES Troyes AC	34	67
2	Le Mans FC	34	62
3	SC Bastia	34	28
4	Amiens SC	34	24
5	Dijon Football Cote d'Or	0	0
6	FC Metz	0	0
7	FC Nantes	0	0
8	FC Sochaux-Montbeliard	0	0
9	AS Saint-Étienne	0	0
10	Red Star FC	0	0
11	Rodez Aveyron Football	0	0
12	Stade de Reims	0	0
13	FC Annecy	0	0
14	Montpellier HSC	0	0
15	Pau FC	0	0
16	USL Dunkerque	0	0
17	En Avant Guingamp	0	0
18	Grenoble Foot 38	0	0
19	Clermont Foot 63	0	0
20	AS Nancy-Lorraine	0	0
21	US Boulogne Cote d'Opale	0	0
22	Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC	0	0

Head-to-Head

ES Troyes AC 8 games · Avg 2.9 goals Pau FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-21 ES Troyes AC 4–3 Pau FC 2025-11-03 Pau FC 1–1 ES Troyes AC 2025-03-07 Pau FC 0–2 ES Troyes AC 2024-10-29 ES Troyes AC 3–0 Pau FC 2024-04-23 ES Troyes AC 2–2 Pau FC

Recent Form

ES Troyes AC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Feb	Pau FC	H	4–3	W
16 Feb	SC Bastia	A	0–0	D
07 Feb	AS Nancy-Lorraine	A	1–2	L
31 Jan	Le Mans FC	H	0–2	L
24 Jan	En Avant Guingamp	A	0–1	L
17 Jan	Stade de Reims	H	2–1	W

Pau FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Feb	ES Troyes AC	A	3–4	L
13 Feb	US Boulogne Cote d'Opale	H	1–2	L
06 Feb	Red Star FC	A	3–0	W
30 Jan	Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC	A	1–0	W
23 Jan	Grenoble Foot 38	H	2–2	D
16 Jan	USL Dunkerque	A	1–3	L

Season Stats

ES Troyes AC		Pau FC
#1	Position	#15
67	Points	0
34	Played	0
20 / 7 / 7	W / D / L	0 / 0 / 0
60	Scored	0
33	Conceded	0
+27	GD	+0
1.97	PPG	–
59%	Win %	–

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

ES Troyes AC are 1st (67 pts). Pau FC are 15th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for ES Troyes AC and Pau FC.
Full Time. ES Troyes AC beats Pau FC

Lineups

ES Troyes AC Lineups

Pau FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Mouhamed Diop	2
Kyliane Dong	1
Mons Bassouamina	1
Charles Boli	1
Youssouf M'Changama	1
Pape Ibnou Ba	1
Lenny Pintor	1
Cyriaque Irie	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.16 ES Troyes AC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.96 Pau FC xG

I would bet for: ES Troyes AC or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct

ES Troyes AC44% Draw30% Pau FC26%

Actual: ES Troyes AC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes43% 0% No57%

Avg goals/match: 2.12

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	86%	14%
± 1.5	63%	37%
± 2.5	35%	65%
± 3.5	17%	83%
± 4.5	7%	93%

Double Chance

ES Troyes AC or Draw

74%

Draw or Pau FC

56%

ES Troyes AC or Pau FC

70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

ES Troyes AC27% Draw53% Pau FC20%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–3 not predicted

4 – 3

Actual

0 – 0

14.4%

1 – 1

14.3%

1 – 0

12.7%

0 – 1

10.2%

2 – 0

7.8%

2 – 1

7.5%

1 – 2

6.2%

0 – 2

5.3%

2 – 2

3.7%

3 – 1

3 – 0

1 – 3

Asian Handicap — ES Troyes AC

Handicap	ES Troyes AC covers	Push	Pau FC covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	11%	83%
-1.5	17%	—	83%
-1	17%	22%	61%
-0.5	39%	—	61%
+0.5	72%	—	28%
+1	72%	18%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	8%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

ES Troyes AC keeps clean sheet

39% ✓

Pau FC keeps clean sheet

32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.