Wednesday , 30 September 2026

EC Bahia vs Mirassol FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

1 – 1
Full Time
Sun 13 Apr 2025 · 19:00 UTC Arena Fonte Nova HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 42' Clayson
Y 45' Joao Victor
Y 65' Roni
Y 73' Iury
Gilberto 74' Y
Y 90' Reinaldo

Overview

Match Preview

EC Bahia vs Mirassol FC — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.

Head-to-Head

1
1
1
EC Bahia 3 games · Avg 3.7 goals Mirassol FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Apr Mirassol FC H 1–1 D
06 Apr Santos FC A 2–2 D
30 Mar SC Corinthians Paulista H 1–1 D
14 Mar CA Boston River H 1–0 W
07 Mar CA Boston River A 0–0 D
26 Feb Club The Strongest H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Apr EC Bahia A 1–1 D
06 Apr Fortaleza EC H 1–1 D
29 Mar Cruzeiro EC A 1–2 L

Season Stats

EC Bahia Mirassol FC
#5 Position #15
46 Points 32
28 Played 28
12 / 10 / 6 W / D / L 8 / 8 / 12
43 Scored 33
35 Conceded 42
+8 GD -9
1.64 PPG 1.14
43% Win % 29%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
36% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
14% Clean Sheets
Mirassol FC this season

EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts). Mirassol FC are 15th (32 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Mirassol FC
0-15
–/5
16-30
7/2
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/3
61-75
3/8
76+
4/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 9 G 1 A
Jean Lucas 4 G 3 A
Erick 4 G
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A
Mirassol FC
Carlos Eduardo 6 G
Igor Formiga 4 G 5 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Arena Fonte Nova will turn into a battlefield for EC Bahia and Mirassol FC.
  • 5' Mirassol FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 13' David Duarte is replacing Kanu for the EC Bahia side.
  • 17' Brilliant from the ! Gabriel makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 17.
  • 22' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 27' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 32' It looks like no one’s ball. EC Bahia is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 37' It’s high time Rogério Ceni made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 40' Erick makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and EC Bahia are in front.
  • 42' Controversy at the stadium! Clayson argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 45' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Joao Victor.
  • 50' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both EC Bahia and Mirassol FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 55' Mirassol FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 60' EC Bahia has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 64' The Mirassol FC manager makes a substitution. Jose Aldo departs to be replaced by Roni.
  • 65' Roni picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 66' A tactical swap from EC Bahia — Cauly on, Everton Ribeiro off on 66 minutes.
  • 67' The referee shows EC Bahia player a card on 67.
  • 72' Cristian Renato, a Brazil defender, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 73' The referee has no hesitation. Iury is booked for Mirassol FC — card on 73.
  • 74' Gilberto is having his name booked by the referee on 74.
  • 75' A change in the EC Bahia ranks — Gilberto exits the field as Santiago Arias enters on 75.
  • 76' Erick gets the nod from EC Bahia. He replaces Caio Alexandre and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 81' Reinaldo gets the nod from Mirassol FC. He replaces Daniel Borges and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 86' The energy levels are beginning to show. Rogério Ceni might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Reinaldo.
  • It finishes all square. EC Bahia and Mirassol FC share the spoils 1-1.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.64 EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99 Mirassol FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
EC Bahia50% Draw27% Mirassol FC23%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.63
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

EC Bahia or Draw
77%
Draw or Mirassol FC
50%
EC Bahia or Mirassol FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
EC Bahia36% Draw47% Mirassol FC17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11%
2 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
9.2%
0 – 0
9.2%
0 – 1
6.2%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
5.1%
3 – 0
5.1%
2 – 2
4.6%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — EC Bahia

Handicap EC Bahia covers Push Mirassol FC covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 23% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
38% ✓
Mirassol FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.