Sunday , 16 August 2026

EC Bahia vs Mirassol FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

1 1
Full Time
Sun 13 Apr 2025 · 19:00 UTC Arena Fonte Nova HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 42' Clayson
Y 45' Joao Victor
Y 65' Roni
Y 73' Iury
Gilberto 74' Y
Y 90' Reinaldo

Overview

Match Preview

EC Bahia vs Mirassol FCSerie A at Arena Fonte Nova.

Head-to-Head

1
1
1
EC Bahia 3 games · Avg 3.7 goals Mirassol FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Apr Mirassol FC H 1–1 D
06 Apr Santos FC A 2–2 D
30 Mar SC Corinthians Paulista H 1–1 D
14 Mar CA Boston River H 1–0 W
07 Mar CA Boston River A 0–0 D
26 Feb Club The Strongest H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Apr EC Bahia A 1–1 D
06 Apr Fortaleza EC H 1–1 D
29 Mar Cruzeiro EC A 1–2 L

Season Stats

EC Bahia Mirassol FC
#5 Position #16
34 Points 23
23 Played 21
8 / 10 / 5 W / D / L 6 / 5 / 10
32 Scored 24
28 Conceded 30
+4 GD -6
1.48 PPG 1.10
35% Win % 29%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
41% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
14% Clean Sheets
Mirassol FC this season

EC Bahia are 5th (34 pts). Mirassol FC are 16th (23 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Bahia
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/4
46-60
2/
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Mirassol FC
0-15
/2
16-30
6/1
31-45
4/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/3
76+
1/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 7 G 1 A
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A
Mirassol FC
Igor Formiga 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Arena Fonte Nova. EC Bahia are looking to make home advantage count against Mirassol FC.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' Luciano Juba has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 13' The supporters are chanting for David Duarte. He replaces Kanu on 13 minute.
  • 17' Gabriel has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 17 minutes.
  • 22' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Everton Ribeiro suffering a number of foals already.
  • 27' Over 27 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 32' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 37' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 40' A goal from the Brazil international Erick! He fires home on 40 to make it 1-1!
  • 42' A meaty challenge results in booking for Clayson on 42.
  • 45' That is a card for Mirassol FC. Joao Victor will be fuming at that decision.
  • 50' EC Bahia are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Mirassol FC's shape.
  • 55' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 60' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His EC Bahia side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 64' Time for substitution for Mirassol FC. Jose Aldo is replaced by Roni.
  • 65' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Roni on 65 minutes.
  • 66' The whistle greets Everton Ribeiro as he departs to be replaced by Cauly.
  • 67' That is a card for EC Bahia. Caio Alexandre will be fuming at that decision.
  • 72' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. EC Bahia needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 73' Mirassol FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 73.
  • 74' EC Bahia player sees a card in front of him.
  • 75' Another substitution for EC Bahia to replace Gilberto by Santiago Arias on 75 minute.
  • 76' The EC Bahia bench stirs into life. Caio Alexandre is withdrawn and Erick gets his opportunity.
  • 81' Another change for Mirassol FC made on 81 minute. Daniel Borges leaves to be changed by Reinaldo.
  • 86' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 90' Reinaldo was booked on 90.
  • It finishes all square. EC Bahia and Mirassol FC share the spoils 1-1.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.52 EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 Mirassol FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
EC Bahia49% Draw28% Mirassol FC23%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.49
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

EC Bahia or Draw
76%
Draw or Mirassol FC
51%
EC Bahia or Mirassol FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
EC Bahia34% Draw48% Mirassol FC18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.5%
0 – 0
10.3%
2 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
4.6%
3 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
4.4%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.3%

Asian Handicap — EC Bahia

Handicap EC Bahia covers Push Mirassol FC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 23% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
38%
Mirassol FC keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.