EC Bahia vs Mirassol FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Mirassol FC — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 28 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- Mirassol FC 28 games · 32 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr | Mirassol FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Apr | Santos FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Mar | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Mar | CA Boston River | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Mar | CA Boston River | A | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Feb | Club The Strongest | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr | EC Bahia | A | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Apr | Fortaleza EC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Mar | Cruzeiro EC | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | Mirassol FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #15 |
| 46 | Points | 32 |
| 28 | Played | 28 |
| 12 / 10 / 6 | W / D / L | 8 / 8 / 12 |
| 43 | Scored | 33 |
| 35 | Conceded | 42 |
| +8 | GD | -9 |
| 1.64 | PPG | 1.14 |
| 43% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
36%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
14%
Clean Sheets
Mirassol FC this season
Mirassol FC this season
EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts). Mirassol FC are 15th (32 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Mirassol FC
0-15
–/5
16-30
7/2
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/3
61-75
3/8
76+
4/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 9 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Mirassol FC
| Carlos Eduardo | 6 G | |
| Igor Formiga | 4 G | 5 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Arena Fonte Nova will turn into a battlefield for EC Bahia and Mirassol FC.
- 5' Mirassol FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
- 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 13' David Duarte is replacing Kanu for the EC Bahia side.
- 17' Brilliant from the ! Gabriel makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 17.
- 22' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 27' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 32' It looks like no one’s ball. EC Bahia is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 37' It’s high time Rogério Ceni made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 40' Erick makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and EC Bahia are in front.
- 42' Controversy at the stadium! Clayson argues furiously but the card stands.
- 45' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Joao Victor.
- 50' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both EC Bahia and Mirassol FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 55' Mirassol FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 60' EC Bahia has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 64' The Mirassol FC manager makes a substitution. Jose Aldo departs to be replaced by Roni.
- 65' Roni picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 66' A tactical swap from EC Bahia — Cauly on, Everton Ribeiro off on 66 minutes.
- 67' The referee shows EC Bahia player a card on 67.
- 72' Cristian Renato, a Brazil defender, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 73' The referee has no hesitation. Iury is booked for Mirassol FC — card on 73.
- 74' Gilberto is having his name booked by the referee on 74.
- 75' A change in the EC Bahia ranks — Gilberto exits the field as Santiago Arias enters on 75.
- 76' Erick gets the nod from EC Bahia. He replaces Caio Alexandre and will look to change the dynamic.
- 81' Reinaldo gets the nod from Mirassol FC. He replaces Daniel Borges and will look to change the dynamic.
- 86' The energy levels are beginning to show. Rogério Ceni might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Reinaldo.
- It finishes all square. EC Bahia and Mirassol FC share the spoils 1-1.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 96
- 6
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↓ Cauly 66'
-
7
Ademir Santos ↓ Kayky 76'
-
2
Gilberto ↓ Santiago Arias 75'
-
4
Kanu ↓ David Duarte 13'
- 12
- 21
-
19
Caio Alexandre ↓ Erick 76'
- 46
- 16
Bench
- 22
-
8
Cauly ↑ 66'
-
13
Santiago Arias ↑ 75'
- 1
-
14
Erick ↑ 76'
- 11
-
33
David Duarte ↑ 13'
- 26
-
37
Kayky ↑ 76'
- 5
- 77
- 68
Coach
Rogério Ceni
Mirassol FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
-
27
Gabriel ↓ Everton Oliveira 64'
- 21
- 34
- 23
- 19
-
20
Daniel Borges ↓ Reinaldo 81'
- 29
- 3
- 8
-
17
Cristian Renato ↓ Edson Carioca 81'
Bench
- 22
-
6
Reinaldo ↑ 81'
- 70
- 10
-
77
Iury ↑ 64'
-
5
Roni ↑ 64'
- 7
-
95
Edson Carioca ↑ 81'
- 13
- –
- 44
-
99
Everton Oliveira ↑ 64'
Coach
Ivan Baitello
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gabriel | 1 |
| Rodrigo Nestor | 1 |
| Alesson | 1 |
| Joao Victor | 1 |
| Lucas Ramon | 1 |
| Chico | 1 |
| Cristian Renato | 1 |
| Luciano Juba | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.64
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99
Mirassol FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.63
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
77%
Draw or Mirassol FC
50%
EC Bahia or Mirassol FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11%
2 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
9.2%
0 – 0
9.2%
0 – 1
6.2%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
5.1%
3 – 0
5.1%
2 – 2
4.6%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.6%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Mirassol FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 16% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 23% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
Mirassol FC keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

