EC Bahia vs Mirassol FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Mirassol FC — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 22 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- Mirassol FC 21 games · 23 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr | Mirassol FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Apr | Santos FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Mar | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Mar | CA Boston River | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Mar | CA Boston River | A | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Feb | Club The Strongest | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr | EC Bahia | A | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Apr | Fortaleza EC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Mar | Cruzeiro EC | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | Mirassol FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #16 |
| 33 | Points | 23 |
| 22 | Played | 21 |
| 8 / 9 / 5 | W / D / L | 6 / 5 / 10 |
| 29 | Scored | 24 |
| 25 | Conceded | 30 |
| +4 | GD | -6 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 1.10 |
| 36% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
41%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
14%
Clean Sheets
Mirassol FC this season
Mirassol FC this season
EC Bahia are 5th (33 pts). Mirassol FC are 16th (23 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/4
46-60
2/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Mirassol FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
6/1
31-45
4/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/3
76+
1/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Mirassol FC
| Igor Formiga | 4 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Arena Fonte Nova. EC Bahia are looking to make home advantage count against Mirassol FC.
- 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 10' Luciano Juba has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 13' The supporters are chanting for David Duarte. He replaces Kanu on 13 minute.
- 17' Gabriel has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 17 minutes.
- 22' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Everton Ribeiro suffering a number of foals already.
- 27' Over 27 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 32' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 37' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 40' A goal from the Brazil international Erick! He fires home on 40 to make it 1-1!
- 42' A meaty challenge results in booking for Clayson on 42.
- 45' That is a card for Mirassol FC. Joao Victor will be fuming at that decision.
- 50' EC Bahia are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Mirassol FC's shape.
- 55' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 60' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His EC Bahia side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 64' Time for substitution for Mirassol FC. Jose Aldo is replaced by Roni.
- 65' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Roni on 65 minutes.
- 66' The whistle greets Everton Ribeiro as he departs to be replaced by Cauly.
- 67' That is a card for EC Bahia. Caio Alexandre will be fuming at that decision.
- 72' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. EC Bahia needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 73' Mirassol FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 73.
- 74' EC Bahia player sees a card in front of him.
- 75' Another substitution for EC Bahia to replace Gilberto by Santiago Arias on 75 minute.
- 76' The EC Bahia bench stirs into life. Caio Alexandre is withdrawn and Erick gets his opportunity.
- 81' Another change for Mirassol FC made on 81 minute. Daniel Borges leaves to be changed by Reinaldo.
- 86' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 90' Reinaldo was booked on 90.
- It finishes all square. EC Bahia and Mirassol FC share the spoils 1-1.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 96
- 6
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↓ Cauly 66'
-
7
Ademir Santos ↓ Kayky 76'
-
2
Gilberto ↓ Santiago Arias 75'
-
4
Kanu ↓ David Duarte 13'
- 12
- 21
-
19
Caio Alexandre ↓ Erick 76'
- 46
- 16
Bench
- 22
-
8
Cauly ↑ 66'
-
13
Santiago Arias ↑ 75'
- 1
-
14
Erick ↑ 76'
- 11
-
33
David Duarte ↑ 13'
- 26
-
37
Kayky ↑ 76'
- 5
- 77
- 68
Coach
Rogério Ceni
Mirassol FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
-
27
Gabriel ↓ Everton Oliveira 64'
- 21
- 34
- 23
- 19
-
20
Daniel Borges ↓ Reinaldo 81'
- 29
- 3
- 8
-
17
Cristian Renato ↓ Edson Carioca 81'
Bench
- 22
-
6
Reinaldo ↑ 81'
- 70
- 10
-
77
Iury ↑ 64'
-
5
Roni ↑ 64'
- 7
-
95
Edson Carioca ↑ 81'
- 13
- –
- 44
-
99
Everton Oliveira ↑ 64'
Coach
Ivan Baitello
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gabriel | 1 |
| Rodrigo Nestor | 1 |
| Alesson | 1 |
| Joao Victor | 1 |
| Lucas Ramon | 1 |
| Chico | 1 |
| Cristian Renato | 1 |
| Luciano Juba | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.48
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94
Mirassol FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
76%
Draw or Mirassol FC
52%
EC Bahia or Mirassol FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
12.1%
0 – 0
11%
2 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
8.9%
0 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
4.6%
3 – 1
4.4%
2 – 2
4.2%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.2%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Mirassol FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 15% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 23% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 14% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
40%
✓
Mirassol FC keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

