Saturday , 14 November 2026

EC Bahia vs Mirassol FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

1 – 1
Full Time
Sun 13 Apr 2025 · 19:00 UTC Arena Fonte Nova HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 42' Clayson
Y 45' Joao Victor
Y 65' Roni
Y 73' Iury
Gilberto 74' Y
Y 90' Reinaldo

Overview

Match Preview

EC Bahia vs Mirassol FC — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.

Head-to-Head

2
1
1
EC Bahia 4 games · Avg 3.0 goals Mirassol FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Apr Mirassol FC H 1–1 D
06 Apr Santos FC A 2–2 D
30 Mar SC Corinthians Paulista H 1–1 D
14 Mar CA Boston River H 1–0 W
07 Mar CA Boston River A 0–0 D
26 Feb Club The Strongest H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Apr EC Bahia A 1–1 D
06 Apr Fortaleza EC H 1–1 D
29 Mar Cruzeiro EC A 1–2 L

Season Stats

EC Bahia Mirassol FC
#6 Position #14
53 Points 40
34 Played 34
14 / 11 / 9 W / D / L 10 / 10 / 14
50 Scored 39
45 Conceded 48
+5 GD -9
1.56 PPG 1.18
41% Win % 29%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
32% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
15% Clean Sheets
Mirassol FC this season

EC Bahia are 6th (53 pts). Mirassol FC are 14th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Bahia
0-15
5/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
10/7
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/7
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Mirassol FC
0-15
–/6
16-30
7/2
31-45
7/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
4/8
76+
5/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 11 G 2 A
Jean Lucas 4 G 4 A
Erick 4 G
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A
Mirassol FC
Carlos Eduardo 7 G
Igor Formiga 4 G 5 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! EC Bahia welcome Mirassol FC for this crunch clash at Arena Fonte Nova.
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Luciano Juba suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
  • 13' EC Bahia make a change. Kanu trudges off to be replaced by David Duarte on 13 minutes.
  • 17' What a strike from Gabriel! The score is 0-1.
  • 22' Everton Ribeiro has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 24 cards already picked up this season.
  • 27' Mirassol FC have won 91 goals from 72 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 32' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 37' It looks like no one’s ball. EC Bahia is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 40' Goal! Erick scores his 7 goal in 238 matches.
  • 42' It’s gonna be a card for Clayson.
  • 45' Joao Victor picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 50' The travelling Mirassol FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 55' Supporters expect more eagerness from Roni, as he is very good at scoring at Arena Fonte Nova with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 60' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 64' Fresh legs for Mirassol FC! Roni comes on to replace Jose Aldo.
  • 65' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Roni on 65 minutes.
  • 66' EC Bahia make a change. Everton Ribeiro trudges off to be replaced by Cauly on 66 minutes.
  • 67' The referee shows EC Bahia player a card on 67.
  • 72' Both keepers have barely been tested. EC Bahia and Mirassol FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 73' The referee shows Mirassol FC player a card on 73.
  • 74' Gilberto catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 74.
  • 75' Another change for EC Bahia made on 75 minute. Gilberto leaves to be changed by Santiago Arias.
  • 76' Erick is ready to make an impact after coming on for Caio Alexandre at the 76 minute mark.
  • 81' Reinaldo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Daniel Borges on 81 minute.
  • 86' EC Bahia are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 90' Mirassol FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.54 EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1 Mirassol FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
EC Bahia48% Draw27% Mirassol FC25%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.54
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

EC Bahia or Draw
76%
Draw or Mirassol FC
52%
EC Bahia or Mirassol FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
EC Bahia34% Draw48% Mirassol FC18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.1%
0 – 0
9.9%
2 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
4.7%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — EC Bahia

Handicap EC Bahia covers Push Mirassol FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 23% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 15% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
37% ✓
Mirassol FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.