EC Bahia vs Mirassol FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Mirassol FC — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 17 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- Mirassol FC 17 games · 16 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr | Mirassol FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Apr | Santos FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Mar | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Mar | CA Boston River | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Mar | CA Boston River | A | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Feb | Club The Strongest | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr | EC Bahia | A | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Apr | Fortaleza EC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Mar | Cruzeiro EC | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | Mirassol FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #19 |
| 26 | Points | 16 |
| 17 | Played | 17 |
| 7 / 5 / 5 | W / D / L | 4 / 4 / 9 |
| 25 | Scored | 18 |
| 23 | Conceded | 24 |
| +2 | GD | -6 |
| 1.53 | PPG | 0.94 |
| 41% | Win % | 24% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
18%
Clean Sheets
Mirassol FC this season
Mirassol FC this season
EC Bahia are 6th (26 pts). Mirassol FC are 19th (16 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Mirassol FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/3
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Mirassol FC
| Igor Formiga | 3 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Mirassol FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' EC Bahia is showing some good football. However, EC Bahia are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
- 13' EC Bahia make a change. Kanu trudges off to be replaced by David Duarte on 13 minutes.
- 17' Gabriel does the damage! The net is bulging and Mirassol FC surge ahead!
- 22' EC Bahia are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Mirassol FC backline.
- 27' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 32' Luciano Juba has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 5 goals to his name this season.
- 37' EC Bahia are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 40' A goal from the Brazil international Erick! He fires home on 40 to make it 1-1!
- 42' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Clayson on 42 minutes.
- 45' It’s gonna be a card for Joao Victor.
- 50' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 55' The travelling Mirassol FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 60' EC Bahia has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 64' Roni gets the nod from Mirassol FC. He replaces Jose Aldo and will look to change the dynamic.
- 65' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Roni on 65 minutes.
- 66' Cauly is replacing Everton Ribeiro for the EC Bahia side.
- 67' Caio Alexandre was booked on 67.
- 72' Supporters expect more eagerness from Alex Muralha, as he is very good at scoring at Arena Fonte Nova with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 73' Mirassol FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 73.
- 74' It’s a booking for EC Bahia player. Gilberto gets a card.
- 75' Gilberto makes way for Santiago Arias at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from EC Bahia.
- 76' EC Bahia make a change. Caio Alexandre trudges off to be replaced by Erick on 76 minutes.
- 81' The whistle greets Daniel Borges as he departs to be replaced by Reinaldo.
- 86' It’s high time Ivan Baitello made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 90' Reinaldo picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — EC Bahia 1-1 Mirassol FC.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 96
- 6
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↓ Cauly 66'
-
7
Ademir Santos ↓ Kayky 76'
-
2
Gilberto ↓ Santiago Arias 75'
-
4
Kanu ↓ David Duarte 13'
- 12
- 21
-
19
Caio Alexandre ↓ Erick 76'
- 46
- 16
Bench
- 22
-
8
Cauly ↑ 66'
-
13
Santiago Arias ↑ 75'
- 1
-
14
Erick ↑ 76'
- 11
-
33
David Duarte ↑ 13'
- 26
-
37
Kayky ↑ 76'
- 5
- 77
- 68
Coach
Rogério Ceni
Mirassol FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
-
27
Gabriel ↓ Everton Oliveira 64'
- 21
- 34
- 23
- 19
-
20
Daniel Borges ↓ Reinaldo 81'
- 29
- 3
- 8
-
17
Cristian Renato ↓ Edson Carioca 81'
Bench
- 22
-
6
Reinaldo ↑ 81'
- 70
- 10
-
77
Iury ↑ 64'
-
5
Roni ↑ 64'
- 7
-
95
Edson Carioca ↑ 81'
- 13
- –
- 44
-
99
Everton Oliveira ↑ 64'
Coach
Ivan Baitello
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gabriel | 1 |
| Rodrigo Nestor | 1 |
| Alesson | 1 |
| Joao Victor | 1 |
| Lucas Ramon | 1 |
| Chico | 1 |
| Cristian Renato | 1 |
| Luciano Juba | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.54
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97
Mirassol FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.51
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
76%
Draw or Mirassol FC
51%
EC Bahia or Mirassol FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.5%
0 – 0
10.1%
2 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 1
4.7%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
2.4%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Mirassol FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 15% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 23% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 14% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
Mirassol FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

