Thursday , 2 July 2026

Middlesbrough FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2018-19
Sat 27 Oct 2018 · 11:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Middlesbrough FC vs Derby County FCChampionship .

Match Details

  • Referee Peter Bankes
  • Referee Darren Cann
  • Referee Simon Hooper
  • Referee Simon Beck

Head-to-Head

4
4
4
Middlesbrough FC 12 games · Avg 2.3 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Oct Derby County FC H 1–1 D
23 Oct Rotherham United FC H 0–0 D
19 Oct Sheffield Wednesday FC A 2–1 W
06 Oct Nottingham Forest FC H 0–2 L
02 Oct Ipswich Town FC A 2–0 W
29 Sep Hull City AFC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Oct Middlesbrough FC A 1–1 D
24 Oct West Bromwich Albion FC A 4–1 W
20 Oct Sheffield United FC H 2–1 W
06 Oct Queens Park Rangers FC A 1–1 D
03 Oct Norwich City FC H 1–1 D
29 Sep Bolton Wanderers FC A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Middlesbrough FC Derby County FC
#5 Position #8
80 Points 69
46 Played 46
22 / 14 / 10 W / D / L 20 / 9 / 17
72 Scored 67
47 Conceded 59
+25 GD +8
1.74 PPG 1.50
48% Win % 43%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts). Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Middlesbrough FC have kicked off against Derby County FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' The travelling Derby County FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 15' It’s high time Tony Pulis made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 19' George Friend has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 19 minutes.
  • 24' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 29' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 33' Martyn Waghorn was booked on 33.
  • 38' Both keepers have barely been tested. Middlesbrough FC and Derby County FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 43' Darren Randolph has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 48' With 0 assists to his name this season, Jayden Bogle is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Middlesbrough FC.
  • 51' Martin Braithwaite is ready to make an impact after coming on for Paddy McNair at the 51 minute mark.
  • 55' Fresh legs for Middlesbrough FC! Rudy Gestede comes on to replace Britt Assombalonga.
  • 60' The home supporters are growing impatient. Middlesbrough FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 62' Another change for Derby County FC made on 62 minute. Mason Mount leaves to be changed by Bradley Johnson.
  • 67' A change in the Derby County FC ranks — Jack Marriott exits the field as David Nugent enters on 67.
  • 72' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 72 minutes.
  • 77' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 82' It looks surprising Derby County FC does not make any changes. Stewart Downing has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 84' A goal from the England international Jayden Bogle! He fires home on 84 to make it 1-1!
  • 89' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Middlesbrough FC and Derby County FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Daniel Ayala. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 1-1 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.31 Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Middlesbrough FC or Derby County FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Middlesbrough FC40% Draw29% Derby County FC31%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.48
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Middlesbrough FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Derby County FC
60%
Middlesbrough FC or Derby County FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Middlesbrough FC28% Draw49% Derby County FC23%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.5%
1 – 0
9.9%
0 – 1
8.7%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 0
7%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
3.6%
3 – 0
3%
1 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC

Handicap Middlesbrough FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 21% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 18% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
32%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.