Luton Town FC vs Burnley FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Luton Town FC vs Burnley FC — Championship at Kenilworth Road.
- Luton Town FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Burnley FC 7 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Matt Donohue
- Assistant 1 Paul Hodskinson
- Assistant 2 Mark Dwyer
4 games this season
🟨 3.3/game
⚽ 11.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Ham United FC | 7 | 14 |
| 2 | Swansea City AFC | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough FC | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 7 | 12 |
| 6 | Charlton Athletic FC | 7 | 12 |
| 7 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 6 | 11 |
| 8 | Southampton FC | 7 | 10 |
| 9 | Birmingham City FC | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | Stoke City FC | 7 | 10 |
| 11 | Bristol City FC | 6 | 10 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 7 | 9 |
| 13 | Millwall FC | 6 | 9 |
| 14 | Sheffield United FC | 7 | 9 |
| 15 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 7 | 8 |
| 16 | Lincoln City FC | 6 | 8 |
| 17 | Watford FC | 7 | 8 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 6 | 7 |
| 19 | Wrexham AFC | 7 | 7 |
| 20 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 7 | 7 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 7 | 4 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 7 | 4 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 7 | 3 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 7 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug | Burnley FC | H | 1–4 | L |
| 19 May | Fulham FC | H | 2–4 | L |
| 11 May | West Ham United FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 03 May | Everton FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Apr | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Apr | Brentford FC | H | 1–5 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug | Luton Town FC | A | 4–1 | W |
| 19 May | Nottingham Forest FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 11 May | Tottenham Hotspur FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 04 May | Newcastle United FC | H | 1–4 | L |
| 27 Apr | Manchester United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Apr | Sheffield United FC | A | 4–1 | W |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season
Burnley FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Burnley FC
0-15
–/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
–/1
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/4
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Burnley FC
| Zian Flemming | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Kenilworth Road that hosts another battle between Luton Town FC and Burnley FC.
- 5' Lyle Foster has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 10 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 6' Magnificent from Josh Brownhill! That is 45 goals in 389 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 11' Thomas Kaminski has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 16' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 21' Connor Roberts is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Luton Town FC so far.
- 26' It looks surprising Luton Town FC does not make any changes. Dara O'Shea has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 31' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 36' Luton Town FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 37' Wilson Odobert makes no mistake. The score reads 0-2 and Burnley FC are in front.
- 42' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Burnley FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 43' James Trafford picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 48' Luca Koleosho has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 51' Zack Nelson picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 55' A goal from the Curacao international Tahith Chong! He fires home on 55 to make it 1-2!
- 59' Poor challenge from Lucas Pires. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 60' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Tahith Chong on 60 minutes.
- 62' Josh Cullen picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 66' Another change for Burnley FC made on 66 minute. Luca Koleosho leaves to be changed by Anass Zaroury.
- 71' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 72' What a strike from Dara O'Shea! The score is 1-3.
- 77' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 80' Goal! Vitinho scores his 10 goal in 360 matches.
- 80' Joseph Johnson makes way for Andros Townsend at the 80 minute mark. A tactical switch from Luton Town FC.
- 83' Wout Weghorst gets the nod from Burnley FC. He replaces Lyle Foster and will look to change the dynamic.
- 87' The supporters are chanting for Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu. He replaces Shandon Baptiste on 87 minute.
- 90' The crowd applauds Wilson Odobert as he leaves the pitch. Luke McNally steps in for Burnley FC.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Burnley FC to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Luton Town FC Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 45
- 26
- 9
- 11
- 7
- 24
- 14
- 15
- 2
- 38
- 37
Bench
- 29
- 25
-
30
Andros Townsend ↑ 80'
- 10
- 3
- 1
-
17
Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu ↑ 87'
- 39
- 40
Burnley FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8
- 2
- 14
- 24
- 22
-
17
Lyle Foster ↓ Wout Weghorst 83'
- 1
- 5
-
23
Lucas Pires ↓ Han-Noah Massengo 83'
-
47
Wilson Odobert ↓ Luke McNally 90'
-
30
Luca Koleosho ↓ Anass Zaroury 66'
Bench
- 9
- 11
-
29
Wout Weghorst ↑ 83'
- 10
-
42
Han-Noah Massengo ↑ 83'
- 32
- 37
-
34
Luke McNally ↑ 90'
-
19
Anass Zaroury ↑ 66'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Josh Brownhill | 3 |
| Ashley Barnes | 2 |
| Lyle Foster | 2 |
| Dara O'Shea | 1 |
| Vitinho | 1 |
| Wilson Odobert | 1 |
| Tahith Chong | 1 |
| Daniel Potts | 1 |
Head to Head
Luton Town FC Form
Burnley FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.22
Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.87
Burnley FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Burnley FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.09
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
Luton Town FC or Draw
51%
Draw or Burnley FC
75%
Luton Town FC or Burnley FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Burnley FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 1–4 not predicted1 – 4Actual
1 – 1
11.3%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 2
7.9%
0 – 1
7.8%
0 – 0
6.2%
2 – 1
6.1%
1 – 3
5.8%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 3
4.8%
1 – 0
4.8%
2 – 3
3.6%
2 – 0
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC
| Handicap | Luton Town FC covers | Push | Burnley FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| -0.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| +0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +1 | 49% | 22% | 30% |
| +1.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +2 | 70% | 16% | 14% |
| +2.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
Clean Sheet
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

