Thursday , 17 September 2026

Luton Town FC vs Burnley FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Mon 12 Aug 2024 · 19:00 UTC Kenilworth Road 11,777 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 6' Josh Brownhill
0–2 37' Wilson Odobert
Tahith Chong 55' 1–2
1–3 72' Dara O'Shea
1–4 80' Vitinho

Overview

Match Preview

Luton Town FC vs Burnley FCChampionship at Kenilworth Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Matt Donohue
  • Assistant 1 Paul Hodskinson
  • Assistant 2 Mark Dwyer
4 games this season 🟨 3.3/game 11.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug Burnley FC H 1–4 L
19 May Fulham FC H 2–4 L
11 May West Ham United FC A 1–3 L
03 May Everton FC H 1–1 D
27 Apr Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 1–2 L
20 Apr Brentford FC H 1–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug Luton Town FC A 4–1 W
19 May Nottingham Forest FC H 1–2 L
11 May Tottenham Hotspur FC A 1–2 L
04 May Newcastle United FC H 1–4 L
27 Apr Manchester United FC A 1–1 D
20 Apr Sheffield United FC A 4–1 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burnley FC
0-15
/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
/1
46-60
3/2
61-75
/4
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burnley FC
Zian Flemming 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Kenilworth Road that hosts another battle between Luton Town FC and Burnley FC.
  • 5' Lyle Foster has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 10 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 6' Magnificent from Josh Brownhill! That is 45 goals in 389 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 11' Thomas Kaminski has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 16' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 21' Connor Roberts is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Luton Town FC so far.
  • 26' It looks surprising Luton Town FC does not make any changes. Dara O'Shea has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 31' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 36' Luton Town FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 37' Wilson Odobert makes no mistake. The score reads 0-2 and Burnley FC are in front.
  • 42' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Burnley FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 43' James Trafford picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 48' Luca Koleosho has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 51' Zack Nelson picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 55' A goal from the Curacao international Tahith Chong! He fires home on 55 to make it 1-2!
  • 59' Poor challenge from Lucas Pires. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 60' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Tahith Chong on 60 minutes.
  • 62' Josh Cullen picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 66' Another change for Burnley FC made on 66 minute. Luca Koleosho leaves to be changed by Anass Zaroury.
  • 71' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 72' What a strike from Dara O'Shea! The score is 1-3.
  • 77' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 80' Goal! Vitinho scores his 10 goal in 360 matches.
  • 80' Joseph Johnson makes way for Andros Townsend at the 80 minute mark. A tactical switch from Luton Town FC.
  • 83' Wout Weghorst gets the nod from Burnley FC. He replaces Lyle Foster and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 87' The supporters are chanting for Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu. He replaces Shandon Baptiste on 87 minute.
  • 90' The crowd applauds Wilson Odobert as he leaves the pitch. Luke McNally steps in for Burnley FC.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Burnley FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.22 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.87 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC25% Draw25% Burnley FC50%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.09
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
51%
Draw or Burnley FC
75%
Luton Town FC or Burnley FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Luton Town FC20% Draw43% Burnley FC37%
Actual: Burnley FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–4 not predicted
1 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
11.3%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 2
7.9%
0 – 1
7.8%
0 – 0
6.2%
2 – 1
6.1%
1 – 3
5.8%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 3
4.8%
1 – 0
4.8%
2 – 3
3.6%
2 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 14% 76%
-0.5 24% 76%
+0.5 49% 51%
+1 49% 22% 30%
+1.5 70% 30%
+2 70% 16% 14%
+2.5 86% 14%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
16%
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.