Sunday , 16 August 2026

Burnley FC vs Newcastle United FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 4 May 2024 · 14:00 UTC Turf Moor HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 19' Callum Wilson
0–2 35' Sean Longstaff
0–3 40' Bruno Guimaraes
0–4 55' Alexander Isak
Dara O'Shea 86' 1–4

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Newcastle United FCPremier League at Turf Moor.

Match Details

  • Referee Anthony Taylor
  • Assistant 1 Gary Beswick
  • Assistant 2 Adam Nunn
19 games this season 🟨 2.7/game 8.2 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 May Newcastle United FC H 1–4 L
27 Apr Manchester United FC A 1–1 D
20 Apr Sheffield United FC A 4–1 W
13 Apr Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 1–1 D
06 Apr Everton FC A 0–1 L
02 Apr Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 May Burnley FC A 4–1 W
27 Apr Sheffield United FC H 5–1 W
24 Apr Crystal Palace FC A 0–2 L
13 Apr Tottenham Hotspur FC H 4–0 W
06 Apr Fulham FC A 1–0 W
02 Apr Everton FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Burnley FC Newcastle United FC
#2 Position #19
22 Points 0
38 Played 0
4 / 10 / 24 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
38 Scored 0
75 Conceded 0
-37 GD +0
0.58 PPG
11% Win %

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Burnley FC are 2nd (22 pts). Newcastle United FC are 19th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.45 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.15 Newcastle United FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 78% + Under — clean sheet likely 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC17% Draw32% Newcastle United FC51%
Actual: Newcastle United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes26% 0% No74%
Avg goals/match: 1.6
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 77%
23%
± 1.5 48%
52%
± 2.5 22%
78%
± 3.5 9%
91%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
50%
Draw or Newcastle United FC
83%
Burnley FC or Newcastle United FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC9% Draw59% Newcastle United FC32%
Actual: Newcastle United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–4 not predicted
1 – 4
Actual
0 – 0
22.7%
0 – 1
21.9%
0 – 2
12.6%
1 – 1
11.2%
1 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
6.1%
0 – 3
4.7%
1 – 3
2.5%
2 – 1
2.3%
2 – 0
1.8%
2 – 2
1.5%
0 – 4
1.4%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Newcastle United FC covers
-2.5 0% 100%
-2 0% 2% 97%
-1.5 3% 97%
-1 3% 10% 87%
-0.5 13% 87%
+0.5 48% 52%
+1 48% 29% 23%
+1.5 77% 23%
+2 77% 15% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
33%
Newcastle United FC keeps clean sheet
64%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.