Burnley FC vs Newcastle United FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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Premier League · 2023-24

Burnley FC

1 – 4

Full Time

Newcastle United FC

Sat 4 May 2024 · 14:00 UTC Turf Moor HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 19' Callum Wilson

0–2 35' Sean Longstaff

0–3 40' Bruno Guimaraes

0–4 55' Alexander Isak

Dara O'Shea 86' 1–4

Y 18' Callum Wilson

Maxime Esteve 37' Y

Josh Brownhill 51' Y

Y 72' Elliot Anderson

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Newcastle United FC — Premier League at Turf Moor.

Burnley FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Newcastle United FC 10 games · 12 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Anthony Taylor
Assistant 1 Gary Beswick
Assistant 2 Adam Nunn

9 games this season 🟨 4.8/game ⚽ 11.0 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Arsenal FC	10	27
2	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	10	22
3	Manchester City FC	10	21
4	Liverpool FC	10	18
5	Chelsea FC	10	16
6	Everton FC	10	16
7	AFC Bournemouth	10	15
8	Brentford FC	10	14
9	Leeds United FC	10	14
10	Aston Villa FC	10	13
11	Tottenham Hotspur FC	10	12
12	Newcastle United FC	10	12
13	Hull City AFC	10	11
14	Ipswich Town FC	10	11
15	Fulham FC	10	10
16	Nottingham Forest FC	10	9
17	Coventry City FC	10	9
18	Manchester United FC	10	8
19	Sunderland AFC	10	8
20	Crystal Palace FC	10	7

Head-to-Head

Burnley FC 12 games · Avg 2.6 goals Newcastle United FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-05-04 Burnley FC 1–4 Newcastle United FC 2023-09-30 Newcastle United FC 2–0 Burnley FC 2022-05-22 Burnley FC 1–2 Newcastle United FC 2021-12-04 Newcastle United FC 1–0 Burnley FC 2021-04-11 Burnley FC 1–2 Newcastle United FC

Recent Form

Burnley FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 May	Newcastle United FC	H	1–4	L
27 Apr	Manchester United FC	A	1–1	D
20 Apr	Sheffield United FC	A	4–1	W
13 Apr	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	H	1–1	D
06 Apr	Everton FC	A	0–1	L
02 Apr	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	H	1–1	D

Newcastle United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 May	Burnley FC	A	4–1	W
27 Apr	Sheffield United FC	H	5–1	W
24 Apr	Crystal Palace FC	A	0–2	L
13 Apr	Tottenham Hotspur FC	H	4–0	W
06 Apr	Fulham FC	A	1–0	W
02 Apr	Everton FC	H	1–1	D

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

20% Clean Sheets
Newcastle United FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Newcastle United FC

0-15

3/2

16-30

–/–

31-45

1/3

46-60

3/4

61-75

3/1

76+

3/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Newcastle United FC

Harvey Barnes	2 G	2 A
Joe Willock	2 G
Anthony Elanga	2 G
Yoane Wissa	1 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Burnley FC have kicked off against Newcastle United FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
10' Burnley FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
18' The referee calls foul for Callum Wilson. He receives a card.
19' A stunning finish from Callum Wilson — that came from absolutely nowhere!
24' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lorenz Assignon, as he is very good at scoring at Turf Moor with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
29' Lyle Foster has been relatively quiet despite scoring 20 goals in his last 432 appearances.
34' England international Dan Burn has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
35' What a strike from Sean Longstaff! The score is 0-2.
37' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Maxime Esteve.
40' A stunning finish from Bruno Guimaraes — that came from absolutely nowhere!
45' Hjalmar Ekdal gets the nod from Burnley FC. He replaces Maxime Esteve and will look to change the dynamic.
50' It’s high time Eddie Howe made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
51' It’s a booking for Burnley FC player. Josh Brownhill gets a card.
55' Magnificent from Alexander Isak! That is 121 goals in 536 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
60' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
62' Fresh legs for Burnley FC! Johann Berg Gudmundsson comes on to replace Jacob Bruun Larsen.
67' It looks surprising Newcastle United FC does not make any changes. Arijanet Muric has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
69' Newcastle United FC ring the changes. Callum Wilson has done his job and it is now time for Harvey Barnes to step up.
72' Newcastle United FC player sees a card in front of him.
77' Another substitution for Newcastle United FC to replace Alexander Isak by Miguel Almiron on 77 minute.
82' Josh Cullen is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Burnley FC tonight.
85' The crowd applauds Josh Brownhill as he leaves the pitch. Zeki Amdouni steps in for Burnley FC.
86' The Ireland Dara O'Shea breaks the deadlock on 86 minutes. 1-4!
With this win, Newcastle United FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Burnley FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

8
Josh Brownhill ↓ Zeki Amdouni 85'
2
Dara O'Shea
49
Arijanet Muric
24
Josh Cullen
34
Jacob Bruun Larsen ↓ Johann Berg Gudmundsson 62'
16
Sander Berge
22
Vitinho
17
Lyle Foster ↓ David Fofana 85'
20
Lorenz Assignon
33
Maxime Esteve ↓ Hjalmar Ekdal 45'
47
Wilson Odobert

Bench

Coach Vincent Kompany

Newcastle United FC Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

15
Harvey Barnes ↑ 69'
22
Nick Pope
3
Paul Dummett
11
Matt Ritchie ↑ 85'
7
Joelinton ↑ 77'
24
Miguel Almiron ↑ 77'
40
Joe White
32
Elliot Anderson ↑ 69'
54
Alex Murphy

Coach Eddie Howe

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Callum Wilson	6
Sean Longstaff	2
Allan Saint-Maximin	2
Alexander Isak	2
Miguel Almiron	1
Fabian Schar	1
Bruno Guimaraes	1
Dara O'Shea	1

Head to Head

Burnley FC Form

2024-05-04 Burnley FC 1–4 Newcastle United FC L 2024-04-27 Manchester United FC 1–1 Burnley FC D 2024-04-20 Sheffield United FC 1–4 Burnley FC W 2024-04-13 Burnley FC 1–1 Brighton & Hove Albion FC D 2024-04-06 Everton FC 1–0 Burnley FC L 2024-04-02 Burnley FC 1–1 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC D

Newcastle United FC Form

2024-05-04 Burnley FC 1–4 Newcastle United FC W 2024-04-27 Newcastle United FC 5–1 Sheffield United FC W 2024-04-24 Crystal Palace FC 2–0 Newcastle United FC L 2024-04-13 Newcastle United FC 4–0 Tottenham Hotspur FC W 2024-04-06 Fulham FC 0–1 Newcastle United FC W 2024-04-02 Newcastle United FC 1–1 Everton FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.1 Burnley FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.67 Newcastle United FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Burnley FC25% Draw26% Newcastle United FC49%

Actual: Newcastle United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes55% 0% No45%

Avg goals/match: 2.77

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	76%	24%
± 2.5	52%	48%
± 3.5	30%	70%
± 4.5	15%	85%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw

51%

Draw or Newcastle United FC

75%

Burnley FC or Newcastle United FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Burnley FC19% Draw46% Newcastle United FC35%

Actual: Newcastle United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–4 not predicted

1 – 4

Actual

1 – 1

12.4%

0 – 1

9.6%

1 – 2

9.3%

0 – 2

8.6%

0 – 0

8.1%

2 – 1

6.1%

1 – 0

5.9%

1 – 3

5.2%

2 – 2

5.1%

0 – 3

4.7%

2 – 0

3.7%

2 – 3

2.9%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap	Burnley FC covers	Push	Newcastle United FC covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	7%	91%
-1.5	9%	—	91%
-1	9%	14%	76%
-0.5	24%	—	76%
+0.5	51%	—	49%
+1	51%	22%	27%
+1.5	73%	—	27%
+2	73%	15%	12%
+2.5	88%	—	12%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Newcastle United FC keeps clean sheet

34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.