Burnley FC vs Newcastle United FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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Premier League · 2023-24

Burnley FC

1 – 4

Full Time

Newcastle United FC

Sat 4 May 2024 · 14:00 UTC Turf Moor HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 19' Callum Wilson

0–2 35' Sean Longstaff

0–3 40' Bruno Guimaraes

0–4 55' Alexander Isak

Dara O'Shea 86' 1–4

Y 18' Callum Wilson

Maxime Esteve 37' Y

Josh Brownhill 51' Y

Y 72' Elliot Anderson

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Newcastle United FC — Premier League at Turf Moor.

Burnley FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Newcastle United FC 5 games · 8 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Anthony Taylor
Assistant 1 Gary Beswick
Assistant 2 Adam Nunn

11 games this season 🟨 3.9/game ⚽ 9.5 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Manchester City FC	5	15
2	Arsenal FC	5	12
3	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	5	10
4	Brentford FC	5	9
5	Leeds United FC	5	9
6	Liverpool FC	5	9
7	Everton FC	5	9
8	Hull City AFC	5	8
9	Newcastle United FC	5	8
10	Chelsea FC	5	7
11	Ipswich Town FC	5	6
12	Manchester United FC	5	5
13	Nottingham Forest FC	5	5
14	Sunderland AFC	5	4
15	Crystal Palace FC	5	4
16	Aston Villa FC	5	4
17	AFC Bournemouth	5	3
18	Coventry City FC	5	3
19	Fulham FC	5	2
20	Tottenham Hotspur FC	5	2

Head-to-Head

Burnley FC 12 games · Avg 2.6 goals Newcastle United FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-05-04 Burnley FC 1–4 Newcastle United FC 2023-09-30 Newcastle United FC 2–0 Burnley FC 2022-05-22 Burnley FC 1–2 Newcastle United FC 2021-12-04 Newcastle United FC 1–0 Burnley FC 2021-04-11 Burnley FC 1–2 Newcastle United FC

Recent Form

Burnley FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 May	Newcastle United FC	H	1–4	L
27 Apr	Manchester United FC	A	1–1	D
20 Apr	Sheffield United FC	A	4–1	W
13 Apr	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	H	1–1	D
06 Apr	Everton FC	A	0–1	L
02 Apr	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	H	1–1	D

Newcastle United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 May	Burnley FC	A	4–1	W
27 Apr	Sheffield United FC	H	5–1	W
24 Apr	Crystal Palace FC	A	0–2	L
13 Apr	Tottenham Hotspur FC	H	4–0	W
06 Apr	Fulham FC	A	1–0	W
02 Apr	Everton FC	H	1–1	D

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

20% Clean Sheets
Newcastle United FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Newcastle United FC

0-15

3/1

16-30

–/–

31-45

1/2

46-60

1/2

61-75

2/1

76+

2/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Newcastle United FC

Joe Willock	2 G
Anthony Elanga	2 G
Yoane Wissa	1 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Burnley FC and Newcastle United FC get this one started.
5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Martin Dubravka, as he is very good at scoring at Turf Moor with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
10' The energy levels are beginning to show. Eddie Howe might look to freshen things up shortly.
15' Valentino Livramento has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
18' That looks like a foul for a card for Callum Wilson.
19' Brilliant from the forward! Callum Wilson makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 19.
24' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
29' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
34' Sean Longstaff is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Burnley FC tonight.
35' GOAL! Sean Longstaff fires home to make it 0-2!
37' A meaty challenge results in booking for Maxime Esteve on 37.
40' Bruno Guimaraes doubles the advantage! 0-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
45' The whistle greets Maxime Esteve as he departs to be replaced by Hjalmar Ekdal.
50' With 0 assists to his name this season, Harvey Barnes is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Burnley FC.
51' A meaty challenge results in booking for Josh Brownhill on 51.
55' The deadlock is broken! Alexander Isak gets on the scoresheet on 55 minutes.
60' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
62' The Burnley FC bench stirs into life. Jacob Bruun Larsen is withdrawn and Johann Berg Gudmundsson gets his opportunity.
67' It looks like no one’s ball. Burnley FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
69' The crowd applauds Callum Wilson as he leaves the pitch. Harvey Barnes steps in for Newcastle United FC.
72' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Elliot Anderson.
77' A tactical swap from Newcastle United FC — Miguel Almiron on, Alexander Isak off on 77 minutes.
82' It looks surprising Burnley FC does not make any changes. Lyle Foster has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
85' Burnley FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Zeki Amdouni is hanging Josh Brownhill on the field on 85 minute.
86' What a moment for Dara O'Shea! That strike on 86 puts his side firmly in control.
1-4 the final result. Burnley FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Burnley FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

8
Josh Brownhill ↓ Zeki Amdouni 85'
2
Dara O'Shea
49
Arijanet Muric
24
Josh Cullen
34
Jacob Bruun Larsen ↓ Johann Berg Gudmundsson 62'
16
Sander Berge
22
Vitinho
17
Lyle Foster ↓ David Fofana 85'
20
Lorenz Assignon
33
Maxime Esteve ↓ Hjalmar Ekdal 45'
47
Wilson Odobert

Bench

Coach Vincent Kompany

Newcastle United FC Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

15
Harvey Barnes ↑ 69'
22
Nick Pope
3
Paul Dummett
11
Matt Ritchie ↑ 85'
7
Joelinton ↑ 77'
24
Miguel Almiron ↑ 77'
40
Joe White
32
Elliot Anderson ↑ 69'
54
Alex Murphy

Coach Eddie Howe

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Callum Wilson	6
Sean Longstaff	2
Allan Saint-Maximin	2
Alexander Isak	2
Sam Vokes	1
Miguel Almiron	1
Fabian Schar	1
Bruno Guimaraes	1

Head to Head

Burnley FC Form

2024-05-04 Burnley FC 1–4 Newcastle United FC L 2024-04-27 Manchester United FC 1–1 Burnley FC D 2024-04-20 Sheffield United FC 1–4 Burnley FC W 2024-04-13 Burnley FC 1–1 Brighton & Hove Albion FC D 2024-04-06 Everton FC 1–0 Burnley FC L 2024-04-02 Burnley FC 1–1 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC D

Newcastle United FC Form

2024-05-04 Burnley FC 1–4 Newcastle United FC W 2024-04-27 Newcastle United FC 5–1 Sheffield United FC W 2024-04-24 Crystal Palace FC 2–0 Newcastle United FC L 2024-04-13 Newcastle United FC 4–0 Tottenham Hotspur FC W 2024-04-06 Fulham FC 0–1 Newcastle United FC W 2024-04-02 Newcastle United FC 1–1 Everton FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.1 Burnley FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.67 Newcastle United FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Burnley FC25% Draw26% Newcastle United FC49%

Actual: Newcastle United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes55% 0% No45%

Avg goals/match: 2.77

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	76%	24%
± 2.5	52%	48%
± 3.5	30%	70%
± 4.5	15%	85%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw

51%

Draw or Newcastle United FC

75%

Burnley FC or Newcastle United FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Burnley FC19% Draw46% Newcastle United FC35%

Actual: Newcastle United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–4 not predicted

1 – 4

Actual

1 – 1

12.4%

0 – 1

9.6%

1 – 2

9.3%

0 – 2

8.6%

0 – 0

8.1%

2 – 1

6.1%

1 – 0

5.9%

1 – 3

5.2%

2 – 2

5.1%

0 – 3

4.7%

2 – 0

3.7%

2 – 3

2.9%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap	Burnley FC covers	Push	Newcastle United FC covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	7%	91%
-1.5	9%	—	91%
-1	9%	14%	76%
-0.5	24%	—	76%
+0.5	51%	—	49%
+1	51%	22%	27%
+1.5	73%	—	27%
+2	73%	15%	12%
+2.5	88%	—	12%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Newcastle United FC keeps clean sheet

34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.