Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Burnley FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 11 May 2024 · 14:00 UTC Tottenham Hotspur Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 25' Jacob Bruun Larsen
Pedro Porro 32' 1–1
Mickey van de Ven 82' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Burnley FC — Premier League at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Jarred Gillett
  • Assistant 1 Darren Cann
  • Assistant 2 Richard West
4 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 8.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May Burnley FC H 2–1 W
05 May Liverpool FC A 2–4 L
02 May Chelsea FC A 0–2 L
28 Apr Arsenal FC H 2–3 L
13 Apr Newcastle United FC A 0–4 L
07 Apr Nottingham Forest FC H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May Tottenham Hotspur FC A 1–2 L
04 May Newcastle United FC H 1–4 L
27 Apr Manchester United FC A 1–1 D
20 Apr Sheffield United FC A 4–1 W
13 Apr Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 1–1 D
06 Apr Everton FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
Tottenham Hotspur FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Tottenham Hotspur FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/2
46-60
–/1
61-75
–/3
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium!
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' Tottenham Hotspur FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 11' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Josh Cullen on 11 minutes.
  • 16' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 21' Dejan Kulusevski, a Sweden , has 31 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 25' Assisted by Sander Berge with the perfectly-timed delivery and Jacob Bruun Larsen makes no mistake. 0-1!
  • 30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 32' Against the run of play, Pedro Porro has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 37' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 37 minutes.
  • 42' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 46' The referee calls foul for Charlie Taylor. He receives a card.
  • 47' Tottenham Hotspur FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 52' Burnley FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 55' A moment of madness from Oliver Skipp on 55 minutes earns him a card. Tottenham Hotspur FC will be frustrated.
  • 60' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 65' Sander Berge is having his name booked by the referee on 65.
  • 67' Jacob Bruun Larsen was booked on 67.
  • 72' Burnley FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Benson Manuel is hanging Vitinho on the field on 72 minute.
  • 75' Fresh legs for Tottenham Hotspur FC! Radu Dragusin comes on to replace Oliver Skipp.
  • 80' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Tottenham Hotspur FC and Burnley FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 81' Mike Tresor is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jacob Bruun Larsen at the 81 minute mark.
  • 82' Mickey van de Ven puts Tottenham Hotspur FC on the lead.
  • 87' Pape Sarr has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 87.
  • 87' Another change for Burnley FC made on 87 minute. Josh Cullen leaves to be changed by Zeki Amdouni.
  • 88' The Burnley FC bench stirs into life. Lyle Foster is withdrawn and David Fofana gets his opportunity.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Lorenz Assignon.
  • 2-1 the final result. Burnley FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.58 Tottenham Hotspur FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Tottenham Hotspur FC49% Draw26% Burnley FC25%
Actual: Tottenham Hotspur FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.77
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Tottenham Hotspur FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Burnley FC
51%
Tottenham Hotspur FC or Burnley FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Tottenham Hotspur FC33% Draw46% Burnley FC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
9%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.2%
2 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
4.7%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
4%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Tottenham Hotspur FC

Handicap Tottenham Hotspur FC covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 21% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 16% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Tottenham Hotspur FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.