Thursday , 1 October 2026

Burnley FC vs Luton Town FC, Championship 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2022-23
Sat 6 Aug 2022 · 14:00 UTC Turf Moor HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

4
2
Burnley FC 6 games · Avg 2.8 goals Luton Town FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Aug Luton Town FC H 1–1 D
29 Jul Huddersfield Town AFC A 1–0 W
22 May Newcastle United FC H 1–2 L
19 May Aston Villa FC A 1–1 D
15 May Tottenham Hotspur FC A 0–1 L
07 May Aston Villa FC H 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Aug Burnley FC A 1–1 D
30 Jul Birmingham City FC H 0–0 D
16 May Huddersfield Town AFC A 0–1 L
07 May Reading FC H 1–0 W
02 May Fulham FC A 0–7 L
23 Apr Blackpool FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burnley FC
0-15
–/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/1
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/4
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burnley FC
Zian Flemming 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Turf Moor. Burnley FC are looking to make home advantage count against Luton Town FC.
  • 5' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Daniel Potts makes it 0-1.
  • 10' Burnley FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Luton Town FC's shape.
  • 15' Luton Town FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 25' Jack Cork needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 22 Yellow cards this season.
  • 30' Luton Town FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 35' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 40' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 45' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 46' It is a substitution in Burnley FC team. Samuel Bastien is replaced by Benson Manuel on 46 minute.
  • 51' Josh Brownhill doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 56' Burnley FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 59' Another substitution for Luton Town FC to replace Harry Cornick by Carlton Morris on 59 minute.
  • 64' Samuel Bastien is a natural central midfielder and has been asked to do a very specific job for Burnley FC tonight.
  • 66' Luton Town FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 66' Cauley Woodrow gets the nod from Luton Town FC. He replaces Luke Freeman and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 67' It is a substitution in Luton Town FC team. Allan Campbell is replaced by Reece Burke on 67 minute.
  • 72' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 77' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 82' Burnley FC ring the changes. Dara Costelloe has done his job and it is now time for Vitinho to step up.
  • 84' Luton Town FC make a change. Gabriel Osho trudges off to be replaced by Matt Macey on 84 minutes.
  • 89' Ashley Barnes catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 89.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Burnley FC 1-1 Luton Town FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.4 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Burnley FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC43% Draw29% Luton Town FC28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.48
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Luton Town FC
57%
Burnley FC or Luton Town FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC30% Draw49% Luton Town FC21%
Actual: Luton Town FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.7%
0 – 0
10.5%
2 – 1
8.5%
2 – 0
8%
0 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
4.7%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 3
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 22% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 17% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✓
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.