Thursday , 2 July 2026

Burnley FC vs Luton Town FC, Championship 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2022-23
Sat 6 Aug 2022 · 14:00 UTC Turf Moor HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

4
2
Burnley FC 6 games · Avg 2.8 goals Luton Town FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Aug Luton Town FC H 1–1 D
29 Jul Huddersfield Town AFC A 1–0 W
22 May Newcastle United FC H 1–2 L
19 May Aston Villa FC A 1–1 D
15 May Tottenham Hotspur FC A 0–1 L
07 May Aston Villa FC H 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Aug Burnley FC A 1–1 D
30 Jul Birmingham City FC H 0–0 D
16 May Huddersfield Town AFC A 0–1 L
07 May Reading FC H 1–0 W
02 May Fulham FC A 0–7 L
23 Apr Blackpool FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Luton Town FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' GOAL! Daniel Potts scores on 5.
  • 10' Jack Cork is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Burnley FC tonight.
  • 15' A quiet spell here at Turf Moor. Luton Town FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jordan Clark made 231 appearances and scored 34 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 25' Burnley FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 30' Luton Town FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 35' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 35 minutes.
  • 40' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 45' Both keepers have barely been tested. Burnley FC and Luton Town FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 46' The Burnley FC bench stirs into life. Samuel Bastien is withdrawn and Benson Manuel gets his opportunity.
  • 51' What an equalizer from Josh Brownhill!
  • 56' It is a cagey affair so far. Burnley FC in their trying to find a way past Luton Town FC's compact .
  • 59' A tactical swap from Luton Town FCCarlton Morris on, Harry Cornick off on 59 minutes.
  • 64' It looks like no one’s ball. Luton Town FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 66' The referee shows Luton Town FC player a Yellow card on 66.
  • 66' The supporters are chanting for Cauley Woodrow. He replaces Luke Freeman on 66 minute.
  • 67' A tactical swap from Luton Town FCReece Burke on, Allan Campbell off on 67 minutes.
  • 72' James Bree is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Burnley FC so far.
  • 77' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ethan Horvath is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Luton Town FC.
  • 82' Burnley FC ring the changes. Dara Costelloe has done his job and it is now time for Vitinho to step up.
  • 84' A change in the Luton Town FC ranks — Gabriel Osho exits the field as Matt Macey enters on 84.
  • 89' Burnley FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 89.
  • The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.4 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Burnley FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC43% Draw29% Luton Town FC28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.48
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Luton Town FC
57%
Burnley FC or Luton Town FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC30% Draw49% Luton Town FC21%
Actual: Luton Town FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.7%
0 – 0
10.5%
2 – 1
8.5%
2 – 0
8%
0 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
4.7%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 3
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 22% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 17% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
35%
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.