Thursday , 2 July 2026

Livingston FC vs Aberdeen FC, Premier League 2025-26 RELEGATION ROUND

Premier League · 2025-26
Fri 1 May 2026 · 18:45 UTC Tony Macaroni Arena HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 24' Mitchel Frame
Joel Nouble 47' 1–1
1–2 71' Danny Finlayson og
Robbie Muirhead 78' 2–2

Overview

Match Preview

Livingston FC vs Aberdeen FCPremier League at Tony Macaroni Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Calum Scott (Scotland)
  • Assistant 1 David Dunne
  • Assistant 2 Ross Nelson (Scotland)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 May Aberdeen FC H 2–2 D
25 Apr St. Mirren FC A 2–0 W
11 Apr Dundee United FC A 2–3 L
05 Apr Heart of Midlothian FC H 2–2 D
21 Mar Kilmarnock FC A 0–2 L
14 Mar Hibernian FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 May Livingston FC A 2–2 D
25 Apr Kilmarnock FC H 1–0 W
11 Apr Hibernian FC H 2–0 W
04 Apr St. Mirren FC A 0–2 L
21 Mar Rangers FC A 1–4 L
14 Mar Falkirk FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Livingston FC Aberdeen FC
#12 Position #8
16 Points 33
33 Played 33
1 / 13 / 19 W / D / L 9 / 6 / 18
35 Scored 33
66 Conceded 48
-31 GD -15
0.48 PPG 1.00
3% Win % 27%

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Livingston FC are 12th (16 pts). Aberdeen FC are 8th (33 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Tony Macaroni Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 3 times this season with Aberdeen FC winning 66.67% of all matches.
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Aberdeen FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kevin Nisbet made 297 appearances and scored 48 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 20' It looks surprising Livingston FC does not make any changes. Liam Morrison has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 24' What a strike from Mitchel Frame! The score is 0-1.
  • 29' Aberdeen FC looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 3 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 34' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Aberdeen FC that had 350 games and scored 357 goals.
  • 39' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 44' Livingston FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 44.
  • 47' Goal! Joel Nouble scores his 10 goal in 251 matches.
  • 52' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 57' It looks like no one’s ball. Livingston FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 62' Livingston FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 67' It’s high time Marvin Bartley made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 70' A meaty challenge results in booking for Babacar Fati on 70.
  • 71' What a strike from Kevin Nisbet! The score is 1-2.
  • 76' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Gavin Molloy suffering a number of foals already.
  • 78' What a strike from Robbie Muirhead! The score is 2-2.
  • 81' The referee calls foul for Danny Finlayson. He receives a card.
  • 86' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 86 minutes.
  • 90' Macaulay Tait was booked on 90.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.57 Livingston FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.77 Aberdeen FC xG
I would bet for: Livingston FC or Aberdeen FC 74% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Livingston FC35% Draw26% Aberdeen FC39%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.34
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Livingston FC or Draw
61%
Draw or Aberdeen FC
65%
Livingston FC or Aberdeen FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Livingston FC26% Draw42% Aberdeen FC32%
Actual: Aberdeen FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.7%
1 – 2
8.4%
2 – 1
7.5%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
5.6%
0 – 2
5.6%
0 – 0
5.1%
1 – 3
4.9%
1 – 0
4.9%
2 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
3.9%
3 – 1
3.9%

Asian Handicap — Livingston FC

Handicap Livingston FC covers Push Aberdeen FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 10% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 17% 67%
-0.5 33% 67%
+0.5 58% 42%
+1 58% 19% 23%
+1.5 77% 23%
+2 77% 13% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

Livingston FC keeps clean sheet
18%
Aberdeen FC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.