Aberdeen FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2025-26 RELEGATION ROUND
Overview
Match Preview
Aberdeen FC vs Kilmarnock FC — Premier League at Pittodrie Stadium.
- Aberdeen FC 9 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
- Kilmarnock FC 9 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Nick Walsh
4 games this season
🟨 4.3/game
⚽ 11.8 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic FC | 8 | 21 |
| 2 | Rangers FC | 8 | 19 |
| 3 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 8 | 16 |
| 4 | Dundee FC | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | St. Johnstone FC | 9 | 12 |
| 6 | Dundee United FC | 9 | 12 |
| 7 | Aberdeen FC | 9 | 11 |
| 8 | St. Mirren FC | 9 | 10 |
| 9 | Falkirk FC | 9 | 9 |
| 10 | Motherwell FC | 9 | 8 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock FC | 9 | 8 |
| 12 | Hibernian FC | 9 | 7 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | Kilmarnock FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | Hibernian FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 04 Apr | St. Mirren FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Mar | Rangers FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 14 Mar | Falkirk FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Mar | Celtic FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | Aberdeen FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Apr | Dundee FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Apr | Hibernian FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Mar | Livingston FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 14 Mar | Heart of Midlothian FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Feb | Falkirk FC | A | 1–5 | L |
Season Stats
| Aberdeen FC | Kilmarnock FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #11 |
| 11 | Points | 8 |
| 9 | Played | 9 |
| 3 / 2 / 4 | W / D / L | 2 / 2 / 5 |
| 10 | Scored | 10 |
| 10 | Conceded | 20 |
| +0 | GD | -10 |
| 1.22 | PPG | 0.89 |
| 33% | Win % | 22% |
Key Stats
21%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Aberdeen FC this season
Aberdeen FC this season
22%
Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
Kilmarnock FC this season
Aberdeen FC are 7th (11 pts). Kilmarnock FC are 11th (8 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Aberdeen FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/4
46-60
2/1
61-75
1/2
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Kilmarnock FC
0-15
1/4
16-30
1/3
31-45
2/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
1/2
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Aberdeen FC
| Kevin Nisbet | 3 G | 2 A |
| Lewis Mayo | 1 G |
Kilmarnock FC
| Michael Schjonning-Larsen | 2 G | |
| Joe Hugill | 1 G | 1 A |
| Jason Holt | 1 G | |
| Greg Kiltie | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Pittodrie Stadium that hosts another battle between Aberdeen FC and Kilmarnock FC.
- 1' Afeez Aremu has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 1 minutes.
- 5' The supporters are chanting for Dominic Thompson. He replaces Jamie Brandon on 5 minute.
- 10' Michael Schjonning-Larsen has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 2 goals to his name this season.
- 15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Liam Morrison is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Aberdeen FC.
- 20' It looks like no one’s ball. Aberdeen FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 25' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Kilmarnock FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 30' Aberdeen FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Kilmarnock FC's shape.
- 35' Greg Kiltie is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Kilmarnock FC tonight.
- 40' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 45' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 50' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 55' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 58' It is a substitution in Aberdeen FC team. Mitchel Frame is replaced by Graeme Shinnie on 58 minute.
- 59' Time for substitution for Aberdeen FC. Lyall Cameron is replaced by Dennis Geiger.
- 64' A meaty challenge results in booking for George Stanger on 64.
- 66' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Tom Lowery on 66 minutes.
- 68' Another change for Kilmarnock FC made on 68 minute. Michael Schjonning-Larsen leaves to be changed by Rory McKenzie.
- 72' Another substitution for Aberdeen FC to replace Afeez Aremu by Ante Palaversa on 72 minute.
- 77' Bruce Anderson is ready to make an impact after coming on for Nicky Clescenco at the 77 minute mark.
- 78' Kilmarnock FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 81' Elvis Bwomono gets the nod from Aberdeen FC. He replaces Jack Milne and will look to change the dynamic.
- 84' Another change for Kilmarnock FC made on 84 minute. Tom Lowery leaves to be changed by David Watson.
- 87' Another substitution for Aberdeen FC to replace Toyosi Olusanya by Topi Keskinen on 87 minute.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Liam Morrison.
- The final score is 1-0.
Lineups
Aberdeen FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 1
-
25
Lyall Cameron ↓ Dennis Geiger 59'
- 15
-
32
Afeez Aremu ↓ Ante Palaversa 72'
-
20
Toyosi Olusanya ↓ Topi Keskinen 87'
- 23
-
22
Jack Milne ↓ Elvis Bwomono 81'
-
3
Mitchel Frame ↓ Graeme Shinnie 58'
- 21
- 28
Bench
-
42
Elvis Bwomono ↑ 81'
-
8
Dennis Geiger ↑ 59'
-
4
Graeme Shinnie ↑ 58'
-
18
Ante Palaversa ↑ 72'
- 99
-
5
Mats Knoester ↑ 72'
- 27
- 38
-
81
Topi Keskinen ↑ 87'
Coach
Stephen Robinson
Kilmarnock FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
18
Tom Lowery ↓ David Watson 84'
- 14
- 2
- 36
-
11
Greg Kiltie ↓ Kyle Magennis 77'
- 6
- 1
- 44
-
52
Findlay Curtis ↓ Brad Lyons 84'
- 21
- 20
Bench
- 13
-
8
Brad Lyons ↑ 84'
-
19
Bruce Anderson ↑ 77'
-
7
Rory McKenzie ↑ 68'
-
16
Kyle Magennis ↑ 77'
- 5
-
3
Dominic Thompson ↑ 5'
- 4
-
12
David Watson ↑ 84'
Coach
Neil McCann
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kyle Vassell | 2 |
| David Watson | 2 |
| Scott McKenna | 2 |
| Sam Cosgrove | 2 |
| Bojan Miovski | 2 |
| Pape Gueye | 2 |
| Eamonn Brophy | 2 |
| Duk | 2 |
Head to Head
Aberdeen FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.89
Aberdeen FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.73
Kilmarnock FC xG
I would bet for:
Aberdeen FC to win 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Aberdeen FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.62
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Aberdeen FC or Draw
85%
Draw or Kilmarnock FC
38%
Aberdeen FC or Kilmarnock FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Aberdeen FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
12.7%
1 – 1
10.7%
2 – 1
9.2%
0 – 0
9.1%
3 – 0
7.9%
3 – 1
5.8%
0 – 1
4.4%
4 – 0
3.7%
1 – 2
3.5%
2 – 2
3.4%
4 – 1
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Aberdeen FC
| Handicap | Aberdeen FC covers | Push | Kilmarnock FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -2 | 19% | 20% | 61% |
| -1.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| -1 | 39% | 25% | 36% |
| -0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +0.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +1 | 87% | 9% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Aberdeen FC keeps clean sheet
49%
✗
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

