Friday , 2 October 2026

Livingston FC vs Aberdeen FC, Premier League 2025-26 RELEGATION ROUND

Premier League · 2025-26
Fri 1 May 2026 · 18:45 UTC Tony Macaroni Arena HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 24' Mitchel Frame
Joel Nouble 47' 1–1
1–2 71' Danny Finlayson og
Robbie Muirhead 78' 2–2

Overview

Match Preview

Livingston FC vs Aberdeen FC — Premier League at Tony Macaroni Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Calum Scott (Scotland)
  • Assistant 1 David Dunne
  • Assistant 2 Ross Nelson (Scotland)
3 games this season 🟨 3.7/game ⚽ 8.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 May Aberdeen FC H 2–2 D
25 Apr St. Mirren FC A 2–0 W
11 Apr Dundee United FC A 2–3 L
05 Apr Heart of Midlothian FC H 2–2 D
21 Mar Kilmarnock FC A 0–2 L
14 Mar Hibernian FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 May Livingston FC A 2–2 D
25 Apr Kilmarnock FC H 1–0 W
11 Apr Hibernian FC H 2–0 W
04 Apr St. Mirren FC A 0–2 L
21 Mar Rangers FC A 1–4 L
14 Mar Falkirk FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Aberdeen FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aberdeen FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/2
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Aberdeen FC
Kevin Nisbet 3 G 2 A
Lewis Mayo 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Aberdeen FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' The travelling Aberdeen FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Livingston FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 15' The energy levels are beginning to show. Marvin Bartley might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 20' Livingston FC currently sit 12 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 24' Aberdeen FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Mitchel Frame on 24.
  • 29' Both keepers have barely been tested. Livingston FC and Aberdeen FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 34' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 39' Livingston FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Aberdeen FC backline.
  • 44' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 47' The deadlock is broken! Joel Nouble gets on the scoresheet on 47 minutes.
  • 52' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 57' Supporters expect more eagerness from Danny Wilson, as he is very good at scoring at Tony Macaroni Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 62' Over 62 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 67' The 34-year-old Stuart Armstrong has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 70' The referee has no hesitation. Babacar Fati is booked for Livingston FC — card on 70.
  • 71' Kevin Nisbet makes no mistake. The score reads 1-2 and Aberdeen FC are in front.
  • 76' Livingston FC is showing some good football. However, Livingston FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 78' Robbie Muirhead adds to his 0 season tally! Livingston FC lead 2-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 81' Livingston FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 86' Toyosi Olusanya has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 9 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 90' Macaulay Tait is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • The points are shared — Livingston FC 2-2 Aberdeen FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.57 Livingston FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.59 Aberdeen FC xG
I would bet for: Livingston FC or Aberdeen FC 73% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Livingston FC37% Draw27% Aberdeen FC36%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.16
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Livingston FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Aberdeen FC
63%
Livingston FC or Aberdeen FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Livingston FC28% Draw43% Aberdeen FC29%
Actual: Aberdeen FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.5%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
8%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
6%
0 – 0
5.9%
1 – 0
5.9%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 0
5.2%
1 – 3
4.3%
3 – 1
4.2%
2 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Livingston FC

Handicap Livingston FC covers Push Aberdeen FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 18% 64%
-0.5 36% — 64%
+0.5 62% — 38%
+1 62% 18% 19%
+1.5 81% — 19%
+2 81% 11% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Livingston FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓
Aberdeen FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.