Sunday , 16 August 2026

Livingston FC vs Aberdeen FC, Premier League 2025-26 RELEGATION ROUND

Premier League · 2025-26
Fri 1 May 2026 · 18:45 UTC Tony Macaroni Arena HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 24' Mitchel Frame
Joel Nouble 47' 1–1
1–2 71' Danny Finlayson og
Robbie Muirhead 78' 2–2

Overview

Match Preview

Livingston FC vs Aberdeen FCPremier League at Tony Macaroni Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Calum Scott (Scotland)
  • Assistant 1 David Dunne
  • Assistant 2 Ross Nelson (Scotland)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 May Aberdeen FC H 2–2 D
25 Apr St. Mirren FC A 2–0 W
11 Apr Dundee United FC A 2–3 L
05 Apr Heart of Midlothian FC H 2–2 D
21 Mar Kilmarnock FC A 0–2 L
14 Mar Hibernian FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 May Livingston FC A 2–2 D
25 Apr Kilmarnock FC H 1–0 W
11 Apr Hibernian FC H 2–0 W
04 Apr St. Mirren FC A 0–2 L
21 Mar Rangers FC A 1–4 L
14 Mar Falkirk FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Aberdeen FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aberdeen FC
0-15
/1
16-30
/
31-45
/1
46-60
/1
61-75
/
76+
2/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Aberdeen FC gets underway.
  • 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 10' Brooklyn Kabongolo has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 15' It looks like no one’s ball. Aberdeen FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 20' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Livingston FC and Aberdeen FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 24' Goal! Mitchel Frame scores his 1 goal in 410 matches.
  • 29' Aberdeen FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 34' Supporters expect more eagerness from Dimitar Mitov, as he is very good at scoring at Tony Macaroni Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 39' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 44' Livingston FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Aberdeen FC backline.
  • 47' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Joel Nouble makes it 1-1.
  • 52' Mo Sylla has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 11 appearances.
  • 57' Danny Finlayson, a Northern Ireland , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 62' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Stephen Robinson will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 67' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Livingston FC that had 251 games and scored 245 goals.
  • 70' Babacar Fati is having his name booked by the referee on 70.
  • 71' Kevin Nisbet has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 71 minutes.
  • 76' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jerome Prior made 391 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 78' Goal! Robbie Muirhead scores his 1 goal in 251 matches.
  • 81' The referee has no hesitation. Danny Finlayson is booked for Livingston FC — card on 81.
  • 86' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Aberdeen FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 90' Macaulay Tait is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • It finishes all square. Livingston FC and Aberdeen FC share the spoils 2-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.57 Livingston FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.59 Aberdeen FC xG
I would bet for: Livingston FC or Aberdeen FC 73% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Livingston FC37% Draw27% Aberdeen FC36%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.16
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Livingston FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Aberdeen FC
63%
Livingston FC or Aberdeen FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Livingston FC28% Draw43% Aberdeen FC29%
Actual: Aberdeen FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.5%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
8%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
6%
0 – 0
5.9%
1 – 0
5.9%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 0
5.2%
1 – 3
4.3%
3 – 1
4.2%
2 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Livingston FC

Handicap Livingston FC covers Push Aberdeen FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 18% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 18% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 11% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Livingston FC keeps clean sheet
21%
Aberdeen FC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.