Heart of Midlothian FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Heart of Midlothian FC vs Kilmarnock FC — Premier League .
- Heart of Midlothian FC 33 games · 70 pts (2026/27)
- Kilmarnock FC 33 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee John Beaton
3 games this season
🟨 2.3/game
⚽ 11.3 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 33 | 70 |
| 2 | Rangers FC | 33 | 69 |
| 3 | Celtic FC | 33 | 67 |
| 4 | Motherwell FC | 33 | 54 |
| 5 | Hibernian FC | 33 | 51 |
| 6 | Falkirk FC | 33 | 46 |
| 7 | Dundee United FC | 33 | 40 |
| 8 | Aberdeen FC | 33 | 33 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 33 | 33 |
| 10 | St. Mirren FC | 33 | 30 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock FC | 33 | 28 |
| 12 | Livingston FC | 33 | 16 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec | Kilmarnock FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Nov | Motherwell FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Nov | Aberdeen FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Nov | Dundee United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Nov | Dundee FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 29 Oct | St. Mirren FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec | Heart of Midlothian FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Nov | Dundee United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Nov | Motherwell FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 09 Nov | Celtic FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 01 Nov | Falkirk FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Oct | Aberdeen FC | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Heart of Midlothian FC | Kilmarnock FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #11 |
| 70 | Points | 28 |
| 33 | Played | 33 |
| 21 / 7 / 5 | W / D / L | 6 / 10 / 17 |
| 58 | Scored | 37 |
| 28 | Conceded | 65 |
| +30 | GD | -28 |
| 2.12 | PPG | 0.85 |
| 64% | Win % | 18% |
Key Stats
43%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Heart of Midlothian FC are 1st (70 pts). Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Heart of Midlothian FC is hosting Kilmarnock FC for another epic battle.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.
Lineups
Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups
Kilmarnock FC Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Chris Burke | 4 |
| Lawrence Shankland | 3 |
| Stuart Findlay | 2 |
| Danny Armstrong | 2 |
| Eamonn Brophy | 2 |
| Sean Clare | 2 |
| Jorge Grant | 1 |
| Christian Doidge | 1 |
Head to Head
Heart of Midlothian FC Form
2025-12-03
Heart of Midlothian FC
1–1
Kilmarnock FC
D
2025-11-29
Motherwell FC
0–0
Heart of Midlothian FC
D
2025-11-23
Aberdeen FC
1–0
Heart of Midlothian FC
L
2025-11-09
Heart of Midlothian FC
1–1
Dundee United FC
D
2025-11-01
Heart of Midlothian FC
4–0
Dundee FC
W
2025-10-29
St. Mirren FC
2–2
Heart of Midlothian FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
2.44
Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.73
Kilmarnock FC xG
I would bet for:
Heart of Midlothian FC to win 69% + Over 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.17
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
88%
Draw or Kilmarnock FC
31%
Heart of Midlothian FC or Kilmarnock FC
81%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
12.5%
1 – 0
10.1%
3 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 1
Actual
3 – 1
7.2%
4 – 0
6%
0 – 0
5.7%
4 – 1
4.4%
2 – 2
3.2%
5 – 0
3%
3 – 2
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC
| Handicap | Heart of Midlothian FC covers | Push | Kilmarnock FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -2 | 30% | 22% | 48% |
| -1.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| -1 | 52% | 22% | 26% |
| -0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +0.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +1 | 91% | 6% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
| +2 | 98% | 2% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
49%
✓
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

